分析師本傑明·考恩 (Benjamin Cowen) 預測卡爾達諾 (ADA) 兌比特幣 (BTC) 可能會在年底前再次下跌

Cowen 指出，ADA 相對於比特幣通常在 400 到 4,000 sat 之間波動，並有在減半年末最終下跌的趨勢。

Analyst Benjamin Cowen has shared his thoughts on the potential price movements of Cardano (CRYPTO: ADA) against Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) in the coming weeks. According to Cowen's analysis, ADA may experience another decline against BTC before the end of the year, based on historical trends.

分析師本傑明·考恩 (Benjamin Cowen) 分享了他對未來幾週卡爾達諾 (CRYPTO: ADA) 兌比特幣 (CRYPTO: BTC) 潛在價格走勢的看法。 Cowen 分析稱，根據歷史趨勢，ADA 兌 BTC 可能會在年底前再次下跌。

Cowen highlighted that ADA has typically fluctuated within a range of 400 to 4,000 sats relative to Bitcoin, with a tendency for a final drop toward the end of the halving year. In a tweet on Saturday, Cowen shared some statistics for comparison.

Cowen 強調，ADA 相對於比特幣通常在 400 至 4,000 sat 的範圍內波動，並有在減半年末最終下跌的趨勢。在周六的一條推文中，考恩分享了一些統計數據以供比較。

“I think #ADA / #BTC will get one more drop before EOY and then go up in 2025,” Cowen wrote, adding that ADA/BTC reached lows of around 583 sats in November 2020 and 470 sats in November 2024.

Cowen 寫道：「我認為#ADA / #BTC 將在EOY 之前再次下跌，然後在2025 年上漲。」他補充說，ADA/BTC 在2020 年11 月觸及約583 sats 的低點，在2024 年11月觸及470 sats 的低點。

“Showing some stats for comparison. Nov 2020 low: 583 sats Nov 2020 high: 995 sats Dec 2020 low: 503 sats. Nov 2024 low: 470 sats Nov 2024 high: 903 sats (so far) Dec 2024 low: ??? If QT were over I…”

“顯示一些統計數據以供比較。 2020 年 11 月低點：583 衛星 2020 年 11 月高點：995 衛星 2020 年 12 月低點：503 衛星。 2024 年 11 月最低點：470 sats 2024 年 11 月最高點：903 sats（到目前為止） 2024 年 12 月最低點：???如果 QT 結束了我…”

The analyst's analysis suggests that ADA/BTC could drop further before recovering in 2025. He noted that the combination of ongoing restrictive monetary policies and the US dollar's current rally presents bearish conditions for riskier assets like cryptocurrency.

該分析師的分析表明，ADA/BTC 可能會進一步下跌，然後在2025 年恢復。看跌條件。

Cowen's analysis aligns with his broader perspective on altcoins. He pointed out that the broader altcoin market, as measured by the TOTAL3-USDT index, has struggled to surpass levels last seen in late 2020.

考恩的分析與他對山寨幣的更廣泛的看法是一致的。他指出，以 TOTAL3-USDT 指數衡量的更廣泛的山寨幣市場一直難以超越 2020 年底的水平。

This suggests that altcoins, in general, might face further weakness, especially as Bitcoin's dominance has been on the rise. Cowen is open to the possibility that Bitcoin dominance may have peaked. However, he cautions that altcoins could continue to face challenges with the ongoing tightening of financial conditions and increasing yields.

這表明山寨幣總體上可能會面臨進一步的疲軟，尤其是在比特幣的主導地位不斷上升的情況下。考恩對比特幣的主導地位可能已經達到頂峰的可能性持開放態度。然而，他警告說，隨著金融狀況持續收緊和收益率上升，山寨幣可能繼續面臨挑戰。