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比特币(BTC 3.55%)目前正在蓬勃发展。从10月底到11月18日,最大的加密货币已经上涨了25%。
Acclaimed growth investor Cathie Wood doubled down on Bitcoin's (CRYPTO: BTC) long-term value creation in a recent interview, even raising her price targets a bit.
著名的成长型投资者 Cathie Wood 在最近的一次采访中加倍押注比特币(CRYPTO:BTC)的长期价值创造,甚至略微提高了她的价格目标。
Cathie Wood's updated Bitcoin price targets Speaking to CNBC host Andrew Ross Sorkin in last Friday's Squawk Box show, Wood clarified her Bitcoin views. She had laid out a $500,000 price target in earlier appearances, but she and her fund managers have a more positive outlook now.
Cathie Wood 最新的比特币价格目标 在上周五的 Squawk Box 节目中,Wood 向 CNBC 主持人 Andrew Ross Sorkin 澄清了她对比特币的看法。她在早些时候的露面中设定了 50 万美元的价格目标,但她和她的基金经理现在有了更积极的前景。
Wood now sees $650,000 as a base target for Bitcoin in 2030. A more bullish analysis lands between $1.0 and $1.5 million per coin.
Wood 现在将 65 万美元视为 2030 年比特币的基本目标。更乐观的分析是每枚比特币在 1.0 至 150 万美元之间。
"Remember, we were the first public asset manager to gain exposure to bitcoin in 2015 at $250," Wood said. "And still at $90,000, I think we have a long way to go."
“请记住,我们是第一个在 2015 年以 250 美元的价格投资比特币的公共资产管理公司,”伍德说。 “而且仍然是 90,000 美元,我认为我们还有很长的路要走。”
To explain this bullish view, Wood cited lighter cryptocurrency regulations under the incoming Trump administration and an influx of institutional investor interest. Moreover, she highlighted Bitcoin's pricing patterns after each halving of mining rewards, especially in times of mild inflation.
为了解释这种看涨观点,伍德列举了即将上任的特朗普政府放宽的加密货币监管以及机构投资者兴趣的涌入。此外,她还强调了每次挖矿奖励减半后比特币的定价模式,尤其是在温和通胀时期。
"It usually has had a nice big move" under these circumstances. One halving fell six months ago and has arguably not moved the Bitcoin market yet. Another will follow in 2028, well before the 2030 deadline.
在这种情况下,“它通常会发生一个不错的大动作”。六个月前,减半发生了一次,可以说尚未对比特币市场产生影响。另一次将于 2028 年进行,远早于 2030 年截止日期。
Key drivers behind Bitcoin's potential surge The bullish catalysts are starting to pile up.
比特币潜在飙升背后的关键驱动因素 看涨催化剂开始堆积。
I'm not privy to Cathie Wood's latest Bitcoin research reports, so I can't analyze her Ark Invest team's detailed reasons for the given price targets.
我不了解 Cathie Wood 最新的比特币研究报告,因此我无法分析她的 Ark Invest 团队给出给定价格目标的详细原因。
But I can agree that Bitcoin is on a positive trajectory that very well could land in her broad range of price targets over time. If Bitcoin doesn't pass $500,000 in 2030, there's always the next halving event in 2032. Meanwhile, upward pressure should continue to build as wealth managers, index funds, hedge funds, and pension plans start to include Bitcoin in their investment strategies.
但我可以同意,比特币正处于积极的轨道上,随着时间的推移,它很可能会落在其广泛的价格目标范围内。如果比特币在 2030 年没有突破 50 万美元,那么下一次减半事件总会在 2032 年发生。与此同时,随着财富管理机构、指数基金、对冲基金和养老金计划开始将比特币纳入其投资策略,上行压力应该会继续增加。
So whether Cathie Wood's new Bitcoin price targets are accurate or not, they seem to point in a reasonable direction.
因此,无论 Cathie Wood 的新比特币价格目标是否准确,它们似乎都指向了一个合理的方向。
Managing risk in your cryptocurrency investments That being said, try to ignore the fear of missing out on skyrocketing crypto gains. Bitcoin (and other cryptocurrencies) should account for a limited portion of your diversified investment portfolio. Bitcoin may be maturing, but it still faces significant risks.
管理加密货币投资的风险话虽如此,请尝试忽略错过飞涨的加密货币收益的恐惧。比特币(和其他加密货币)应占您多元化投资组合的有限部分。比特币可能正在成熟,但仍然面临重大风险。
For example, cryptocurrency prices are still very volatile and unstable. The next crypto winter could be colder and longer than the last one. The promised regulatory relief might not materialize. What happens if there's another health crisis, inflation panic, or energy crunch? And there's always a non-zero chance that a new blockchain network or an entirely unheard-of accounting system kicks Bitcoin off the next-generation financial asset throne.
例如,加密货币价格仍然非常不稳定。下一个加密冬天可能会比上一个更冷、更长。承诺的监管放松可能不会实现。如果再次发生健康危机、通胀恐慌或能源紧缩,会发生什么?新的区块链网络或完全闻所未闻的会计系统总是有非零的机会将比特币从下一代金融资产的宝座上踢下来。
I'm just scratching the surface of a much broader risk profile. Any or all of these events could play out before 2030, perhaps derailing Bitcoin's price chart before it reaches Cathie Wood's lofty destination levels. The final result might be just a scratch, or the end of Bitcoin as we know it.
我只是触及了更广泛的风险状况的表面。所有这些事件都可能在 2030 年之前发生,也许会在比特币价格达到 Cathie Wood 的崇高目标水平之前使比特币价格图表脱轨。最终的结果可能只是一个划痕,或者是我们所知的比特币的终结。
So yeah, I do recommend including some Bitcoin in your long-term investment portfolio. Start a crypto exchange account or pick up a few spot Bitcoin ETF shares such as the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (NYSEMKT:IBIT) in your stock portfolio. A bit of digital asset exposure goes a long way.
所以,是的,我确实建议在您的长期投资组合中加入一些比特币。开设一个加密货币交易账户或在您的股票投资组合中购买一些现货比特币 ETF 股票,例如 iShares 比特币信托 ETF (NYSEMKT:IBIT)。接触一点数字资产会有很大帮助。
Still, it's unwise to devote your entire nest egg to any single idea -- Bitcoin included. Keeping your investments diverse will help you sleep at night.
尽管如此,将你的全部积蓄投入到任何一个想法上都是不明智的——包括比特币。保持投资多样化将有助于您晚上安然入睡。
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