比特币（BTC）受到交易量减少的影响，但市场结构仍然看涨

十多天来，比特币似乎一直停留在 10 万美元大关下方。原因是什么？节后流动性不足和交易量明显不足的结合。

Bitcoin has been trading below the $100,000 mark for over ten days now. Several factors could be contributing to this, including post-holiday illiquidity and a glaring lack of trading volumes. However, experts agree that this ceiling is only a temporary hurdle. But what factors will finally propel the flagship cryptocurrency beyond this symbolic threshold? Let’s dive into the current forecasts and challenges of a market in search of breath.

比特币价格一直低于 10 万美元大关已有十多天了。有几个因素可能导致这种情况，包括节后流动性不足和交易量明显不足。然而，专家们一致认为，这个上限只是​​暂时的障碍。但哪些因素最终将推动旗舰加密货币突破这一象征性门槛呢？让我们深入了解市场当前的预测和挑战，以寻求喘息之机。

Bitcoin, hostage to dwindling trading volumes

比特币成为交易量减少的人质

One of the major obstacles to the rebound of Bitcoin’s price remains the collapse of trading volumes. Indeed, with just $66.7 million traded daily as of January 3rd, the market is far from its peak of $743 million recorded on December 5th, when BTC first crossed the $100,000 mark.

比特币价格反弹的主要障碍之一仍然是交易量的崩溃。事实上，截至 1 月 3 日，市场日交易量仅为 6670 万美元，距离 12 月 5 日 BTC 首次突破 10 万美元大关时创下的 7.43 亿美元峰值还相去甚远。

Axel Adler, an analyst at CryptoQuant, summarizes the situation:

CryptoQuant 分析师阿克塞尔·阿德勒 (Axel Adler) 总结了这一情况：

“For a strong impulse, we are lacking sufficient trading volume. We are waiting for the market to recover from the holiday period.”

“对于强劲的冲动，我们缺乏足够的交易量。我们正在等待市场从假期期间恢复过来。”

However, the market structure remains bullish, a sign of imminent potential.

然而，市场结构仍然看涨，这是潜力迫在眉睫的迹象。

Some key figures:

一些关键数字：

If investors finally wake up, a new peak could be in sight by the end of the month.

如果投资者最终醒悟，新的峰值可能会在本月底出现。

Crypto Trading: Trump, ETF, and January Catalysts

加密货币交易：特朗普、ETF 和 1 月催化剂

Paradoxically, the imminent arrival of Donald Trump at the White House could inject an unexpected breath into the crypto market. Expectations surround more favorable economic and regulatory policies, although Bitfinex remains cautious: the inauguration would not act as an immediate engine for BTC’s price.

矛盾的是，唐纳德·特朗普即将入主白宫可能会给加密货币市场注入意想不到的活力。尽管 Bitfinex 仍保持谨慎态度，但人们对更有利的经济和监管政策抱有期望：就职典礼不会成为 BTC 价格的直接引擎。

Another major lever is the rise of Bitcoin ETF, which total nearly $110 billion in assets under management. This institutional adoption could enhance Bitcoin’s appeal to traditional investors.

另一个主要杠杆是比特币 ETF 的崛起，其管理的资产总额接近 1100 亿美元。这种机构采用可以增强比特币对传统投资者的吸引力。

Finally, the outlook for 2025 remains optimistic, with price predictions reaching up to $200,000, driven by a growing risk appetite in a changing economic environment.

最后，2025 年的前景仍然乐观，在不断变化的经济环境中风险偏好不断增长的推动下，价格预测高达 20 万美元。

Thus, the report by Bravo Research, which predicts a correction to $80,000 as a “game changer”, raises an intriguing truth: an attractive price would open the door to new investors. It remains to be seen if this scenario will prevail against still hesitant markets.

因此，Bravo Research 的报告预测将调整至 80,000 美元作为“游戏规则改变者”，提出了一个有趣的事实：有吸引力的价格将为新投资者打开大门。这种情况是否会在仍然犹豫不决的市场中盛行还有待观察。

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