比特币 (BTC) 价格牛市：市场专家预测进一步增长，BTC 飙升至 64,000 美元以上

比特币 (BTC) 已飙升至 64,000 美元以上，过去一周大幅上涨 10%，市场专家指出了推动这一势头的几个关键因素。

Bitcoin price analysis reveals a significant 10% gain over the past week, surging past the $64,000 mark on Monday, March 13, 2024. Several key factors are driving this momentum, according to market experts.

比特币价格分析显示，过去一周比特币大幅上涨 10%，于 2024 年 3 月 13 日星期一飙升至 64,000 美元大关。市场专家表示，有几个关键因素推动了这一势头。

Among the main drivers are the recent Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, rising demand for Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and growing political support across party lines. Despite differing views on the exact reasons, experts agree that these factors are likely to fuel further price increases in the coming months.

主要驱动因素包括最近美联储降息、对比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）的需求不断增长以及跨党派政治支持的增加。尽管对确切原因存在不同看法，但专家们一致认为，这些因素可能会在未来几个月推动价格进一步上涨。

Currently, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $63,500, showing a 1.2% increase in early European trading hours. Over the past week, it has gained approximately 10%. Ethereum (ETH), too, is experiencing gains, trading up 2.4% at $2,650 with a 15% increase over the last seven days, according to CoinGecko data.

目前，比特币（BTC）交易价格为 63,500 美元，欧洲早盘交易时段上涨 1.2%。过去一周，该股上涨了约 10%。根据 CoinGecko 的数据，以太坊 (ETH) 也在上涨，上涨 2.4%，至 2,650 美元，过去 7 天上涨 15%。

BTC Price Bull RunOne key factor behind Bitcoin’s rally is the Federal Reserve’s recent decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. This move has weakened the U.S. dollar, making Bitcoin a more attractive option for those seeking a hedge against inflation and financial uncertainty. With U.S. national debt nearing $35 trillion and rising by $1 trillion every 100 days, Bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a store of value, much like gold.

比特币价格牛市 比特币上涨的一个关键因素是美联储最近决定降息50个基点。此举削弱了美元，使比特币成为那些寻求对冲通胀和金融不确定性的人更具吸引力的选择。随着美国国债接近 35 万亿美元，并且每 100 天增加 1 万亿美元，比特币越来越被视为一种价值储存手段，就像黄金一样。

According to one market analyst, “Any indication of a looser monetary policy and a weaker dollar is favorable for Bitcoin.” Year-to-date, Bitcoin has risen 45%, outpacing gold's 27% increase.

一位市场分析师表示，“任何宽松货币政策和美元疲软的迹象都对比特币有利。”今年迄今为止，比特币已上涨 45%，超过黄金 27% 的涨幅。

Political developments are also playing a role in Bitcoin’s recent strength. During a recent fundraising event in New York, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris expressed support for digital assets and made her first public acknowledgment of the cryptocurrency industry.

政治发展也在比特币近期的强势中发挥了作用。最近在纽约举行的筹款活动中，美国副总统卡马拉·哈里斯表达了对数字资产的支持，并首次公开承认加密货币行业。

This comes after former President Donald Trump advocated for crypto-friendly regulations. Although the crypto community remains cautious about Harris’s position, experts suggest that bipartisan support for digital assets could pave the way for clearer regulations in the future.

在此之前，前总统唐纳德·特朗普主张制定有利于加密货币的法规。尽管加密货币社区对哈里斯的立场仍然持谨慎态度，但专家表示，两党对数字资产的支持可能为未来更清晰的监管铺平道路。

Another significant factor contributing to Bitcoin’s rise is the continued momentum of Bitcoin ETFs. Despite fluctuations in Bitcoin’s price, ETF inflows have remained positive, with total investments reaching $17 billion. One expert noted, “Recent approvals by major financial institutions, like Morgan Stanley, signal that the flow of capital into Bitcoin ETFs is likely to accelerate.”

推动比特币上涨的另一个重要因素是比特币 ETF 的持续增长势头。尽管比特币价格波动，ETF资金流入仍保持正值，投资总额达到170亿美元。一位专家指出，“摩根士丹利等主要金融机构最近的批准表明，流入比特币 ETF 的资金可能会加速。”

The stability of Bitcoin miners, particularly following the recent Bitcoin halving event, has also boosted market confidence. Halving events, which reduce the rewards for Bitcoin miners, often cause short-term instability. However, the Bitcoin network’s hash rate has rebounded to pre-halving levels just one quarter after the April 2024 halving, indicating that the market has adapted to the changes.

比特币矿商的稳定性，特别是在最近的比特币减半事件之后，也提振了市场信心。减半事件会减少比特币矿工的奖励，通常会导致短期不稳定。然而，比特币网络的算力在 2024 年 4 月减半后仅一个季度就反弹至减半前的水平，表明市场已经适应了变化。

In addition, large Bitcoin sell-offs appear to be behind us, further clearing the way for price appreciation. Both the German government and the Mt. Gox trustees, who held substantial Bitcoin reserves, have completed their sales. Over $11 billion worth of Bitcoin has been absorbed by the market without causing major disruptions in price.

此外，比特币的大规模抛售似乎已经过去，这进一步为价格升值扫清了道路。德国政府和持有大量比特币储备的 Mt. Gox 受托人均已完成出售。价值超过 110 亿美元的比特币已被市场吸收，并未对价格造成重大干扰。

Meanwhile, institutional interest continues to grow. MicroStrategy, a key institutional investor, has raised an additional $2.1 billion to buy more Bitcoin, increasing its holdings to 252,220 BTC—about 1.3% of the total Bitcoin supply. Experts have highlighted that Bitcoin’s cyclical nature and historical trends suggest the potential for a strong rally in the coming months.

与此同时，机构兴趣持续增长。主要机构投资者 MicroStrategy 已额外筹集 21 亿美元来购买更多比特币，将其持有量增加至 252,220 BTC，约占比特币总供应量的 1.3%。专家强调，比特币的周期性性质和历史趋势表明未来几个月有可能出现强劲反弹。

“Previous bull markets have peaked between October and March, and we anticipate a major breakout in Q4 2024,” said one expert, emphasizing that the key resistance level of $68,330 from the previous cycle will be critical in determining if Bitcoin reaches new all-time highs.

一位专家表示：“之前的牛市在 10 月至 3 月期间达到顶峰，我们预计 2024 年第四季度将出现重大突破。”他强调，上一周期的关键阻力位 68,330 美元对于确定比特币是否达到新的历史最高水平至关重要高点。

Several upcoming events may serve as additional catalysts for Bitcoin’s rise. The U.S. Presidential election in November and the expected distribution of $16 billion from FTX creditors between December 2024 and March 2025 could inject significant liquidity into the market. Experts predict that “$5-8 billion could flow back into the cryptocurrency space, potentially propelling Bitcoin even higher.”

即将发生的几件事可能会成为比特币上涨的额外催化剂。 11 月的美国总统大选以及 FTX 债权人预计在 2024 年 12 月至 2025 年 3 月期间分配 160 亿美元可能会为市场注入大量流动性。专家预测，“5-80 亿美元可能会回流到加密货币领域，从而有可能推动比特币进一步走高。”

MicroStrategy’s continued Bitcoin acquisitions are seen as a strong signal of demand, and as more companies follow suit, this could further amplify Bitcoin’s upward trajectory. Additionally, traditional finance investors are increasingly viewing Bitcoin as a valuable hedge in times of uncertainty, which could bolster the broader cryptocurrency market.

MicroStrategy 持续收购比特币被视为强烈的需求信号，随着越来越多的公司效仿，这可能会进一步放大比特币的上涨轨迹。此外，传统金融投资者越来越多地将比特币视为不确定时期的一种有价值的对冲工具，这可能会提振更广泛的加密货币市场。