隨著鯨魚活動下滑、DeFi 資本外流，看跌訊號打壓卡爾達諾（ADA）

隨著鯨魚活動和 DeFi 生態系統參與度下降，卡爾達諾（ADA）價格面臨看跌壓力。該代幣的技術指標顯示出中性至看跌的前景，關鍵價格支撐位為每代幣 0.58 美元。鯨魚交易和 TVL 的進一步下降可能導致下跌趨勢持續至 0.45 美元。投資者應密切注意這些指標和其他市場情緒訊號，以評估 ADA 的短期價格預測。

Cardano (ADA) Faces Bearish Signals: Whale Activity Slump, DeFi Capital Outflow, and Technical Consolidation

卡爾達諾（ADA）面臨看跌訊號：鯨魚活動大幅下滑、DeFi 資本外流和技術整合

April 5, 2023

2023 年 4 月 5 日

Cardano (ADA), the seventh largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, is currently grappling with a confluence of bearish signals, casting uncertainty over its short-term price trajectory.

卡爾達諾（ADA）是按市值計算的第七大加密貨幣，目前正在努力應對一系列看跌訊號，為其短期價格軌跡帶來不確定性。

Whale Activity Decline

鯨魚活動減少

According to industry expert Ali Martinez, Cardano has been witnessing a "lull in whale activity." This observation, based on the daily Whale Transaction Count indicator, indicates a decline in the number of transactions exceeding $1 million in ADA. Notably, this metric has fallen to 202 per day, even lower than during the period in February when ADA prices were considerably lower.

根據行業專家阿里·馬丁內斯的說法，卡爾達諾已經見證了「鯨魚活動的平靜」。這項觀察結果是基於每日鯨魚交易計數指標，顯示 ADA 超過 100 萬美元的交易數量有所下降。值得注意的是，該指標已降至每天 202 個，甚至低於 2 月 ADA 價格大幅下降期間。

Technical Resistance and Support

技術阻力和支撐

From a technical perspective, ADA is currently consolidating at a crucial price support level of approximately $0.58 per token. Historically, this support zone has demonstrated resilience and has acted as a pivotal level for both upward price movements and trend reversals.

從技術角度來看，ADA 目前正在每個代幣約 0.58 美元的關鍵價格支撐位進行盤整。從歷史上看，這個支撐區域表現出了彈性，並成為價格上漲和趨勢逆轉的關鍵水平。

Maintaining this current level, as per Martinez's analysis, could pave the way for a potential upswing in ADA prices. Conversely, a bearish breakout below this support could trigger a downward trend continuation, potentially leading to a further decline towards the $0.45 mark.

根據馬丁內斯的分析，維持目前的水平可能為 ADA 價格的潛在上漲鋪平道路。相反，跌破該支撐位可能引發下行趨勢延續，可能導致進一步跌向 0.45 美元關卡。

Declining Relative Strength

相對強度下降

ADA's daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also presenting a bearish outlook. This indicator measures the momentum and strength of a trend, and ADA's RSI currently suggests a lack of strength and a possible bearish continuation.

ADA 每日相對強弱指數 (RSI) 也呈現看跌前景。此指標衡量趨勢的動量和強度，ADA 的 RSI 目前顯示缺乏強度，可能會持續看跌。

DeFi Ecosystem Losses

DeFi 生態系統損失

Adding to the bearish sentiment, Cardano's decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem has suffered a significant setback. The total value locked (TVL) in the Cardano ecosystem has plummeted by over 22% in the past 30 days, reaching $378.24 million. This decline has resulted in Cardano dropping to the 17th position in terms of TVL, as per the DefiLlama index.

卡爾達諾的去中心化金融（DeFi）生態系統遭受了重大挫折，加劇了看跌情緒。卡爾達諾生態系的總鎖定價值（TVL）在過去 30 天內暴跌超過 22%，達到 3.7824 億美元。根據 DefiLlama 指數，這種下降導致卡爾達諾在 TVL 方面跌至第 17 位。

Overbought DeFi Ecosystem

超買的 DeFi 生態系統

Furthermore, Cardano's TVL remains disproportionately low when compared to its market capitalization, indicating an overbought condition. ADA's $20.81 billion market cap is approximately 55 times higher than its ecosystem's TVL, suggesting a potential overvaluation relative to competing ecosystems and tokens.

此外，與市值相比，卡爾達諾的 TVL 仍然過低，顯示存在超買狀況。 ADA 的 208.1 億美元市值約為其生態系統 TVL 的 55 倍，這表明相對於競爭生態系統和代幣而言，其估值可能被高估。

Bearish Outlook for ADA

ADA 前景看跌

Taken together, these factors are painting a bearish picture for ADA in the short term. The declining whale activity, capital outflow from the DeFi ecosystem, and technical consolidation at a crucial support level point to potential downward pressure on ADA prices. Investors are advised to closely monitor these indicators and exercise caution when making investment decisions.

綜合來看，這些因素在短期內為 ADA 描繪了一幅看跌的圖景。鯨魚活動的減少、DeFi 生態系統的資本外流以及關鍵支撐位的技術整合都表明 ADA 價格存在潛在的下行壓力。建議投資人密切注意這些指標，謹慎做出投資決策。

Disclaimer:

免責聲明：

The information provided in this news article should not be construed as financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments involve substantial risk and investors should conduct thorough research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.

本新聞文章中提供的資訊不應被視為財務建議。加密貨幣投資涉及巨大風險，投資者在做出任何投資決定之前應進行徹底的研究和盡職調查。