分析师本杰明·考恩 (Benjamin Cowen) 预测卡尔达诺 (ADA) 兑比特币 (BTC) 可能会在年底前再次下跌

Cowen 指出，ADA 相对于比特币通常在 400 到 4,000 sat 之间波动，并有在减半年末最终下跌的趋势。

Analyst Benjamin Cowen has shared his thoughts on the potential price movements of Cardano (CRYPTO: ADA) against Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) in the coming weeks. According to Cowen's analysis, ADA may experience another decline against BTC before the end of the year, based on historical trends.

分析师本杰明·考恩 (Benjamin Cowen) 分享了他对未来几周卡尔达诺 (CRYPTO: ADA) 兑比特币 (CRYPTO: BTC) 潜在价格走势的看法。 Cowen 分析称，根据历史趋势，ADA 兑 BTC 可能会在年底前再次下跌。

Cowen highlighted that ADA has typically fluctuated within a range of 400 to 4,000 sats relative to Bitcoin, with a tendency for a final drop toward the end of the halving year. In a tweet on Saturday, Cowen shared some statistics for comparison.

Cowen 强调，ADA 相对于比特币通常在 400 至 4,000 sat 的范围内波动，并有在减半年末最终下跌的趋势。在周六的一条推文中，考恩分享了一些统计数据以供比较。

“I think #ADA / #BTC will get one more drop before EOY and then go up in 2025,” Cowen wrote, adding that ADA/BTC reached lows of around 583 sats in November 2020 and 470 sats in November 2024.

Cowen 写道：“我认为#ADA / #BTC 将在 EOY 之前再次下跌，然后在 2025 年上涨。”他补充说，ADA/BTC 在 2020 年 11 月触及约 583 sats 的低点，在 2024 年 11 月触及 470 sats 的低点。

“Showing some stats for comparison. Nov 2020 low: 583 sats Nov 2020 high: 995 sats Dec 2020 low: 503 sats. Nov 2024 low: 470 sats Nov 2024 high: 903 sats (so far) Dec 2024 low: ??? If QT were over I…”

“显示一些统计数据以供比较。 2020 年 11 月低点：583 卫星 2020 年 11 月高点：995 卫星 2020 年 12 月低点：503 卫星。 2024 年 11 月最低点：470 sats 2024 年 11 月最高点：903 sats（到目前为止） 2024 年 12 月最低点：???如果 QT 结束了我……”

The analyst's analysis suggests that ADA/BTC could drop further before recovering in 2025. He noted that the combination of ongoing restrictive monetary policies and the US dollar's current rally presents bearish conditions for riskier assets like cryptocurrency.

该分析师的分析表明，ADA/BTC 可能会进一步下跌，然后在 2025 年恢复。他指出，持续的限制性货币政策和美元当前的上涨相结合，为加密货币等风险较高的资产带来了看跌条件。

Cowen's analysis aligns with his broader perspective on altcoins. He pointed out that the broader altcoin market, as measured by the TOTAL3-USDT index, has struggled to surpass levels last seen in late 2020.

考恩的分析与他对山寨币的更广泛的看法是一致的。他指出，以 TOTAL3-USDT 指数衡量的更广泛的山寨币市场一直难以超越 2020 年底的水平。

This suggests that altcoins, in general, might face further weakness, especially as Bitcoin's dominance has been on the rise. Cowen is open to the possibility that Bitcoin dominance may have peaked. However, he cautions that altcoins could continue to face challenges with the ongoing tightening of financial conditions and increasing yields.

这表明山寨币总体上可能会面临进一步的疲软，尤其是在比特币的主导地位不断上升的情况下。考恩对比特币的主导地位可能已经达到顶峰的可能性持开放态度。然而，他警告说，随着金融状况持续收紧和收益率上升，山寨币可能继续面临挑战。