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儘管歷史上有可能出現雲層覆蓋,但紐約州北部 4 月 8 日日食的天氣前景似乎很有希望。預計高壓系統將阻止雲層進入,而有利的風型將進一步減少雲量。然而,國家氣象局警告說,預測可能會發生變化,並建議持續監測更新。
Anticipation Soars as Upstate New York Prepares for Stellar Spectacle: Solar Eclipse Forecast Paints a Promising Picture
紐約州北部為恆星奇觀做準備,期待飆升:日報預報描繪了一幅充滿希望的圖景
Syracuse, N.Y. - As the highly anticipated total solar eclipse of April 8 draws near, the minds of countless observers in Upstate New York are preoccupied with a single, paramount question: will Mother Nature cooperate and grant us a spectacle unmarred by cloud cover?
紐約州錫拉丘茲- 隨著4 月8 日萬眾期待的日全食臨近,紐約州北部無數觀測者的腦海中全神貫注於一個最重要的問題:大自然會合作並為我們帶來不受雲層影響的奇觀嗎?
Historical data presents a sobering reality: on the afternoon of April 8, cloud cover typically blankets the Upstate skies 60% to 70% of the time. However, this year, as the celestial event approaches, we find solace in a glimmer of hope.
歷史資料呈現一個發人深省的現實:4 月 8 日下午,北部地區的天空通常有 60% 到 70% 的時間被雲層覆蓋。然而,今年,隨著天象的臨近,我們在一線希望中找到了安慰。
According to Mark Wysocki, the renowned New York state climatologist, Upstate New York is poised to reside between two storm systems on the fateful Monday. Auspiciously, a high-pressure system is anticipated to act as a celestial guardian, warding off cloud formations and ensuring a clear view of the astronomical phenomenon. Temperatures are predicted to hover comfortably in the upper 50s.
據紐約州著名氣候學家馬克·維索基 (Mark Wysocki) 稱,在這個決定命運的周一,紐約州北部將處於兩個風暴系統之間。幸運的是,高壓系統預計將充當天體守護者,抵禦雲層的形成並確保清楚地看到天文現象。預計氣溫將穩定地徘徊在 50 多度左右。
"At present, the outlook for the eclipse appears propitious," Wysocki declared.
「目前,日食的前景似乎是有利的,」威索基宣稱。
The initial storm system is projected to make landfall in Upstate on Tuesday, potentially bringing precipitation in the form of rain or wet snow through late Thursday or even Friday. By Saturday, this meteorological interloper is expected to depart, allowing cloud cover to diminish significantly by Sunday.
預計最初的風暴系統將於週二在北部地區登陸,可能會在週四晚些時候甚至週五帶來降雨或濕雪形式的降水。到週六,這個氣象闖入者預計將離開,到週日雲量將顯著減少。
The second storm, originating from the Rockies, is forecast to traverse the Midwest. This atmospheric pattern favors Upstate, Wysocki explained, as it will steer southerly winds towards the Northeast.
第二場風暴源自洛磯山脈,預計將橫貫中西部。威索基解釋說,這種大氣模式有利於州北部,因為它將引導南風吹向東北部。
"Were the winds to originate from the north, we would find ourselves in a similar predicament to the preceding weekend, with clouds emanating from Lake Ontario and Lake Huron," Wysocki elaborated. "However, with the winds shifting to the south, we anticipate a substantial reduction in cloudiness. Additionally, a high-pressure system will provide us with further protection."
維索基解釋說:“如果風來自北方,我們會發現自己處於與前一個週末類似的困境,雲來自安大略湖和休倫湖。” “然而,隨著風向轉向南面,我們預計雲量將大幅減少。此外,高壓系統將為我們提供進一步的保護。”
The federal Climate Prediction Center lends further credence to the optimistic outlook, indicating a high probability of a drier-than-average week commencing Saturday. This favorable forecast portends a diminished likelihood of cloud cover and precipitation, although it applies to the general trend over the week rather than a specific day.
聯邦氣候預報中心進一步證實了樂觀的前景,表明從週六開始本週很可能會比平均水平乾燥。這一有利的預測預示著雲層覆蓋和降水的可能性會減少,儘管它適用於一周而不是特定一天的總體趨勢。
Even the typically conservative National Weather Service, which confines its forecasts to a one-week horizon, has adopted a cautiously optimistic tone.
即使是一向保守的國家氣象局(將預測範圍限制在一周內)也採取了謹慎樂觀的態度。
"The highly anticipated 2024 solar eclipse will occur Monday, April 8th in the afternoon," proclaimed the weather service office in Buffalo, situated at the epicenter of the eclipse's path. "Model and ensemble guidance continue to suggest dry weather for Monday with high pressure surface and aloft over the eastern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley."
「備受期待的 2024 年日食將於 4 月 8 日星期一下午發生,」位於日食路徑中心的布法羅氣象服務辦公室宣布。 “模型和集合指南繼續表明周一天氣乾燥,五大湖東部和俄亥俄河谷上空有高壓表面和高空。”
While the forecast appears promising, the weather service prudently reminds us that "it is FAR too early to forecast cloud cover with any confidence or reliability."
雖然預測看起來很有希望,但氣象服務部門謹慎地提醒我們,“現在對雲量預測有任何信心或可靠性還為時過早。”
As is the nature of weather predictions, they can be subject to significant alterations. Storms may accelerate or decelerate, and wind patterns can deviate from initial forecasts. Even a few errant clouds at a critical moment could obscure our view of the celestial spectacle.
由於天氣預報的性質,它們可能會發生重大變化。風暴可能會加速或減速,風型可能會偏離最初的預測。即使在關鍵時刻出現幾朵飄忽不定的雲彩,也可能遮蔽我們對天體奇觀的看法。
Undeterred, we will continue to monitor the evolving forecast closely through Monday. The anticipation and excitement surrounding this astronomical event are palpable, and we eagerly await the moment when the Moon's shadow sweeps across Upstate New York, immersing us in an unforgettable celestial experience.
我們不會被嚇倒,我們將在周一繼續密切關注不斷變化的預測。圍繞著這天文事件的期待和興奮是顯而易見的,我們熱切地等待著月亮的影子掃過紐約州北部的那一刻,讓我們沉浸在難忘的天體體驗中。
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