分析师警告说，比特币（BTC）的价格进入整合阶段

随着加密货币市场经历的增长，比特币（BTC）的价格最近进入了整合阶段，因为当年年初的波动率提高。

A recent analysis by a market expert, known on social media as Daily Crypto Trading, has applied the Elliott Wave Theory to predict Bitcoin's next price movements.

市场专家最近的一项分析（在社交媒体上称为每日加密货币交易）应用了Elliott Wave理论来预测比特币的下一个价格变动。

According to the analysis, the market is likely experiencing a flat corrective wave, with a target in the range of $90,000. The analysis confirms that the recent flat ABC structure held firm at the 89-90k levels, indicating the completion of wave 4.

根据分析，市场可能会经历平坦的矫正浪潮，目标范围在90,000美元之间。该分析证实，最近的ABC结构在89-90k的水平上保持牢固，表明波4的完成。

While the sentiment surrounding Bitcoin's future is "overwhelmingly bullish," this can often serve as a cautionary sign, as highlighted by Daily Crypto Trading.

尽管围绕比特币未来的情绪是“绝大多数的看涨”，但这通常可以作为警示信号，正如日常加密货币交易所强调的那样。

"Even though wave 4 is done, the sentiment is overly bullish, which is normally a red flag," the analysis notes.

分析指出：“即使已经完成了第4波，这种情绪过于看好，这通常是一个危险信号。”

Investors are encouraged to approach the situation with caution, acknowledging that while the analysis is rooted in probability, it does not guarantee outcomes.

鼓励投资者谨慎处理情况，并承认，尽管分析源于概率，但并不能保证结果。

The broader macroeconomic landscape is also crucial for understanding Bitcoin's trajectory. Daily Crypto Trading has previously discussed the potential impact of an impending recession, suggesting that macroeconomic factors must be considered before engaging in technical analysis.

更广泛的宏观经济景观对于理解比特币的轨迹也至关重要。每日加密交易先前已经讨论了即将衰退的潜在影响，这表明必须在进行技术分析之前考虑宏观经济因素。

The Elliott Wave Theory, which has been notably accurate in previous predictions, is a key component of this analysis. It posits that markets move in predictable waves, and currently, the focus is on the final sub-wave of wave 4.

Elliott Wave理论在先前的预测中非常准确，是该分析的关键组成部分。它认为市场在可预测的波动中移动，目前，重点是第4波的最终子波。

The expert anticipates that if Bitcoin surpasses the critical level of $109,000, it will confirm the onset of impulsive wave 5, suggesting a bullish continuation.

专家预计，如果比特币超过109,000美元的关键水平，它将确认冲动第5次的发作，表明看涨了看涨。

Should Bitcoin achieve a strong wave 5, projections indicate a potential price increase of 40-50% from the current levels, with Fibonacci extension levels suggesting targets of $113,000, $117,000, and even $121,000.

应该比特币获得强大的波第5次，预测表明，斐波那契的扩展水平的潜在价格增加了40-50％，这表明目标的目标是113,000美元，117,000美元，甚至121,000美元。

However, there is a caveat: the wave could be truncated, leading to a double top formation and subsequent corrections, or it may fail to reach a new all-time high (ATH). Thus, surpassing the $109,000 mark is deemed a critical milestone for increasing the likelihood of a blow-off top reaching $120,000.

但是，有一个警告：可以将波浪截断，导致双层构造和随后的校正，或者可能无法达到新的历史高（ATH）。因此，超过109,000美元的大关被认为是增加吹风顶部到达120,000美元的可能性的关键里程碑。

Conversely, if Bitcoin were to dip back to the $90,000 area, it would indicate the formation of a regular zigzag pattern, implying that wave 4 may not be complete.

相反，如果比特币要浸入90,000美元的面积，则表明形成了常规的锯齿形图案，这意味着波4可能不完整。

As a contingency, an invalidation point has been established at $130,000; a breach of this level could suggest an unforeseen bullish breakout toward a target of $170,000.

作为偶然性，已经定为130,000美元的无效点；违反此水平的可能性可能表明对170,000美元的目标产生了不可预见的看涨突破。

At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $104,300, incurring losses of 1.4% over the past 24 hours.

在撰写本文时，BTC的交易价格为104,300美元，在过去24小时内损失1.4％。