隨著賣方繼續持有，比特幣（BTC）嘗試$ 85,000的回收率

在一月份達到了109,071美元的歷史最高點之後，特朗普的就職典禮迎來了一個回調階段的女巫比特幣（BTC）

Bitcoin (BTC) price attempted to recover above the $85,000 mark on Sunday, marking an 11% rebound from last week’s bottom of $76,000.

比特幣（BTC）的價格試圖在周日的85,000美元以上恢復高於$ 85,000，這是上週76,000美元的底部11％的反彈。

This recovery follows positive indicators from the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) reports, which pointed towards a slowing rate of inflation.

這種恢復遵循美國消費者價格指數（CPI）和生產商價格指數（PPI）報告的積極指標，該報告指出了通貨膨脹率降低的情況。

However, sellers are still holding strong, and Bitcoin faces a crucial test at the $89,000 resistance, which could determine further gains or a potential decline towards the $76,000 support level.

但是，賣方仍然保持強勁，比特幣面臨著一個關鍵的測試，以89,000美元的阻力，這可以決定進一步的收益或潛在的下降，即支撐76,000美元的支持水平。

Bitcoin attempts $85,000 recovery as sellers continue to hold

隨著賣家的繼續，比特幣嘗試了85,000美元的回收率

After hitting a high of $109,071 in January, Bitcoin has entered a pullback phase, with the cryptocurrency now attempting to rise above the $85,000 mark.

在一月份達到109,071美元的高價之後，比特幣進入了回調階段，而加密貨幣現在試圖超過85,000美元。

This attempt follows a sharp decline of nearly 30% from the recent lows of $76,000, which occurred last week amid various geopolitical tensions following President Trump’s intervention early this month and recent US trade tariff announcements.

這項嘗試與最近的76,000美元的低點相比，在特朗普本月初的干預以及最近的美國貿易關稅公告之後，上週發生了近30％的急劇下降。

However, positive indicators from the US CPI and PPI reports published last week have spurred a recovery.

但是，上週發布的美國CPI和PPI報告的積極指標刺激了恢復。

Specifically, on March 13, Bitcoin price briefly crossed the $85,000 handle, reflecting a 11.1% gain from the previous week’s low of $76,000, which was reached on Tuesday.

具體來說，在3月13日，比特幣價格短暫地越過了85,000美元的手柄，反映了上一周的低點76,000美元的11.1％，這是在周二達到的。

This suggests that investor sentiment has improved significantly since the CPI data release, with many opting to hold their positions ahead of upcoming macroeconomic announcements.

這表明自CPI數據發布以來，投資者的情緒已得到顯著改善，許多人選擇在即將發布的宏觀經濟公告之前擔任自己的職位。

What Fed rate outcomes could drive BTC to $100K?

哪些美聯儲的成果可以將BTC推向$ 10萬美元？

The upcoming Federal Reserve decision on interest rates is a critical event for Bitcoin investors.

即將到來的美聯儲決定利率的決定是比特幣投資者的關鍵事件。

Historically, lower interest rates have led to increased liquidity in financial markets, often benefiting risk assets ranging from stocks to cryptocurrencies.

從歷史上看，較低的利率導致金融市場流動性增加，通常使從股票到加密貨幣等風險資產受益。

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision is expected by Wednesday.

下一個聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）的決定預計將於週三。

If the Fed signals a rate pause or hints at imminent cuts, it could boost investor confidence, potentially driving Bitcoin’s price toward the $100,000 mark.

如果美聯儲表示暫停費用或提示即將削減，則可能會提高投資者的信心，這可能會將比特幣的價格推向100,000美元。

Conversely, a hawkish stance with rate hikes could dampen liquidity, posing challenges for Bitcoin’s upward momentum.

相反，以速度加息的鷹派立場可能會削弱流動性，這給比特幣的向上勢頭帶來了挑戰。

However, based on recent data from CME Group, a majority of market watchers have priced in a 99% chance of a rate pause.

但是，根據CME集團的最新數據，大多數市場觀察家的價格為99％的機會停頓了99％。

If this scenario plays out as anticipated, BTC price could see some upside in the aftermath of the official rate announcement, as often historically seen after less hawkish Fed decisions.

如果這種情況按預期呈現，那麼BTC價格在官方宣布後可能會看到一些好處，因為通常在霍克什美聯儲的決定較少之後就經常看到。

Bulls established $1.9 billion dominance in Bitcoin derivative market

公牛在比特幣衍生市場中建立了19億美元的統治地位

Having digested inflation-easing signals in the US CPI and PPI reports, with market watchers nearly ruling out the chances of a rate cut as previously feared, the majority of Bitcoin traders have priced in the rate pause decision and positioned trades accordingly.

在美國CPI和PPI報告中消化了通貨膨脹的信號，市場觀察家幾乎排除了以前擔心的降低稅率的機會，大多數比特幣交易者都在匯率停頓決定中定價並相應地定位了交易。

In the derivatives market, bullish sentiment is evident. Over the last 7 days, bull traders have mounted long leverage positions amounting to $4.9 billion, while short leverage positions stand at $3.8 billion, giving bulls a net dominance of $1.1 billion.

在衍生品市場中，看漲的情緒很明顯。在過去的7天中，公牛交易員擔任了49億美元的長期槓桿頭寸，而短槓桿頭寸為38億美元，使公牛的淨優勢為11億美元。

BTC outlook for the week ahead

BTC前一周的前景

This substantial long positioning indicates strong market confidence in Bitcoin’s future appreciation. However, it’s essential to monitor these leveraged positions closely, as sudden market shifts could lead to liquidations, amplifying price movements.

這種長期的定位表明市場對比特幣未來的欣賞的強烈信心。但是，必須密切監視這些槓杆位置，因為突然的市場轉移可能導致清算，從而擴大價格變動。

Given the 11% BTC price rebound over the past week, the anticipated Fed rate pause may have already been priced in, and many traders could capitalize on the announcement to execute a sell-the-news strategy.

鑑於過去一周中BTC的價格為11％，預期的美聯儲率暫停可能已經被定價，許多交易者可以利用公告來執行賣出新的戰略。

In this scenario, BTC could see another downturn below the $80,000 mark, especially with long traders currently holding over-leveraged positions.

在這種情況下，BTC可能會看到低於80,000美元的下滑，尤其是目前持有過度槓桿職位的長交易者。

Bitcoin price forecast chart below is showing signs of more upside potential after rebounding 11% from the recent $76,000 low, to reach $83,175 at press time. The bullish case for BTC price action new week is supported by a number of technical indicators, but the path to $100,000 remains uncertain as key resistance levels and market sentiment present challenges.

下面的比特幣價格預測圖表顯示出在最近的76,000美元低點回彈11％的回彈，在發稿時達到83,175美元。 BTC價格行動新周的看漲案件得到了許多技術指標的支持，但是隨著關鍵阻力水平和市場情緒帶來的挑戰，達到100,000美元的道路仍然不確定。

First, the Elliott Wave count suggests Bitcoin has completed a corrective leg down, aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $76,555. A bounce from this level indicates potential for a relief rally, with immediate targets at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level of $89,085, followed by $92,956 (0.5 retracement) and a stronger resistance near $96,827 at the 0.618 level.

首先，埃利奧特（Elliott Wave）計數表明比特幣已經完成了校正腿，與1.618 fibonacci擴展名相符，價格為76,555美元。該水平的反彈表明可能會進行緩解集會，直接目標的0.382斐波那契回收水平為$ 89,085，其次是92,956美元（0.5回收），在0.618級為96,827美元。

Additionally, the Parabolic SAR indicator, currently at $97,068, further reinforces this zone as a pivotal area where bullish momentum could face major resistance.

此外，目前為97,068美元的拋物線SAR指標進一步加強了該區域作為一個關鍵區域，在該區域中，看漲勢頭可能會面臨重大阻力。

However, bearish risks are still prominent.

但是，看跌的風險仍然很突出。