随着公牛队努力打破抵抗力

比特币看到了另一天的侧向价格行动，因为公牛队努力超越了85,000美元的心理阻力水平。

Bitcoin (BTC) price hovered in a familiar range on Saturday, failing to sustain bullish momentum as new bearish news hit an already rattled market.

比特币（BTC）的价格在周六的熟悉范围内徘徊，由于新看跌新闻爆发了一个已经嘎嘎作响的市场，因此未能维持看涨的势头。

Tech markets like cryptocurrencies shed a notable chunk of their valuation as fresh risk-off trades battered traders.

当新的风险交易遭受重创的交易者时，像加密货币这样的科技市场占据了显着的估值。

By late Asian trading hours on April 16, the total crypto market capitalisation slipped nearly 0.6% to $2.74 trillion.

到4月16日的亚洲交易小时后，加密货币市值的总额近0.6％，至2.7.4万亿美元。

Market sentiment also weakened, dropping 9 points to 29, firmly back in fear territory, which also kept most of the top altcoins from hitting double-digit gains.

市场情绪也削弱了，在恐惧领土上稳固地降至29分，这也使大多数顶级山寨币无法达到两位数的增长。

Why is Bitcoin down today?

为什么比特币今天下降？

Several factors are weighing on Bitcoin and the broader crypto market today.

当今比特币和更广泛的加密货币市场的几个因素正在权衡。

For starters, Wall Street turned red after the Trump administration imposed new restrictions on Nvidia’s chip exports to China.

首先，在特朗普政府对NVIDIA向中国的筹码出口施加了新的限制后，华尔街变成了红色。

That spooked investors and sparked fears of another round of aggressive trade tariffs, dragging down risk assets across the board.

这使投资者感到震惊，并引起了对另一轮积极贸易关税的担忧，全面削减了风险资产。

Nasdaq 100 futures slipped over 2.3%, and chipmakers like ASML (AMS:ASML) tanked more than 7% on demand concerns.

纳斯达克100期货的下滑超过2.3％，诸如ASML（AMS：ASML）之类的芯片制造商逐渐提高了7％以上的问题。

The weakness in tech quickly rippled into crypto, which has remained tightly correlated with US equities since mid-2020.

技术的弱点迅速爆发到加密货币，自2020年中以来，它一直与美国股票密切相关。

Adding to the pressure, reports emerged that China may be offloading its seized Bitcoin holdings.

据报道，除了压力外，中国可能正在卸载其被查获的比特币持有量。

Local authorities across multiple municipalities are allegedly selling around 15,000 BTC, worth over $1.4 billion, via offshore exchanges.

据称，多个市政当局的地方当局通过离岸交易所出售了约15,000 BTC，价值超过14亿美元的BTC。

That’s a sharp contrast to the US, which is looking to hold confiscated crypto as part of a national reserve.

这与美国形成鲜明对比，美国希望将被没收的加密货币作为国家预备役的一部分。

The risk-off mood was further reflected in gold markets. The precious metal hit a new all-time high of over $3,317 per ounce, confirming that investor sentiment was more skewed towards safe-haven assets.

黄金市场进一步反映了风险情绪。贵金属的新历史最高高价超过每盎司3,317美元，证实投资者的情绪更加偏向于安全资产。

Bitcoin’s role as a safe-haven asset also appears to be fading, at least for now.

至少目前，比特币作为避风港资产的作用似乎也正在消失。

Gold has clearly stolen the spotlight this year, climbing 26.5% year-to-date, while Bitcoin slipped 11.5% in the same period.

今年，黄金显然偷走了聚光灯，逐年攀升26.5％，而比特币在同一时期下跌了11.5％。

That performance gap has tilted investor preference toward the yellow metal, especially during periods of heightened geopolitical uncertainty.

这种绩效差距使投资者偏爱黄金金属，尤其是在地缘政治不确定性的时期。

Meanwhile, demand for spot Bitcoin ETFs, once a major source of institutional momentum, has started to cool off.

同时，曾经是机构势头的主要来源的现货比特币ETF的需求已经开始降温。

Between March 28 and April 15, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw nearly $964 million in net outflows, according to data from Farside Investors.

根据Farside Investors的数据，在3月28日至4月15日之间，现货比特币ETF的净流出量近9.64亿美元。

With institutional inflows drying up, weakened demand is now visibly capping Bitcoin’s price momentum.

随着机构流入干燥，现在的需求减弱是明显的比特币的价格动力。

What’s next for Bitcoin?

比特币的下一步是什么？

As previously reported by Invezz, Bitcoin has been trying to break past a key resistance zone at around $85,000 for several weeks now.

正如Invezz先前报道的那样，比特币一直试图在数周内以约85,000美元的价格打破钥匙阻力区。

This ceiling is proving difficult to penetrate, and it's pushing back on any attempts at a sustained breakout.

事实证明，这种天花板很难穿透，并且正在逐步推动持续突破的任何尝试。

Technical indicators such as the Ichimoku Cloud also factor into this analysis.

诸如Ichimoku云之类的技术指标也将其纳入该分析。

The cloud is currently aligning with the $85K region, which is capping Bitcoin's upside.

云目前正在与$ 85K的区域保持一致，该区域是封盖比特币的上行空间。

Historically, this level has presented challenges for Bitcoin. The last two rejections, on April 2 and February 21, both led to sharp corrections, pulling Bitcoin back down toward the $75,000 range.

从历史上看，这一水平提出了比特币的挑战。在4月2日和2月21日的最后两个拒绝中，两者都进行了急剧的校正，将比特币降低到了75,000美元的范围。

Therefore, unless Bitcoin manages to establish a decisive breakout above this resistance, the possibility of another downside move remains high.

因此，除非比特币设法在这种抵抗力之上建立了决定性的突破，否则另一个下行移动的可能性仍然很高。

Key support levels on the way down are the $80,000 psychological level.

下降途中的主要支持水平是80,000美元的心理水平。

Further down, the main area of interest lies between the $74,400 range low (from April 7) and the $76,600 low reached on March 11.

此外，关注的主要区域位于74,400美元的低点（从4月7日起）和3月11日的76,600美元低点。

These are important levels for Bitcoin to maintain a bullish structure, according to MN Capital founder Michael van de Poppe.

根据MN Capital创始人Michael Van de Poppe的说法，这是比特币保持看涨结构的重要水平。

According to MN Capital founder Michael van de Poppe, Bitcoin needs to hold the zone between $74,400 and $76,600 to maintain its broader bullish structure in the short term.

根据MN Capital创始人Michael Van de Poppe的说法，比特币需要在短期内保持其74,400至76,600美元的区域，以维持其更广泛的看涨结构。

This range includes key recent lows from April 7 and March 11 and will likely be the main area of interest if the $80,000 psychological support gives way. A break below that could open the door to a deeper correction in the near term.

该范围包括4月7日和3月11日的关键最低低点，如果80,000美元的心理支持让位，可能会成为关注的主要领域。下面的休息时间可以在短期内打开更深层校正的大门。

BTC/USDT 4 hour chart. Source: Michaël van de Poppe.

BTC/USDT 4 HOR图表。资料来源：MichaëlVande Poppe。

However, on the monthly setup, Bitcoin technicals remain bullish, according to analyst Crypto Rover.

但是，根据分析师Crypto Rover的说法，在每月设置中，比特币技术仍然看涨。

In a chart shared on X, Rover compared Bitcoin’s current price structure with gold’s historic Elliott Wave pattern. Both assets appear to be following a similar 5-wave formation, where Bitcoin is now completing wave 4 and potentially gearing up for a strong wave 5 breakout.

在X上共享的图表中，Rover将比特币的当前价格结构与Gold的历史性Elliott Wave模式进行了比较。这两个资产似乎都遵循类似的5波层，其中比特币现在正在完成Wave 4，并有可能为强力5的突破而准备。

Rover highlighted how gold rallied massively after a similar pullback in its fourth wave, and suggested that Bitcoin might

漫游者强调了在第四波中类似的回调后，黄金如何大规模集会，并建议比特币可能