隨著公牛隊努力打破抵抗力

比特幣看到了另一天的側向價格行動，因為公牛隊努力超越了85,000美元的心理阻力水平。

Bitcoin (BTC) price hovered in a familiar range on Saturday, failing to sustain bullish momentum as new bearish news hit an already rattled market.

比特幣（BTC）的價格在周六的熟悉範圍內徘徊，由於新看跌新聞爆發了一個已經嘎嘎作響的市場，因此未能維持看漲的勢頭。

Tech markets like cryptocurrencies shed a notable chunk of their valuation as fresh risk-off trades battered traders.

當新的風險交易遭受重創的交易者時，像加密貨幣這樣的科技市場佔據了顯著的估值。

By late Asian trading hours on April 16, the total crypto market capitalisation slipped nearly 0.6% to $2.74 trillion.

到4月16日的亞洲交易小時後，加密貨幣市值的總額近0.6％，至2.7.4萬億美元。

Market sentiment also weakened, dropping 9 points to 29, firmly back in fear territory, which also kept most of the top altcoins from hitting double-digit gains.

市場情緒也削弱了，在恐懼領土上穩固地降至29分，這也使大多數頂級山寨幣無法達到兩位數的增長。

Why is Bitcoin down today?

為什麼比特幣今天下降？

Several factors are weighing on Bitcoin and the broader crypto market today.

當今比特幣和更廣泛的加密貨幣市場的幾個因素正在權衡。

For starters, Wall Street turned red after the Trump administration imposed new restrictions on Nvidia’s chip exports to China.

首先，在特朗普政府對NVIDIA向中國的籌碼出口施加了新的限制後，華爾街變成了紅色。

That spooked investors and sparked fears of another round of aggressive trade tariffs, dragging down risk assets across the board.

這使投資者感到震驚，並引起了對另一輪積極貿易關稅的擔憂，全面削減了風險資產。

Nasdaq 100 futures slipped over 2.3%, and chipmakers like ASML (AMS:ASML) tanked more than 7% on demand concerns.

納斯達克100期貨的下滑超過2.3％，諸如ASML（AMS：ASML）之類的芯片製造商逐漸提高了7％以上的問題。

The weakness in tech quickly rippled into crypto, which has remained tightly correlated with US equities since mid-2020.

技術的弱點迅速爆發到加密貨幣，自2020年中以來，它一直與美國股票密切相關。

Adding to the pressure, reports emerged that China may be offloading its seized Bitcoin holdings.

據報導，除了壓力外，中國可能正在卸載其被查獲的比特幣持有量。

Local authorities across multiple municipalities are allegedly selling around 15,000 BTC, worth over $1.4 billion, via offshore exchanges.

據稱，多個市政當局的地方當局通過離岸交易所出售了約15,000 BTC，價值超過14億美元的BTC。

That’s a sharp contrast to the US, which is looking to hold confiscated crypto as part of a national reserve.

這與美國形成鮮明對比，美國希望將被沒收的加密貨幣作為國家預備役的一部分。

The risk-off mood was further reflected in gold markets. The precious metal hit a new all-time high of over $3,317 per ounce, confirming that investor sentiment was more skewed towards safe-haven assets.

黃金市場進一步反映了風險情緒。貴金屬的新歷史最高高價超過每盎司3,317美元，證實投資者的情緒更加偏向於安全資產。

Bitcoin’s role as a safe-haven asset also appears to be fading, at least for now.

至少目前，比特幣作為避風港資產的作用似乎也正在消失。

Gold has clearly stolen the spotlight this year, climbing 26.5% year-to-date, while Bitcoin slipped 11.5% in the same period.

今年，黃金顯然偷走了聚光燈，逐年攀升26.5％，而比特幣在同一時期下跌了11.5％。

That performance gap has tilted investor preference toward the yellow metal, especially during periods of heightened geopolitical uncertainty.

這種績效差距使投資者偏愛黃金金屬，尤其是在地緣政治不確定性的時期。

Meanwhile, demand for spot Bitcoin ETFs, once a major source of institutional momentum, has started to cool off.

同時，曾經是機構勢頭的主要來源的現貨比特幣ETF的需求已經開始降溫。

Between March 28 and April 15, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw nearly $964 million in net outflows, according to data from Farside Investors.

根據Farside Investors的數據，在3月28日至4月15日之間，現貨比特幣ETF的淨流出量近9.64億美元。

With institutional inflows drying up, weakened demand is now visibly capping Bitcoin’s price momentum.

隨著機構流入乾燥，現在的需求減弱是明顯的比特幣的價格動力。

What’s next for Bitcoin?

比特幣的下一步是什麼？

As previously reported by Invezz, Bitcoin has been trying to break past a key resistance zone at around $85,000 for several weeks now.

正如Invezz先前報導的那樣，比特幣一直試圖在數週內以約85,000美元的價格打破鑰匙阻力區。

This ceiling is proving difficult to penetrate, and it's pushing back on any attempts at a sustained breakout.

事實證明，這種天花板很難穿透，並且正在逐步推動持續突破的任何嘗試。

Technical indicators such as the Ichimoku Cloud also factor into this analysis.

諸如Ichimoku雲之類的技術指標也將其納入該分析。

The cloud is currently aligning with the $85K region, which is capping Bitcoin's upside.

雲目前正在與$ 85K的區域保持一致，該區域是封蓋比特幣的上行空間。

Historically, this level has presented challenges for Bitcoin. The last two rejections, on April 2 and February 21, both led to sharp corrections, pulling Bitcoin back down toward the $75,000 range.

從歷史上看，這一水平提出了比特幣的挑戰。在4月2日和2月21日的最後兩個拒絕中，兩者都進行了急劇的校正，將比特幣降低到了75,000美元的範圍。

Therefore, unless Bitcoin manages to establish a decisive breakout above this resistance, the possibility of another downside move remains high.

因此，除非比特幣設法在這種抵抗力之上建立了決定性的突破，否則另一個下行移動的可能性仍然很高。

Key support levels on the way down are the $80,000 psychological level.

下降途中的主要支持水平是80,000美元的心理水平。

Further down, the main area of interest lies between the $74,400 range low (from April 7) and the $76,600 low reached on March 11.

此外，關注的主要區域位於74,400美元的低點（從4月7日起）和3月11日的76,600美元低點。

These are important levels for Bitcoin to maintain a bullish structure, according to MN Capital founder Michael van de Poppe.

根據MN Capital創始人Michael Van de Poppe的說法，這是比特幣保持看漲結構的重要水平。

According to MN Capital founder Michael van de Poppe, Bitcoin needs to hold the zone between $74,400 and $76,600 to maintain its broader bullish structure in the short term.

根據MN Capital創始人Michael Van de Poppe的說法，比特幣需要在短期內保持其74,400至76,600美元的區域，以維持其更廣泛的看漲結構。

This range includes key recent lows from April 7 and March 11 and will likely be the main area of interest if the $80,000 psychological support gives way. A break below that could open the door to a deeper correction in the near term.

該範圍包括4月7日和3月11日的關鍵最低低點，如果80,000美元的心理支持讓位，可能會成為關注的主要領域。下面的休息時間可以在短期內打開更深層校正的大門。

BTC/USDT 4 hour chart. Source: Michaël van de Poppe.

BTC/USDT 4 HOR圖表。資料來源：MichaëlVande Poppe。

However, on the monthly setup, Bitcoin technicals remain bullish, according to analyst Crypto Rover.

但是，根據分析師Crypto Rover的說法，在每月設置中，比特幣技術仍然看漲。

In a chart shared on X, Rover compared Bitcoin’s current price structure with gold’s historic Elliott Wave pattern. Both assets appear to be following a similar 5-wave formation, where Bitcoin is now completing wave 4 and potentially gearing up for a strong wave 5 breakout.

在X上共享的圖表中，Rover將比特幣的當前價格結構與Gold的歷史性Elliott Wave模式進行了比較。這兩個資產似乎都遵循類似的5波層，其中比特幣現在正在完成Wave 4，並有可能為強力5的突破而準備。

Rover highlighted how gold rallied massively after a similar pullback in its fourth wave, and suggested that Bitcoin might

漫遊者強調了在第四波中類似的回調後，黃金如何大規模集會，並建議比特幣可能