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尽管 9 月份收盘呈绿色,但比特币 (BTC) 和其他市场在 10 月份伊始就面临着另一场大屠杀。
Bitcoin (BTC) price began October with a downturn, losing 7% of its value in the first week and triggering a bearish sentiment among investors. However, most analysts remain optimistic about BTC’s performance in the next three months.
比特币(BTC)价格从 10 月份开始就出现低迷,第一周就下跌了 7%,引发了投资者的看跌情绪。不过,大多数分析师仍对比特币未来三个月的表现持乐观态度。
After a green close in September, Bitcoin price opened the new month with a bearish trend, losing 6.5% of its market capitalization in the first market shakeout of Q4 2023. Most cryptocurrencies in the top 100 registered a considerable price drop despite showing green numbers in the daily and weekly timeframes.
在 9 月份以绿色收盘后,比特币价格以看跌趋势开启了新的一个月,在 2023 年第四季度的第一次市场震荡中,其市值损失了 6.5%。尽管 2023 年第四季度的数字呈绿色,但前 100 名中的大多数加密货币的价格均出现了大幅下跌。每日和每周的时间范围。
The bleeding was led by Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market cap, as its price dropped below the $61,000 support zone, a range not seen in nearly two weeks. The downturn followed the news of an Iranian missile strike on Israel, which seemed to have sparked a selloff among investors.
市值最大的加密货币比特币领跌,其价格跌破 61,000 美元的支撑区域,这是近两周来未曾见过的区间。伊朗导弹袭击以色列的消息引发了投资者的抛售,引发了经济低迷。
The occurrence ended the BTC spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) 8-day inflow streak and triggered the liquidation of over $526 million in leveraged positions in the last 24 hours.
这一事件结束了 BTC 现货交易所交易基金 (ETF) 连续 8 天的流入,并在过去 24 小时内引发了超过 5.26 亿美元的杠杆头寸清算。
Despite the bearish sentiment, many industry watchers remained unfazed by the market shakeout, considering that the month has just started. In a series of X posts, crypto analyst Jelle pointed out that Bitcoin price historically began its second leg higher during October in the past bull years.
尽管市场情绪悲观,但考虑到这个月才刚刚开始,许多行业观察人士仍然没有受到市场震荡的影响。在一系列 X 帖子中,加密货币分析师 Jelle 指出,在过去的牛市年份中,比特币价格历史上在 10 月份开始第二轮走高。
He explained that BTC’s price historically breaks out in the second or third week of the month, so the first week retrace could be the “final shakeout before new highs.” Moreover, he highlighted that the flagship crypto recently made the first higher high in 6 months and reclaimed the key resistance level above $60,000.
他解释说,历史上比特币的价格会在每月的第二周或第三周突破,因此第一周的回调可能是“新高之前的最后一次震荡”。此外,他强调,旗舰加密货币最近创下了 6 个月来的首个更高高点,并收复了 60,000 美元上方的关键阻力位。
Jelle also noted that BTC made a higher low on October 1, holding the $60,000 support zone and retesting its strength above the $61,000 mark. The analyst considers that “It’s time for this descending broadening wedge to start playing out,” reasserting his previous target of $90,000.
Jelle 还指出,BTC 在 10 月 1 日创下了更高的低点,守住了 60,000 美元的支撑区域,并重新测试了其在 61,000 美元大关上方的强度。这位分析师认为,“现在是这个下行楔形开始发挥作用的时候了”,重申了他先前的 90,000 美元目标。
Other analysts also shared their views on the market shakeout. Altcoin Sherpa highlighted that “the last time we saw this much compression with 1d EMAs was September 2023, right before the market skyrocketed.”
其他分析师也分享了他们对市场震荡的看法。 Altcoin Sherpa 强调,“我们上次看到 1 日 EMA 出现如此大的压缩是在 2023 年 9 月,就在市场飙升之前。”
Meanwhile, DonAlt expressed a more cautious approach, stating that Bitcoin could look “much worse” considering the circumstances, but suggested waiting for the weekly close would be best to conclude.
与此同时,DonAlt 表达了更为谨慎的态度,表示考虑到当前情况,比特币可能看起来“更糟”,但建议最好等待每周收盘后得出结论。
However, trader Daan Crypto Trades pointed out that Bitcoin has “bottomed/topped at basically the same time” since June. Per the post, on the fifth day of each month, BTC’s price has registered a massive correction, except for September, when it occurred on the sixth day.
然而,交易员 Daan Crypto Trades 指出,自 6 月份以来,比特币“基本同时见底/见顶”。根据该帖子,比特币的价格在每个月的第五天都会出现大幅调整,但 9 月份除外,当时的调整发生在第五天。
During the Q3 retraces, BTC registered daily red candles ahead of the fifth-day plunge. The price recorded a 16.3%, 25%, and 11% decline in July, August, and September from the beginning of each month until the end of the first-week shakeout.
在第三季度回撤期间,比特币在第五天暴跌之前出现每日红色蜡烛。 7月、8月、9月从月初到首周震荡结束,价格分别录得16.3%、25%和11%的跌幅。
If the pattern repeated this month, investors could see BTC’s price dropping below the recently reclaimed $60,000 support level and test the strengths of lower key support zones. However, it would also mean that the flagship cryptocurrency would potentially recover by the start of the second week.
如果本月重复这种模式,投资者可能会看到 BTC 的价格跌破最近收复的 60,000 美元支撑位,并测试较低关键支撑区域的强度。然而,这也意味着旗舰加密货币可能会在第二周初恢复。
As of this writing, BTC is trading at $61,466, a 2% drop in the last 24 hours.
截至撰写本文时,BTC 交易价格为 61,466 美元,在过去 24 小时内下跌了 2%。
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