2025 年 1 月比特币 (BTC) 价格分析：BTC 会突破 10 万美元水平吗？

随着 2025 年 1 月加密市场转向看涨情绪，比特币正在稳步接近 10 万美元的里程碑。

As the crypto market experiences a bullish shift in January 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is gradually approaching the $100,000 milestone. With a 1.42% surge in the past 24 hours, Bitcoin maintains strong dominance above the $96,000 level.

随着加密货币市场在 2025 年 1 月经历看涨转变，比特币 (BTC) 正逐渐接近 10 万美元的里程碑。比特币在过去 24 小时内飙升 1.42%，在 96,000 美元上方保持强劲主导地位。

However, this slow but steady growth has not received substantial institutional support from the ETF market. As BlackRock registers its largest-ever outflow, will the Bitcoin price continue its upward momentum?

然而，这种缓慢但稳定的增长并没有得到ETF市场的实质性机构支持。随着贝莱德录得有史以来最大的资金流出，比特币价格会继续上涨势头吗？

Bitcoin Price Analysis

比特币价格分析

In the 4-hour chart, the BTC price trend showcases a bullish breakout of the local resistance trend line. Following a post-retest reversal, the BTC price makes a bullish comeback above the $96,000 level, marking its third consecutive positive day.

4小时图中，BTC价格走势显示看涨突破局部阻力趋势线。在重新测试后出现逆转后，BTC 价格看涨回升至 96,000 美元上方，这是连续第三个上涨日。

The recovery run saw a price increase from $92,637 to $96,900, reflecting a 4.61% rise. However, the intraday pullback of 0.11% has dropped the current market value to $96,804.

复苏过程中价格从 92,637 美元上涨至 96,900 美元，上涨 4.61%。然而，盘中0.11%的回调使当前市值跌至96,804美元。

This marks a minor retest of the broken 100 EMA line on the 4-hour chart. Moreover, the recovery rally has resulted in a bullish crossover between the 20 and 50 EMA lines, heightening the possibility of a golden crossover.

这标志着 4 小时图表上对 100 EMA 线的小幅重新测试。此外，复苏反弹导致 20 和 50 EMA 线之间出现看涨交叉，增加了黄金交叉的可能性。

The 4-hour RSI has shifted sideways, just below the overbought boundary, indicating an overall bullish sentiment. As a result, the dynamic average lines and momentum indicator are signaling a buy for Bitcoin.

4 小时 RSI 横向移动，略低于超买边界，表明整体看涨情绪。因此，动态平均线和动量指标发出了买入比特币的信号。

BlackRock Sees Outflow as Other Bitcoin ETFs Recover

随着其他比特币 ETF 复苏，贝莱德预计出现资金外流

Despite the market’s bullish trend, institutional support for Bitcoin seems to be slowing down. While five out of nine Bitcoin ETFs registered positive inflows on Thursday, BlackRock’s IBIT ETF experienced a massive outflow of $332.62 million.

尽管市场趋势看涨，但机构对比特币的支持似乎正在放缓。虽然周四，九只比特币 ETF 中有五只出现正流入，但贝莱德的 IBIT ETF 却出现了 3.3262 亿美元的大规模流出。

This results in a daily net outflow of $242.30 million. Notably, the Thursday negative flow from BlackRock, the largest Bitcoin ETF, marked its biggest-ever outflow.

这导致每日净流出 2.423 亿美元。值得注意的是，最大的比特币 ETF 贝莱德周四出现负资金流出，标志着其有史以来最大的资金流出。

BTC Price Targets

比特币价格目标

With a post-retest reversal from the 100 EMA line, Bitcoin’s bull run is likely to target the immediate resistance at $99,514. A breakthrough could significantly increase the chances of Bitcoin reclaiming the $100,000 mark in January 2025.

随着重新测试 100 EMA 线后的逆转，比特币的牛市可能会瞄准 99,514 美元的直接阻力位。如果取得突破，比特币在 2025 年 1 月重回 10 万美元大关的机会可能会大大增加。

However, a decline below the 100 EMA line would alter the current market dynamics. This could lead to a retest of the 50 EMA line at $95,304.

然而，跌破 100 EMA 线将改变当前的市场动态。这可能导致重新测试 50 EMA 线 95,304 美元。

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