分析師警告說，比特幣（BTC）的價格進入整合階段

隨著加密貨幣市場經歷的增長，比特幣（BTC）的價格最近進入了整合階段，因為當年年初的波動率提高。

A recent analysis by a market expert, known on social media as Daily Crypto Trading, has applied the Elliott Wave Theory to predict Bitcoin's next price movements.

市場專家最近的一項分析（在社交媒體上稱為每日加密貨幣交易）應用了Elliott Wave理論來預測比特幣的下一個價格變動。

According to the analysis, the market is likely experiencing a flat corrective wave, with a target in the range of $90,000. The analysis confirms that the recent flat ABC structure held firm at the 89-90k levels, indicating the completion of wave 4.

根據分析，市場可能會經歷平坦的矯正浪潮，目標範圍在90,000美元之間。該分析證實，最近的ABC結構在89-90k的水平上保持牢固，表明波4的完成。

While the sentiment surrounding Bitcoin's future is "overwhelmingly bullish," this can often serve as a cautionary sign, as highlighted by Daily Crypto Trading.

儘管圍繞比特幣未來的情緒是“絕大多數的看漲”，但這通常可以作為警示信號，正如日常加密貨幣交易所強調的那樣。

"Even though wave 4 is done, the sentiment is overly bullish, which is normally a red flag," the analysis notes.

分析指出：“即使已經完成了第4波，這種情緒過於看好，這通常是一個危險信號。”

Investors are encouraged to approach the situation with caution, acknowledging that while the analysis is rooted in probability, it does not guarantee outcomes.

鼓勵投資者謹慎處理情況，並承認，儘管分析源於概率，但並不能保證結果。

The broader macroeconomic landscape is also crucial for understanding Bitcoin's trajectory. Daily Crypto Trading has previously discussed the potential impact of an impending recession, suggesting that macroeconomic factors must be considered before engaging in technical analysis.

更廣泛的宏觀經濟景觀對於理解比特幣的軌跡也至關重要。每日加密交易先前已經討論了即將衰退的潛在影響，這表明必須在進行技術分析之前考慮宏觀經濟因素。

The Elliott Wave Theory, which has been notably accurate in previous predictions, is a key component of this analysis. It posits that markets move in predictable waves, and currently, the focus is on the final sub-wave of wave 4.

Elliott Wave理論在先前的預測中非常準確，是該分析的關鍵組成部分。它認為市場在可預測的波動中移動，目前，重點是第4波的最終子波。

The expert anticipates that if Bitcoin surpasses the critical level of $109,000, it will confirm the onset of impulsive wave 5, suggesting a bullish continuation.

專家預計，如果比特幣超過109,000美元的關鍵水平，它將確認衝動第5次的發作，表明看漲了看漲。

Should Bitcoin achieve a strong wave 5, projections indicate a potential price increase of 40-50% from the current levels, with Fibonacci extension levels suggesting targets of $113,000, $117,000, and even $121,000.

應該比特幣獲得強大的波第5次，預測表明，斐波那契的擴展水平的潛在價格增加了40-50％，這表明目標的目標是113,000美元，117,000美元，甚至121,000美元。

However, there is a caveat: the wave could be truncated, leading to a double top formation and subsequent corrections, or it may fail to reach a new all-time high (ATH). Thus, surpassing the $109,000 mark is deemed a critical milestone for increasing the likelihood of a blow-off top reaching $120,000.

但是，有一個警告：可以將波浪截斷，導致雙層構造和隨後的校正，或者可能無法達到新的歷史高（ATH）。因此，超過109,000美元的大關被認為是增加吹風頂部到達120,000美元的可能性的關鍵里程碑。

Conversely, if Bitcoin were to dip back to the $90,000 area, it would indicate the formation of a regular zigzag pattern, implying that wave 4 may not be complete.

相反，如果比特幣要浸入90,000美元的面積，則表明形成了常規的鋸齒形圖案，這意味著波4可能不完整。

As a contingency, an invalidation point has been established at $130,000; a breach of this level could suggest an unforeseen bullish breakout toward a target of $170,000.

作為偶然性，已經定為130,000美元的無效點；違反此水平的可能性可能表明對170,000美元的目標產生了不可預見的看漲突破。

At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $104,300, incurring losses of 1.4% over the past 24 hours.

在撰寫本文時，BTC的交易價格為104,300美元，在過去24小時內損失1.4％。