空頭占主導地位，比特幣（BTC）價格接近確認看跌頭肩圖表模式

比特幣 (BTC) 價格自 12 月 17 日觸及 108,353 美元以來一直處於暴跌狀態，最近跌破 92,000 美元，由於看跌頭肩圖表形態即將確認，令許多分析師保持警惕。

Bitcoin’s recent price slide has put many on edge, especially as the apex cryptocurrency appears to be setting up a bearish technical pattern on the daily chart.

比特幣最近的價格下滑讓許多人感到緊張，尤其是當這種頂級加密貨幣似乎在日線圖上形成看跌的技術模式時。

After hitting a record high of $108,353 on Dec. 17, BTC’s price has slid by about 16%. The recent drop below $92,000 has put many technical analysts on alert due to the looming confirmation of a bearish head-and-shoulders chart pattern.

在 12 月 17 日觸及 108,353 美元的歷史新高後，BTC 的價格已下跌約 16%。最近跌破 92,000 美元已經讓許多技術分析師保持警惕，因為看跌的頭肩形圖表模式即將得到確認。

A few daily closes below the pattern’s neckline at $92,000 could be followed by a decline to the pattern’s target at $79,500.

數日收盤價低於該形態頸線 92,000 美元後，可能會跌至該形態目標 79,500 美元。

Chartered market technician Aksel Kibar has also set a Bitcoin ( BTC ) price target at $80,000 if the head-and-shoulders pattern is confirmed. Kibar’s price target is based on the 1.61 Fib extension of the pattern, which adds up to a total potential decline of $92,715 from the pattern’s peak.

如果頭肩形態得到確認，特許市場技術員 Aksel Kibar 也將比特幣 (BTC) 的目標價定為 80,000 美元。 Kibar 的目標價是基於該模式的 1.61 Fib 擴展，總計可能會較該模式的峰值下跌 92,715 美元。

Bitcoin’s recent price slide has been largely supported by a few key levels, with each dip into the underlying bids being absorbed quickly. For instance, recent dips into $91,500 were met by dip-buying, as evident from the quick recovery.

比特幣最近的價格下滑在很大程度上受到了幾個關鍵水平的支撐，基礎買盤的每一次下跌都會很快被吸收。例如，最近跌至 91,500 美元時，人們透過逢低買入來應對，這一點從快速復甦中可以看出。

However, each of these dip-buying instances is followed by selling upon BTC’s return to the intraday range high, suggesting that overhead resistances are also being defended by sellers.

然而，每次逢低買入之後，比特幣回到盤中區間高點後都會出現拋售，這表明賣家也在捍衛上方阻力位。

Related: BTC price ‘breakdown confirmed?’ 5 Things to know in Bitcoin this week

相關：比特幣價格“確認下跌？”本週關於比特幣需要了解的 5 件事

As noted by popular crypto trader Skew, “Shorts are the dominant positioning here” and “further aggressive shorting would mean the market expects an immediate breakdown” from Bitcoin’s current range.

正如受歡迎的加密貨幣交易商 Skew 所指出的，“空頭是這裡的主導地位”，“進一步激進的空頭將意味著市場預計比特幣將立即崩潰”。

Highlighting the importance of the $94,000 level, Skew said:

Skew 強調了 94,000 美元水平的重要性：

“BTC/USD spot on Coinbase alongside spot and futures CVD.” Source: Trdr.io

“Coinbase 上的 BTC/USD 現貨以及現貨和期貨 CVD。”來源：Trdr.io

Crucially, a series of four-hour closes above $94,000 during the trading day will be essential to protecting the current range.

至關重要的是，交易日內一系列四小時收盤價高於 94,000 美元對於保護當前區間至關重要。

Over the last week, spot selling has been the dominant action in the market, and a majority of the perpetual futures market is tilted toward margin shorts, so holding $94,000 as the lowest rung of the range ($94,000–$99,000) would be the first step toward invalidating the bearish head-and-shoulders pattern on the daily time frame.

上週，現貨銷售一直是市場的主導行為，而永續期貨市場的大部分都傾向於保證金空頭，因此持有 94,000 美元作為該區間的最低價位（94,000 美元至 99,000 美元）將是第一步使每日時間框架內的看跌頭肩形態失效。