比特幣（BTC）受到交易量減少的影響，但市場結構仍看漲

十多天來，比特幣似乎停留在 10 萬美元大關下方。原因是什麼？節後流動性不足和交易量明顯不足的組合。

Bitcoin has been trading below the $100,000 mark for over ten days now. Several factors could be contributing to this, including post-holiday illiquidity and a glaring lack of trading volumes. However, experts agree that this ceiling is only a temporary hurdle. But what factors will finally propel the flagship cryptocurrency beyond this symbolic threshold? Let’s dive into the current forecasts and challenges of a market in search of breath.

比特幣價格一直低於 10 萬美元大關已有十多天了。有幾個因素可能導致這種情況，包括節後流動性不足和交易量明顯不足。然而，專家們一致認為，這個上限只是暫時的障礙。但哪些因素最終將推動旗艦加密貨幣突破這項象徵性門檻呢？讓我們深入了解市場當前的預測和挑戰，以尋求喘息之機。

Bitcoin, hostage to dwindling trading volumes

比特幣成為交易量減少的人質

One of the major obstacles to the rebound of Bitcoin’s price remains the collapse of trading volumes. Indeed, with just $66.7 million traded daily as of January 3rd, the market is far from its peak of $743 million recorded on December 5th, when BTC first crossed the $100,000 mark.

比特幣價格反彈的主要障礙之一仍然是交易量的崩潰。事實上，截至 1 月 3 日，市場日交易量僅為 6,670 萬美元，距離 12 月 5 日 BTC 首次突破 10 萬美元大關時創下的 7.43 億美元高峰還相去甚遠。

Axel Adler, an analyst at CryptoQuant, summarizes the situation:

CryptoQuant 分析師 Axel Adler 總結了這個情況：

“For a strong impulse, we are lacking sufficient trading volume. We are waiting for the market to recover from the holiday period.”

「對於強勁的衝動，我們缺乏足夠的交易量。我們正在等待市場從假期期間恢復過來。

However, the market structure remains bullish, a sign of imminent potential.

然而，市場結構仍看漲，這是潛力迫在眉睫的跡象。

Some key figures:

一些關鍵數字：

If investors finally wake up, a new peak could be in sight by the end of the month.

如果投資者最終醒悟，新的高峰可能會在本月底出現。

Crypto Trading: Trump, ETF, and January Catalysts

加密貨幣交易：川普、ETF 和 1 月催化劑

Paradoxically, the imminent arrival of Donald Trump at the White House could inject an unexpected breath into the crypto market. Expectations surround more favorable economic and regulatory policies, although Bitfinex remains cautious: the inauguration would not act as an immediate engine for BTC’s price.

矛盾的是，唐納川普即將入主白宮可能會為加密貨幣市場注入意想不到的活力。儘管 Bitfinex 仍保持謹慎態度，但人們對更有利的經濟和監管政策抱有期望：就職典禮不會成為 BTC 價格的直接引擎。

Another major lever is the rise of Bitcoin ETF, which total nearly $110 billion in assets under management. This institutional adoption could enhance Bitcoin’s appeal to traditional investors.

另一個主要槓桿是比特幣 ETF 的崛起，其管理的資產總額接近 1,100 億美元。這種機構採用可以增強比特幣對傳統投資者的吸引力。

Finally, the outlook for 2025 remains optimistic, with price predictions reaching up to $200,000, driven by a growing risk appetite in a changing economic environment.

最後，2025 年的前景仍然樂觀，在不斷變化的經濟環境中風險偏好不斷增長的推動下，價格預測高達 20 萬美元。

Thus, the report by Bravo Research, which predicts a correction to $80,000 as a “game changer”, raises an intriguing truth: an attractive price would open the door to new investors. It remains to be seen if this scenario will prevail against still hesitant markets.

因此，Bravo Research 的報告預測將調整至 80,000 美元作為“遊戲規則改變者”，提出了一個有趣的事實：有吸引力的價格將為新投資者打開大門。這種情況是否會在仍猶豫不決的市場中佔上風還有待觀察。

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