XRP价格分析：Ripple为何崩盘？

随着最近的涨势暂停，XRP 币大幅下跌。这种下跌主要是由于比特币在周末表现疲软，以及一些投资者在表现强劲后喘口气。

Ripple (XRP) price suffered a harsh reversal on Sunday evening, moving into a bear market as the recent momentum faded. The XRP token dropped from the year-to-date high of $1.6270 to a low of $1.300.

瑞波币（XRP）价格在周日晚间遭遇严重逆转，随着近期势头消退，进入熊市。 XRP 代币从年初至今的高点 1.6270 美元跌至低点 1.300 美元。

XRP price analysis: why did Ripple crash?

XRP价格分析：Ripple为何崩盘？

The XRP coin dropped sharply on Sunday evening as the recent rally took a breather. This decline was mainly driven by Bitcoin’s weakness during the weekend and as some investors took a breather after a solid performance.

随着最近的涨势暂停，瑞波币周日晚间大幅下跌。此次下跌主要是由于比特币周末疲软以及一些投资者在表现强劲后稍作喘息所致。

Bitcoin retreated to $97,000 in the overnight session as the journey to $100,000 stalled. Most of the time, altcoins like Ripple, Cardano, and Solana drop sharply when Bitcoin is losing momentum.

比特币在隔夜交易中回落至 97,000 美元，而 100,000 美元的旅程陷入停滞。大多数时候，当比特币失去动力时，Ripple、Cardano 和 Solana 等山寨币就会大幅下跌。

Technically, as we warned about Stellar Lumens, XRP price crashed because of mean reversion. At its highest level last week, XRP was up by over 165% above the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). It was also up by 150% from its 50-day moving average. Mean reversion is a situation where an asset drops back to the moving average.

从技术上讲，正如我们对 Stellar Lumens 发出的警告，XRP 价格因均值回归而暴跌。 XRP 达到上周的最高水平，较 200 天指数移动平均线 (EMA) 上涨超过 165%。它也比 50 日移动平均线上涨了 150%。均值回归是指资产回落至移动平均线的情况。

XRP also dropped after the coin formed a doji candlestick pattern, which is characterized by a small body and long upper and lower shadows. Most of the time, a doji leads to a strong bearish breakout.

在硬币形成十字烛台图案后，XRP 也下跌，该图案的特点是烛身较小，上下影线较长。大多数时候，十字星会导致强烈的看跌突破。

The ongoing Ripple retreat could push more retail traders to start liquidating their positions in a bid to preserve their profits. Moreover, this is a coin that jumped by over 320% from its lowest point in July.

瑞波币持续回落可能会促使更多散户开始清算头寸，以保住利润。此外，这枚代币从 7 月份的最低点上涨了 320% 以上。

Therefore, the coin may drop to the next key support at $1.00, which is a psychological level and also slightly above the key point at $0.9321, its highest level in July last year. This price action is known as a break and retest and is one of the most popular continuation signs in the market.

因此，该代币可能会跌至下一个关键支撑位1.00美元，这是一个心理水平，也略高于关键点0.9321美元，这是去年7月的最高水平。这种价格走势被称为突破和重新测试，是市场上最受欢迎的持续信号之一。

The alternative scenario is where the coin consolidates at the current level as it forms either a bullish flag or a pennant, popular continuation pattern. If this happens, more gains will be confirmed if the XRP price rises above the key resistance level at $1.6270, its highest level this year.

另一种情况是代币在当前水平盘整，形成看涨旗形或三角旗、流行的延续模式。如果发生这种情况，如果 XRP 价格升至今年最高水平 1.6270 美元的关键阻力位，则将确认更多涨幅。

Why Ripple has surged

为何瑞波币飙升

The main reason why the XRP price has soared is that the US elected Donald Trump to become the next president. He has already announced several crypto-friendly appointments, including Howard Lutnick and Scott Bessent. He is also friendly with Vivek Ramaswamy and Elon Musk, who have expressed support for the industry.

XRP价格飙升的主要原因是美国选举唐纳德·特朗普成为下一任总统。他已经宣布了几项对加密货币友好的任命，包括 Howard Lutnick 和 Scott Bessent。他与维韦克·拉马斯瓦米 (Vivek Ramaswamy) 和埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk) 也很友好，他们都表示了对该行业的支持。

Therefore, there is a possibility that he will also appoint a crypto-friendly head of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). If this happens, there is a possibility that Ripple’s legal issues will end in 2023.

因此，他还有可能任命一位对加密货币友好的美国证券交易委员会（SEC）负责人。如果这种情况发生，Ripple 的法律问题有可能在 2023 年结束。

Ripple is also expected to launch its stablecoin, RLUSD, soon as it seeks to battle it out with Tether. If successful, it would lead to substantial profits for Ripple Labs since stablecoins have some of the highest margins in business. Still, the challenge is that the industry is highly competitive, with newer stablecoins like PayPal’s PYUSD struggling to gain market share.

Ripple 预计还将推出其稳定币 RLUSD，以与 Tether 展开竞争。如果成功，它将为 Ripple Labs 带来可观的利润，因为稳定币在业务中拥有最高的利润率。尽管如此，挑战在于该行业竞争激烈，PayPal 的 PYUSD 等较新的稳定币正在努力争取市场份额。

The other big issue is that Ripple’s XRP Ledger network has struggled to gain traction among developers. Data shows that the network has a total value locked (TVL) of just $14.87 million, making it smaller than newer networks like Base and Sui.

另一个大问题是 Ripple 的 XRP Ledger 网络一直难以吸引开发者的关注。数据显示，该网络的总锁定价值（TVL）仅为 1487 万美元，比 Base 和 Sui 等较新的网络要小。