随着卖方继续持有，比特币（BTC）尝试$ 85,000的回收率

在一月份达到了109,071美元的历史最高点之后，特朗普的就职典礼迎来了一个撤回阶段的女巫比特币（BTC）

Bitcoin (BTC) price attempted to recover above the $85,000 mark on Sunday, marking an 11% rebound from last week’s bottom of $76,000.

比特币（BTC）的价格试图在周日的85,000美元以上恢复高于$ 85,000，这是上周76,000美元的底部11％的反弹。

This recovery follows positive indicators from the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) reports, which pointed towards a slowing rate of inflation.

这种恢复遵循美国消费者价格指数（CPI）和生产商价格指数（PPI）报告的积极指标，该报告指出了通货膨胀率降低的情况。

However, sellers are still holding strong, and Bitcoin faces a crucial test at the $89,000 resistance, which could determine further gains or a potential decline towards the $76,000 support level.

但是，卖方仍然保持强劲，比特币面临着一个关键的测试，以89,000美元的阻力，这可以决定进一步的收益或潜在的下降，即支撑76,000美元的支持水平。

Bitcoin attempts $85,000 recovery as sellers continue to hold

随着卖家的继续，比特币尝试了85,000美元的回收率

After hitting a high of $109,071 in January, Bitcoin has entered a pullback phase, with the cryptocurrency now attempting to rise above the $85,000 mark.

在一月份达到109,071美元的高价之后，比特币进入了回调阶段，而加密货币现在试图超过85,000美元。

This attempt follows a sharp decline of nearly 30% from the recent lows of $76,000, which occurred last week amid various geopolitical tensions following President Trump’s intervention early this month and recent US trade tariff announcements.

这项尝试与最近的76,000美元的低点相比，在特朗普本月初的干预以及最近的美国贸易关税公告之后，上周发生了近30％的急剧下降。

However, positive indicators from the US CPI and PPI reports published last week have spurred a recovery.

但是，上周发布的美国CPI和PPI报告的积极指标刺激了恢复。

Specifically, on March 13, Bitcoin price briefly crossed the $85,000 handle, reflecting a 11.1% gain from the previous week’s low of $76,000, which was reached on Tuesday.

具体来说，在3月13日，比特币价格短暂地越过了85,000美元的手柄，反映了上一周的低点76,000美元的11.1％，这是在周二达到的。

This suggests that investor sentiment has improved significantly since the CPI data release, with many opting to hold their positions ahead of upcoming macroeconomic announcements.

这表明自CPI数据发布以来，投资者的情绪已得到显着改善，许多人选择在即将发布的宏观经济公告之前担任自己的职位。

What Fed rate outcomes could drive BTC to $100K?

哪些美联储的成果可以将BTC推向$ 10万美元？

The upcoming Federal Reserve decision on interest rates is a critical event for Bitcoin investors.

即将到来的美联储决定利率的决定是比特币投资者的关键事件。

Historically, lower interest rates have led to increased liquidity in financial markets, often benefiting risk assets ranging from stocks to cryptocurrencies.

从历史上看，较低的利率导致金融市场流动性增加，通常使从股票到加密货币等风险资产受益。

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision is expected by Wednesday.

下一个联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）的决定预计将于周三。

If the Fed signals a rate pause or hints at imminent cuts, it could boost investor confidence, potentially driving Bitcoin’s price toward the $100,000 mark.

如果美联储表示暂停费用或提示即将削减，则可能会提高投资者的信心，这可能会将比特币的价格推向100,000美元。

Conversely, a hawkish stance with rate hikes could dampen liquidity, posing challenges for Bitcoin’s upward momentum.

相反，以速度加息的鹰派立场可能会削弱流动性，这给比特币的向上势头带来了挑战。

However, based on recent data from CME Group, a majority of market watchers have priced in a 99% chance of a rate pause.

但是，根据CME集团的最新数据，大多数市场观察家的价格为99％的机会停顿了99％。

If this scenario plays out as anticipated, BTC price could see some upside in the aftermath of the official rate announcement, as often historically seen after less hawkish Fed decisions.

如果这种情况按预期呈现，那么BTC价格在官方宣布后可能会看到一些好处，因为通常在霍克什美联储的决定较少之后就经常看到。

Bulls established $1.9 billion dominance in Bitcoin derivative market

公牛在比特币衍生市场中建立了19亿美元的统治地位

Having digested inflation-easing signals in the US CPI and PPI reports, with market watchers nearly ruling out the chances of a rate cut as previously feared, the majority of Bitcoin traders have priced in the rate pause decision and positioned trades accordingly.

在美国CPI和PPI报告中消化了通货膨胀的信号，市场观察家几乎排除了以前担心的降低税率的机会，大多数比特币交易者都在汇率停顿决定中定价并相应地定位了交易。

In the derivatives market, bullish sentiment is evident. Over the last 7 days, bull traders have mounted long leverage positions amounting to $4.9 billion, while short leverage positions stand at $3.8 billion, giving bulls a net dominance of $1.1 billion.

在衍生品市场中，看涨的情绪很明显。在过去的7天中，公牛交易员担任了49亿美元的长期杠杆头寸，而短杠杆头寸为38亿美元，使公牛的净优势为11亿美元。

BTC outlook for the week ahead

BTC前一周的前景

This substantial long positioning indicates strong market confidence in Bitcoin’s future appreciation. However, it’s essential to monitor these leveraged positions closely, as sudden market shifts could lead to liquidations, amplifying price movements.

这种长期的定位表明市场对比特币未来的欣赏的强烈信心。但是，必须密切监视这些杠杆位置，因为突然的市场转移可能导致清算，从而扩大价格变动。

Given the 11% BTC price rebound over the past week, the anticipated Fed rate pause may have already been priced in, and many traders could capitalize on the announcement to execute a sell-the-news strategy.

鉴于过去一周中BTC的价格为11％，预期的美联储率暂停可能已经被定价，许多交易者可以利用公告来执行卖出新的战略。

In this scenario, BTC could see another downturn below the $80,000 mark, especially with long traders currently holding over-leveraged positions.

在这种情况下，BTC可能会看到低于80,000美元的下滑，尤其是目前持有过度杠杆职位的长交易者。

Bitcoin price forecast chart below is showing signs of more upside potential after rebounding 11% from the recent $76,000 low, to reach $83,175 at press time. The bullish case for BTC price action new week is supported by a number of technical indicators, but the path to $100,000 remains uncertain as key resistance levels and market sentiment present challenges.

下面的比特币价格预测图表显示出在最近的76,000美元低点回弹11％的回弹，在发稿时达到83,175美元。 BTC价格行动新周的看涨案件得到了许多技术指标的支持，但是随着关键阻力水平和市场情绪带来的挑战，达到100,000美元的道路仍然不确定。

First, the Elliott Wave count suggests Bitcoin has completed a corrective leg down, aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $76,555. A bounce from this level indicates potential for a relief rally, with immediate targets at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level of $89,085, followed by $92,956 (0.5 retracement) and a stronger resistance near $96,827 at the 0.618 level.

首先，埃利奥特（Elliott Wave）计数表明比特币已经完成了校正腿，与1.618 fibonacci扩展名相符，价格为76,555美元。该水平的反弹表明可能会进行缓解集会，直接目标的0.382斐波那契回收水平为$ 89,085，其次是92,956美元（0.5回收），在0.618级为96,827美元。

Additionally, the Parabolic SAR indicator, currently at $97,068, further reinforces this zone as a pivotal area where bullish momentum could face major resistance.

此外，目前为97,068美元的抛物线SAR指标进一步加强了该区域作为一个关键区域，在该区域中，看涨势头可能会面临重大阻力。

However, bearish risks are still prominent.

但是，看跌的风险仍然很突出。