宏觀經濟學家和投資策略師Lyn Alden將她的比特幣（BTC）價格預測提高到80,000美元

宏觀經濟學家和投資策略師Lyn Alden修改了她2025年的比特幣價格預測。儘管存在地緣政治和經濟挑戰，但她預測BTC價格的數量很高。她堅持認為，比特幣可能會關閉超過其當前價值約85,00美元的一年。

Macroeconomist and investment strategist Lyn Alden has revised her Bitcoin (BTC) price prediction for 2025, taking into account recent geopolitical and economic challenges. While her earlier optimism has been tempered by policy changes, such as former U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff announcements, which impacted her original BTC forecast, her revised prediction still predicts high numbers for the BTC price.

宏觀經濟學家和投資策略師林恩·奧爾登（Lyn Alden）已考慮到最近的地緣政治和經濟挑戰，修改了2025年的比特幣（BTC）價格預測。儘管她早期的樂觀情緒受到政策變化的緩解，例如前美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的關稅宣布影響了她最初的BTC預測，但她的修訂預測仍然可以預測BTC價格的數量很高。

Her predictions suggest that Bitcoin will likely close the year above its current value of approximately $85,000. Alden's predictions are based on her observations of Bitcoin's correlation with liquidity cycles and her warnings of traditional financial market stress triggering unpredictable moves in Bitcoin trading.

她的預測表明，比特幣可能會關閉其當前價值約85,000美元的年份。奧爾登（Alden）的預測是基於她對比特幣與流動性週期相關的觀察以及對傳統金融市場壓力的警告，從而觸發了比特幣交易中的不可預測的舉動。

"Before all this tariff kerfuffle, I would have had a higher price target," Alden said, directly tying expectations for Bitcoin price growth to changes in trade policy.

奧爾登說：“在所有這些關稅kerfuffle之前，我的目標價格都更高。”

However, she still expects Bitcoin to outperform over the long term, especially if global liquidity improves. According to Alden, a large-scale "liquidity unlock," such as the Federal Reserve intervening with programs like quantitative easing or yield curve control, could help push BTC price toward six-figure territory. In such an environment, Bitcoin would benefit disproportionately compared to traditional assets.

但是，她仍然期望比特幣在長期內表現都要表現效得，尤其是在全球流動性改善的情況下。根據奧爾登（Alden）的說法，一個大規模的“流動性釋放”，例如美聯儲干預了諸如定量寬鬆或產量曲線控制之類的計劃，可能有助於將BTC價格推向六位數的領土。在這種環境中，比特幣與傳統資產相比將不成比例地受益。

Unlike traditional markets that operate within fixed hours, Bitcoin trading continues around the clock, making it more sensitive to sudden changes in investor sentiment. Alden highlighted this unique trait as both a strength and a weakness of BTC. On weekends, when traders can’t react through equity markets, Bitcoin becomes the outlet for shifting capital and risk-off sentiment.

與固定小時內運營的傳統市場不同，比特幣交易全天繼續，使其對投資者情緒的突然變化更加敏感。奧爾登（Alden）強調了這種獨特的特徵，既是BTC的強度又是弱點。在周末，當交易者無法通過股票市場做出反應時，比特幣成為轉移資本和冒險情緒的渠道。

"It's able to decouple from the Nasdaq 100 in certain macroeconomic conditions," she stated. If a scenario similar to the 2003-2007 pre-Global Financial Crisis period reemerges, weakening dollar cycles may return. In that case, Bitcoin could follow trends seen in gold and emerging markets. Alden believes the economic backdrop might create the ideal conditions for a positive BTC forecast over multiple years.

她說：“在某些宏觀經濟條件下，它能夠使納斯達克100分發。”如果場景與2003 - 2007年全球金融危機時期相似，則可能會降低美元週期。在這種情況下，比特幣可以遵循黃金和新興市場中看到的趨勢。奧爾登認為，經濟背景可能會為多年來積極的BTC預測創造理想的條件。

In a September research paper, Alden dubbed Bitcoin a "Global Liquidity Barometer," highlighting that Bitcoin moves in sync with global M2 money supply 83% of the time over 12 months. Compared to assets like the S&P 500 or gold, Bitcoin showed the highest correlation with global liquidity flows, reinforcing her long-term BTC forecast.

在9月份的研究論文中，奧爾登稱比特幣為“全球流動性晴雨表”，強調了比特幣與全球M2貨幣供應在12個月內有83％的時間同步。與標準普爾500指數或黃金之類的資產相比，比特幣與全球流動性流的相關性最高，從而增強了她的長期BTC預測。

Alden believes that the current economic cycle could see capital flowing away from traditional U.S. equities toward harder assets and alternative stores of value. In that landscape, Bitcoin may benefit even if theNasdaq underperforms.

奧爾登認為，當前的經濟周期可能會使資本從美國傳統股票流向更艱難的資產和替代價值存儲。在該景觀中，即使Thathasdaq表現不佳，比特幣也可能會受益。

She anticipates some level of price turbulence due to ongoing geopolitical risks and liquidity tightening. However, despite this uncertainty, Alden remains cautiously optimistic. If macro conditions align favorably, Bitcoin has a "good chance" of reclaiming the $100,000 mark before year-end. By this statement, she is supporting her adjusted but still bullish Bitcoin price prediction.

她預計，由於持續的地緣政治風險和流動性收緊，價格湍流一定程度。但是，儘管存在這種不確定性，但奧爾登仍然謹慎樂觀。如果宏觀條件有利，比特幣有一個“很好的機會”在年底之前收回100,000美元的成績。通過這一說法，她支持調整後的比特幣價格預測。

While Alden's revised Bitcoin price prediction is slightly more conservative than before, her overall view on the asset remains the same. Navigating through volatile conditions in Bitcoin trading and influenced by factors like tariffs and liquidity, Bitcoin continues to evolve as a unique global asset.

儘管Alden修訂的比特幣價格預測比以前稍微保守，但她對資產的總體看法保持不變。比特幣通過關稅和流動性等因素的影響，在比特幣交易的波動條件下導航，繼續發展為獨特的全球資產。

With long-term dynamics favoring decentralized, hard-money alternatives, Bitcoin's future remains promising. However, the path ahead may be shaped by market turbulence and unexpected macro shifts.

由於長期動態有利於分散，硬貨幣替代方案，比特幣的未來仍然很有希望。但是，前進的道路可能是由於市場動盪和意外的宏觀變化而塑造的。