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比特幣 (BTC) 已飆升至 64,000 美元以上,過去一周大幅上漲 10%,市場專家指出了推動這一勢頭的幾個關鍵因素。
Bitcoin price analysis reveals a significant 10% gain over the past week, surging past the $64,000 mark on Monday, March 13, 2024. Several key factors are driving this momentum, according to market experts.
比特幣價格分析顯示,過去一周比特幣大幅上漲 10%,於 2024 年 3 月 13 日星期一飆升至 64,000 美元大關。
Among the main drivers are the recent Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, rising demand for Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and growing political support across party lines. Despite differing views on the exact reasons, experts agree that these factors are likely to fuel further price increases in the coming months.
主要驅動因素包括最近聯準會降息、對比特幣交易所交易基金(ETF)的需求不斷增長以及跨黨派政治支持的增加。儘管對確切原因有不同看法,但專家們一致認為,這些因素可能會在未來幾個月推動價格進一步上漲。
Currently, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $63,500, showing a 1.2% increase in early European trading hours. Over the past week, it has gained approximately 10%. Ethereum (ETH), too, is experiencing gains, trading up 2.4% at $2,650 with a 15% increase over the last seven days, according to CoinGecko data.
目前,比特幣(BTC)交易價格為 63,500 美元,歐洲早盤交易時段上漲 1.2%。過去一周,該股上漲了約 10%。根據 CoinGecko 的數據,以太幣 (ETH) 也在上漲,上漲 2.4%,至 2,650 美元,過去 7 天上漲 15%。
BTC Price Bull RunOne key factor behind Bitcoin’s rally is the Federal Reserve’s recent decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. This move has weakened the U.S. dollar, making Bitcoin a more attractive option for those seeking a hedge against inflation and financial uncertainty. With U.S. national debt nearing $35 trillion and rising by $1 trillion every 100 days, Bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a store of value, much like gold.
比特幣價格多頭 比特幣上漲的關鍵因素是聯準會最近決定降息50個基點。此舉削弱了美元,使比特幣成為那些尋求對沖通膨和金融不確定性的人更具吸引力的選擇。隨著美國國債接近 35 兆美元,並且每 100 天增加 1 兆美元,比特幣越來越被視為一種價值儲存手段,就像黃金一樣。
According to one market analyst, “Any indication of a looser monetary policy and a weaker dollar is favorable for Bitcoin.” Year-to-date, Bitcoin has risen 45%, outpacing gold's 27% increase.
一位市場分析師表示,“任何寬鬆貨幣政策和美元疲軟的跡像都對比特幣有利。”今年迄今為止,比特幣已上漲 45%,超過黃金 27% 的漲幅。
Political developments are also playing a role in Bitcoin’s recent strength. During a recent fundraising event in New York, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris expressed support for digital assets and made her first public acknowledgment of the cryptocurrency industry.
政治發展也在比特幣近期的強勢中發揮了作用。最近在紐約舉行的募款活動中,美國副總統卡馬拉·哈里斯表達了對數位資產的支持,並首次公開承認加密貨幣產業。
This comes after former President Donald Trump advocated for crypto-friendly regulations. Although the crypto community remains cautious about Harris’s position, experts suggest that bipartisan support for digital assets could pave the way for clearer regulations in the future.
在此之前,前總統川普主張制定有利於加密貨幣的法規。儘管加密貨幣社群對哈里斯的立場仍然持謹慎態度,但專家表示,兩黨對數位資產的支持可能為未來更清晰的監管鋪平道路。
Another significant factor contributing to Bitcoin’s rise is the continued momentum of Bitcoin ETFs. Despite fluctuations in Bitcoin’s price, ETF inflows have remained positive, with total investments reaching $17 billion. One expert noted, “Recent approvals by major financial institutions, like Morgan Stanley, signal that the flow of capital into Bitcoin ETFs is likely to accelerate.”
推動比特幣上漲的另一個重要因素是比特幣 ETF 的持續成長動能。儘管比特幣價格波動,ETF資金流入仍維持正值,投資總額達170億美元。一位專家指出,“摩根士丹利等主要金融機構最近的批准表明,流入比特幣 ETF 的資金可能會加速。”
The stability of Bitcoin miners, particularly following the recent Bitcoin halving event, has also boosted market confidence. Halving events, which reduce the rewards for Bitcoin miners, often cause short-term instability. However, the Bitcoin network’s hash rate has rebounded to pre-halving levels just one quarter after the April 2024 halving, indicating that the market has adapted to the changes.
比特幣礦商的穩定性,特別是在最近的比特幣減半事件之後,也提振了市場信心。減半事件會減少比特幣礦工的獎勵,通常會導致短期不穩定。然而,比特幣網路的算力在 2024 年 4 月減半後僅一個季度就反彈至減半前的水平,表明市場已經適應了變化。
In addition, large Bitcoin sell-offs appear to be behind us, further clearing the way for price appreciation. Both the German government and the Mt. Gox trustees, who held substantial Bitcoin reserves, have completed their sales. Over $11 billion worth of Bitcoin has been absorbed by the market without causing major disruptions in price.
此外,比特幣的大規模拋售似乎已經過去,這進一步為價格升值掃清了道路。德國政府和持有大量比特幣儲備的 Mt. Gox 受託人均已完成出售。價值超過 110 億美元的比特幣已被市場吸收,並未對價格造成重大干擾。
Meanwhile, institutional interest continues to grow. MicroStrategy, a key institutional investor, has raised an additional $2.1 billion to buy more Bitcoin, increasing its holdings to 252,220 BTC—about 1.3% of the total Bitcoin supply. Experts have highlighted that Bitcoin’s cyclical nature and historical trends suggest the potential for a strong rally in the coming months.
同時,機構興趣持續增長。主要機構投資者 MicroStrategy 已額外籌集 21 億美元購買更多比特幣,將其持有量增加至 252,220 BTC,約佔比特幣總供應量的 1.3%。專家強調,比特幣的周期性性質和歷史趨勢顯示未來幾個月有可能出現強勁反彈。
“Previous bull markets have peaked between October and March, and we anticipate a major breakout in Q4 2024,” said one expert, emphasizing that the key resistance level of $68,330 from the previous cycle will be critical in determining if Bitcoin reaches new all-time highs.
一位專家表示:「之前的多頭市場在10 月至3 月期間達到頂峰,我們預計2024 年第四季將出現重大突破。」他強調,上一周期的關鍵阻力位68,330 美元對於確定比特幣是否達到新的歷史最高水準至關重要高點。
Several upcoming events may serve as additional catalysts for Bitcoin’s rise. The U.S. Presidential election in November and the expected distribution of $16 billion from FTX creditors between December 2024 and March 2025 could inject significant liquidity into the market. Experts predict that “$5-8 billion could flow back into the cryptocurrency space, potentially propelling Bitcoin even higher.”
即將發生的幾件事可能會成為比特幣上漲的額外催化劑。 11 月的美國總統大選以及 FTX 債權人預計在 2024 年 12 月至 2025 年 3 月期間分配 160 億美元可能會為市場注入大量流動性。專家預測,“50-80 億美元可能會回流到加密貨幣領域,從而有可能推動比特幣進一步走高。”
MicroStrategy’s continued Bitcoin acquisitions are seen as a strong signal of demand, and as more companies follow suit, this could further amplify Bitcoin’s upward trajectory. Additionally, traditional finance investors are increasingly viewing Bitcoin as a valuable hedge in times of uncertainty, which could bolster the broader cryptocurrency market.
MicroStrategy 持續收購比特幣被視為強烈的需求訊號,隨著越來越多的公司效仿,這可能會進一步放大比特幣的上漲軌跡。此外,傳統金融投資者越來越多地將比特幣視為不確定時期的一種有價值的對沖工具,這可能會提振更廣泛的加密貨幣市場。
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