宏观经济学家和投资策略师Lyn Alden将她的比特币（BTC）价格预测提高到80,000美元

宏观经济学家和投资策略师Lyn Alden修改了她2025年的比特币价格预测。尽管存在地缘政治和经济挑战，但她预测BTC价格的数量很高。她坚持认为，比特币可能会关闭超过其当前价值约85,00美元的一年。

Macroeconomist and investment strategist Lyn Alden has revised her Bitcoin (BTC) price prediction for 2025, taking into account recent geopolitical and economic challenges. While her earlier optimism has been tempered by policy changes, such as former U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff announcements, which impacted her original BTC forecast, her revised prediction still predicts high numbers for the BTC price.

宏观经济学家和投资策略师林恩·奥尔登（Lyn Alden）已考虑到最近的地缘政治和经济挑战，修改了2025年的比特币（BTC）价格预测。尽管她早期的乐观情绪受到政策变化的缓解，例如前美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的关税宣布影响了她最初的BTC预测，但她的修订预测仍然可以预测BTC价格的数量很高。

Her predictions suggest that Bitcoin will likely close the year above its current value of approximately $85,000. Alden's predictions are based on her observations of Bitcoin's correlation with liquidity cycles and her warnings of traditional financial market stress triggering unpredictable moves in Bitcoin trading.

她的预测表明，比特币可能会关闭其当前价值约85,000美元的年份。奥尔登（Alden）的预测是基于她对比特币与流动性周期相关的观察以及对传统金融市场压力的警告，从而触发了比特币交易中的不可预测的举动。

"Before all this tariff kerfuffle, I would have had a higher price target," Alden said, directly tying expectations for Bitcoin price growth to changes in trade policy.

奥尔登说：“在所有这些关税kerfuffle之前，我的目标价格都更高。”

However, she still expects Bitcoin to outperform over the long term, especially if global liquidity improves. According to Alden, a large-scale "liquidity unlock," such as the Federal Reserve intervening with programs like quantitative easing or yield curve control, could help push BTC price toward six-figure territory. In such an environment, Bitcoin would benefit disproportionately compared to traditional assets.

但是，她仍然期望比特币在长期内表现都要表现效得，尤其是在全球流动性改善的情况下。根据奥尔登（Alden）的说法，一个大规模的“流动性释放”，例如美联储干预了诸如定量宽松或产量曲线控制之类的计划，可能有助于将BTC价格推向六位数的领土。在这种环境中，比特币与传统资产相比将不成比例地受益。

Unlike traditional markets that operate within fixed hours, Bitcoin trading continues around the clock, making it more sensitive to sudden changes in investor sentiment. Alden highlighted this unique trait as both a strength and a weakness of BTC. On weekends, when traders can’t react through equity markets, Bitcoin becomes the outlet for shifting capital and risk-off sentiment.

与固定小时内运营的传统市场不同，比特币交易全天继续，使其对投资者情绪的突然变化更加敏感。奥尔登（Alden）强调了这种独特的特征，既是BTC的强度又是弱点。在周末，当交易者无法通过股票市场做出反应时，比特币成为转移资本和冒险情绪的渠道。

"It's able to decouple from the Nasdaq 100 in certain macroeconomic conditions," she stated. If a scenario similar to the 2003-2007 pre-Global Financial Crisis period reemerges, weakening dollar cycles may return. In that case, Bitcoin could follow trends seen in gold and emerging markets. Alden believes the economic backdrop might create the ideal conditions for a positive BTC forecast over multiple years.

她说：“在某些宏观经济条件下，它能够使纳斯达克100分发。”如果场景与2003 - 2007年全球金融危机时期相似，则可能会降低美元周期。在这种情况下，比特币可以遵循黄金和新兴市场中看到的趋势。奥尔登认为，经济背景可能会为多年来积极的BTC预测创造理想的条件。

In a September research paper, Alden dubbed Bitcoin a "Global Liquidity Barometer," highlighting that Bitcoin moves in sync with global M2 money supply 83% of the time over 12 months. Compared to assets like the S&P 500 or gold, Bitcoin showed the highest correlation with global liquidity flows, reinforcing her long-term BTC forecast.

在9月份的研究论文中，奥尔登称比特币为“全球流动性晴雨表”，强调了比特币与全球M2货币供应在12个月内有83％的时间同步。与标准普尔500指数或黄金之类的资产相比，比特币与全球流动性流的相关性最高，从而增强了她的长期BTC预测。

Alden believes that the current economic cycle could see capital flowing away from traditional U.S. equities toward harder assets and alternative stores of value. In that landscape, Bitcoin may benefit even if theNasdaq underperforms.

奥尔登认为，当前的经济周期可能会使资本从美国传统股票流向更艰难的资产和替代价值存储。在该景观中，即使Thathasdaq表现不佳，比特币也可能会受益。

She anticipates some level of price turbulence due to ongoing geopolitical risks and liquidity tightening. However, despite this uncertainty, Alden remains cautiously optimistic. If macro conditions align favorably, Bitcoin has a "good chance" of reclaiming the $100,000 mark before year-end. By this statement, she is supporting her adjusted but still bullish Bitcoin price prediction.

她预计，由于持续的地缘政治风险和流动性收紧，价格湍流一定程度。但是，尽管存在这种不确定性，但奥尔登仍然谨慎乐观。如果宏观条件有利，比特币有一个“很好的机会”在年底之前收回100,000美元的成绩。通过这一说法，她支持调整后的比特币价格预测。

While Alden's revised Bitcoin price prediction is slightly more conservative than before, her overall view on the asset remains the same. Navigating through volatile conditions in Bitcoin trading and influenced by factors like tariffs and liquidity, Bitcoin continues to evolve as a unique global asset.

尽管Alden修订的比特币价格预测比以前稍微保守，但她对资产的总体看法保持不变。比特币通过关税和流动性等因素的影响，在比特币交易的波动条件下导航，继续发展为独特的全球资产。

With long-term dynamics favoring decentralized, hard-money alternatives, Bitcoin's future remains promising. However, the path ahead may be shaped by market turbulence and unexpected macro shifts.

由于长期动态有利于分散，硬货币替代方案，比特币的未来仍然很有希望。但是，前进的道路可能是由于市场动荡和意外的宏观变化而塑造的。