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尽管历史上有可能出现云层覆盖,但纽约州北部 4 月 8 日日食的天气前景似乎很有希望。预计高压系统将阻止云层进入,而有利的风型将进一步减少云量。然而,国家气象局警告说,预测可能会发生变化,并建议持续监测更新。
Anticipation Soars as Upstate New York Prepares for Stellar Spectacle: Solar Eclipse Forecast Paints a Promising Picture
纽约州北部为恒星奇观做准备,期待飙升:日食预报描绘了一幅充满希望的图景
Syracuse, N.Y. - As the highly anticipated total solar eclipse of April 8 draws near, the minds of countless observers in Upstate New York are preoccupied with a single, paramount question: will Mother Nature cooperate and grant us a spectacle unmarred by cloud cover?
纽约州锡拉丘兹 - 随着 4 月 8 日万众期待的日全食临近,纽约州北部无数观测者的脑海中全神贯注于一个最重要的问题:大自然会合作并为我们带来不受云层影响的奇观吗?
Historical data presents a sobering reality: on the afternoon of April 8, cloud cover typically blankets the Upstate skies 60% to 70% of the time. However, this year, as the celestial event approaches, we find solace in a glimmer of hope.
历史数据呈现出一个发人深省的现实:4 月 8 日下午,北部地区的天空通常有 60% 到 70% 的时间被云层覆盖。然而,今年,随着天象的临近,我们在一线希望中找到了安慰。
According to Mark Wysocki, the renowned New York state climatologist, Upstate New York is poised to reside between two storm systems on the fateful Monday. Auspiciously, a high-pressure system is anticipated to act as a celestial guardian, warding off cloud formations and ensuring a clear view of the astronomical phenomenon. Temperatures are predicted to hover comfortably in the upper 50s.
据纽约州著名气候学家马克·维索基 (Mark Wysocki) 称,在这个决定命运的周一,纽约州北部将处于两个风暴系统之间。幸运的是,高压系统预计将充当天体守护者,抵御云层的形成并确保清楚地看到天文现象。预计气温将稳定地徘徊在 50 多度左右。
"At present, the outlook for the eclipse appears propitious," Wysocki declared.
“目前,日食的前景似乎是有利的,”威索基宣称。
The initial storm system is projected to make landfall in Upstate on Tuesday, potentially bringing precipitation in the form of rain or wet snow through late Thursday or even Friday. By Saturday, this meteorological interloper is expected to depart, allowing cloud cover to diminish significantly by Sunday.
预计最初的风暴系统将于周二在北部地区登陆,可能会在周四晚些时候甚至周五带来降雨或湿雪形式的降水。到周六,这个气象闯入者预计将离开,到周日云量将显着减少。
The second storm, originating from the Rockies, is forecast to traverse the Midwest. This atmospheric pattern favors Upstate, Wysocki explained, as it will steer southerly winds towards the Northeast.
第二场风暴源自落基山脉,预计将横贯中西部。威索基解释说,这种大气模式有利于州北部,因为它将引导南风吹向东北部。
"Were the winds to originate from the north, we would find ourselves in a similar predicament to the preceding weekend, with clouds emanating from Lake Ontario and Lake Huron," Wysocki elaborated. "However, with the winds shifting to the south, we anticipate a substantial reduction in cloudiness. Additionally, a high-pressure system will provide us with further protection."
维索基解释说:“如果风来自北方,我们会发现自己处于与前一个周末类似的困境,云来自安大略湖和休伦湖。” “然而,随着风向转向南面,我们预计云量将大幅减少。此外,高压系统将为我们提供进一步的保护。”
The federal Climate Prediction Center lends further credence to the optimistic outlook, indicating a high probability of a drier-than-average week commencing Saturday. This favorable forecast portends a diminished likelihood of cloud cover and precipitation, although it applies to the general trend over the week rather than a specific day.
联邦气候预测中心进一步证实了乐观的前景,表明从周六开始本周很可能会比平均水平干燥。这一有利的预测预示着云层覆盖和降水的可能性会减少,尽管它适用于一周而不是特定一天的总体趋势。
Even the typically conservative National Weather Service, which confines its forecasts to a one-week horizon, has adopted a cautiously optimistic tone.
即使是一向保守的国家气象局(将预测范围限制在一周内)也采取了谨慎乐观的态度。
"The highly anticipated 2024 solar eclipse will occur Monday, April 8th in the afternoon," proclaimed the weather service office in Buffalo, situated at the epicenter of the eclipse's path. "Model and ensemble guidance continue to suggest dry weather for Monday with high pressure surface and aloft over the eastern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley."
“备受期待的 2024 年日食将于 4 月 8 日星期一下午发生,”位于日食路径中心的布法罗气象服务办公室宣布。 “模型和集合指南继续表明周一天气干燥,五大湖东部和俄亥俄河谷上空有高压表面和高空。”
While the forecast appears promising, the weather service prudently reminds us that "it is FAR too early to forecast cloud cover with any confidence or reliability."
虽然预测看起来很有希望,但气象服务部门谨慎地提醒我们,“现在对云量预测有任何信心或可靠性还为时过早。”
As is the nature of weather predictions, they can be subject to significant alterations. Storms may accelerate or decelerate, and wind patterns can deviate from initial forecasts. Even a few errant clouds at a critical moment could obscure our view of the celestial spectacle.
由于天气预报的性质,它们可能会发生重大变化。风暴可能会加速或减速,风型可能会偏离最初的预测。即使在关键时刻出现几朵飘忽不定的云彩,也可能会遮蔽我们对天体奇观的看法。
Undeterred, we will continue to monitor the evolving forecast closely through Monday. The anticipation and excitement surrounding this astronomical event are palpable, and we eagerly await the moment when the Moon's shadow sweeps across Upstate New York, immersing us in an unforgettable celestial experience.
我们不会被吓倒,我们将在周一继续密切关注不断变化的预测。围绕这一天文事件的期待和兴奋是显而易见的,我们热切地等待着月亮的影子扫过纽约州北部的那一刻,让我们沉浸在难忘的天体体验中。
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