随着鲸鱼活动下滑、DeFi 资本外流，看跌信号打压卡尔达诺（ADA）

随着鲸鱼活动和 DeFi 生态系统参与度下降，卡尔达诺（ADA）价格面临看跌压力。该代币的技术指标显示出中性至看跌的前景，关键价格支撑位为每代币 0.58 美元。鲸鱼交易和 TVL 的进一步下降可能导致下跌趋势持续至 0.45 美元。投资者应密切关注这些指标和其他市场情绪信号，以评估 ADA 的短期价格预测。

Cardano (ADA) Faces Bearish Signals: Whale Activity Slump, DeFi Capital Outflow, and Technical Consolidation

卡尔达诺（ADA）面临看跌信号：鲸鱼活动大幅下滑、DeFi 资本外流和技术整合

April 5, 2023

2023 年 4 月 5 日

Cardano (ADA), the seventh largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, is currently grappling with a confluence of bearish signals, casting uncertainty over its short-term price trajectory.

卡尔达诺（ADA）是按市值计算的第七大加密货币，目前正在努力应对一系列看跌信号，为其短期价格轨迹带来不确定性。

Whale Activity Decline

鲸鱼活动减少

According to industry expert Ali Martinez, Cardano has been witnessing a "lull in whale activity." This observation, based on the daily Whale Transaction Count indicator, indicates a decline in the number of transactions exceeding $1 million in ADA. Notably, this metric has fallen to 202 per day, even lower than during the period in February when ADA prices were considerably lower.

根据行业专家阿里·马丁内斯的说法，卡尔达诺已经见证了“鲸鱼活动的平静”。这一观察结果基于每日鲸鱼交易计数指标，表明 ADA 超过 100 万美元的交易数量有所下降。值得注意的是，该指标已降至每天 202 个，甚至低于 2 月份 ADA 价格大幅下降期间。

Technical Resistance and Support

技术阻力和支撑

From a technical perspective, ADA is currently consolidating at a crucial price support level of approximately $0.58 per token. Historically, this support zone has demonstrated resilience and has acted as a pivotal level for both upward price movements and trend reversals.

从技术角度来看，ADA 目前正在每个代币约 0.58 美元的关键价格支撑位进行盘整。从历史上看，这个支撑区域表现出了弹性，并成为价格上涨和趋势逆转的关键水平。

Maintaining this current level, as per Martinez's analysis, could pave the way for a potential upswing in ADA prices. Conversely, a bearish breakout below this support could trigger a downward trend continuation, potentially leading to a further decline towards the $0.45 mark.

根据马丁内斯的分析，维持目前的水平可能为 ADA 价格的潜在上涨铺平道路。相反，跌破该支撑位可能引发下行趋势延续，可能导致进一步跌向 0.45 美元关口。

Declining Relative Strength

相对强度下降

ADA's daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also presenting a bearish outlook. This indicator measures the momentum and strength of a trend, and ADA's RSI currently suggests a lack of strength and a possible bearish continuation.

ADA 每日相对强弱指数 (RSI) 也呈现看跌前景。该指标衡量趋势的动量和强度，ADA 的 RSI 目前表明缺乏强度，可能会持续看跌。

DeFi Ecosystem Losses

DeFi 生态系统损失

Adding to the bearish sentiment, Cardano's decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem has suffered a significant setback. The total value locked (TVL) in the Cardano ecosystem has plummeted by over 22% in the past 30 days, reaching $378.24 million. This decline has resulted in Cardano dropping to the 17th position in terms of TVL, as per the DefiLlama index.

卡尔达诺的去中心化金融（DeFi）生态系统遭受了重大挫折，加剧了看跌情绪。卡尔达诺生态系统的总锁定价值（TVL）在过去 30 天内暴跌超过 22%，达到 3.7824 亿美元。根据 DefiLlama 指数，这种下降导致卡尔达诺在 TVL 方面跌至第 17 位。

Overbought DeFi Ecosystem

超买的 DeFi 生态系统

Furthermore, Cardano's TVL remains disproportionately low when compared to its market capitalization, indicating an overbought condition. ADA's $20.81 billion market cap is approximately 55 times higher than its ecosystem's TVL, suggesting a potential overvaluation relative to competing ecosystems and tokens.

此外，与市值相比，卡尔达诺的 TVL 仍然过低，表明存在超买状况。 ADA 的 208.1 亿美元市值约为其生态系统 TVL 的 55 倍，这表明相对于竞争生态系统和代币而言，其估值可能被高估。

Bearish Outlook for ADA

ADA 前景看跌

Taken together, these factors are painting a bearish picture for ADA in the short term. The declining whale activity, capital outflow from the DeFi ecosystem, and technical consolidation at a crucial support level point to potential downward pressure on ADA prices. Investors are advised to closely monitor these indicators and exercise caution when making investment decisions.

综合来看，这些因素在短期内为 ADA 描绘了一幅看跌的图景。鲸鱼活动的减少、DeFi 生态系统的资本外流以及关键支撑位的技术整合都表明 ADA 价格存在潜在的下行压力。建议投资者密切关注这些指标，谨慎做出投资决策。

Disclaimer:

免责声明：

The information provided in this news article should not be construed as financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments involve substantial risk and investors should conduct thorough research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.

本新闻文章中提供的信息不应被视为财务建议。加密货币投资涉及巨大风险，投资者在做出任何投资决定之前应进行彻底的研究和尽职调查。