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当唐纳德·特朗普总统认为取代杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell
President Donald Trump is considering replacing Jerome Powell as current chair of the Federal Reserve, even though he does not have the authority to do so, reported CCN.
CCN报道说,唐纳德·特朗普总统正在考虑取代杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)为美联储现任主席,即使他无权这样做。
If the markets start pricing in lower future interest rates, it usually weakens the dollar and boosts demand for alternative assets like Bitcoin (BTC).
如果市场开始以较低的未来利率定价,则通常会削弱美元并提高对比特币(BTC)等替代资产的需求。
So far, Powell has been resisting calls to raise interest rates.
到目前为止,鲍威尔一直在抵制提高利率的呼吁。
At last check Saturday, Bitcoin was trading at $85,232.30. Its price has remained between the support and resistance points at $84,000 and $85,000, up by about 14% above the lowest point this month. See below.
在周六的最后一支支票上,比特币的交易价格为85,232.30美元。它的价格保持在支撑位和电阻点之间的价格为84,000美元和85,000美元,比本月最低点高约14%。见下文。
According to the U.S. Federal Reserve Act, the president can’t fire the chair. The Fed is designed to be independent of political influence so it can make decisions in the best interest of the economy, even if they’re unpopular with the White House.
根据《美国美联储法》,总统不能解雇主席。美联储旨在独立于政治影响力,因此即使白宫不受欢迎,也可以为经济的最大利益做出决定。
But Trump’s White House has normalized challenging virtually all political precedents, such as defying court orders on immigration and punishing news organizations that the administration doesn’t like.
但是,特朗普的白宫几乎挑战了所有政治先例,例如违背法院对移民的命令和惩罚政府不喜欢的新闻机构的命令。
And now, according to Kevin Hassett, the National Economic Council director, Trump is studying whether he has the authority to replace Powell. His statement came after Trump told the press:
现在,根据国家经济委员会主任凯文·哈塞特(Kevin Hassett)的说法,特朗普正在研究他是否有权取代鲍威尔。在特朗普告诉媒体之后,他的声明发表了:
“I’m not happy with him. I let him know it. And oh, if I want him out, he’ll be out of there real fast, believe me. If we had a Fed chairman who understood what he was doing, interest rates would be coming down.”
“我对他不满意。我让他知道。哦,如果我想让他出去,他会很快离开那里,相信我。如果我们有一个美联储主席,他了解他在做什么,那么利率就会下降。”
Trump’s statement followed Powell’s insistence that the Fed was not in a hurry to cut interest rates. Instead, the bank is focusing on Trump’s tariffs and whether they will lead to higher inflation. Mary Daly, another Fed official, stated that rate cuts would need to be delayed if inflation persisted at high levels.
在鲍威尔坚持认为美联储不急于降低利率的声明之后,特朗普的声明。取而代之的是,该银行专注于特朗普的关税以及是否会导致更高的通货膨胀。另一位美联储官员玛丽·戴利(Mary Daly)表示,如果通货膨胀率持续高水平,则需要降低利率。
Experts state that Trump can only fire Powell “for cause,” which is often interpreted to mean “gross misconduct.” Should Trump remove him without cause, it could attract major legal challenges.
专家指出,特朗普只能“为了事业”开除鲍威尔,这通常被解释为“严重不当行为”。如果特朗普无缘无故将他撤职,那可能会引起重大的法律挑战。
CNN reported that Trump is considering former Fed governor and crypto startup investor Kevin Warsh to be Fed chair once Powell’s time ends.
美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)报告说,特朗普(Trump)正在考虑前美联储州长和加密初创企业投资者凯文·沃什(Kevin Warsh)担任鲍威尔(Powell)的时间结束后成为主席。
What does it mean for Bitcoin?
这对比特币意味着什么?
Cryptocurrency bulls see firing the Fed chair as an erosion of confidence in the central bank. The theory is that such a move would drive the U.S. dollar lower and Bitcoin higher in the long term.
加密货币公牛将解雇美联储椅子是对中央银行信心的侵蚀。理论是,从长远来看,这种举动将使美元降低和比特币更高。
Historically, currencies of central banks that lack independence often underperform. Examples of these are the Turkish lira and the Zimbabwe dollar.
从历史上看,缺乏独立性的中央银行的货币通常表现不佳。这些例子是土耳其里拉和津巴布韦美元。
The 4H chart below shows that Bitcoin has been in a tight range in the past few weeks. Notice how it has moved slightly above the 50-period moving average.
下面的4H图表显示,过去几周比特币处于严格范围。请注意,它的移动方式略高于50周期的移动平均线。
Most importantly, the coin has formed a bullish pennant. This widely recognized bullish pattern consists of a vertical line and a symmetrical triangle. It often leads to a strong bullish breakout when the triangles are nearing their confluence.
最重要的是,硬币已经形成了看涨的佳肴。这种公认的看涨模式由垂直线和对称三角形组成。当三角形接近汇合时,这通常会导致强烈的看涨突破。
Therefore, Bitcoin is expected to have a strong bullish breakout, with the next point to watch being at $88,585, its highest level in April.
因此,预计比特币将有强烈的看涨突破,下一个观看的观点为88,585美元,是4月的最高水平。
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