随着比特币的稳定，山寨币大放异彩：为什么鲸鱼将焦点转向以太坊、XRP 和卡尔达诺

随着唐纳德·特朗普就任美国下一任总统的临近，加密货币市场在主要时间框架内大幅上涨。

As Donald Trump's inauguration as the next president of the United States approaches, the crypto market is surging massively on major timeframes. Investors now appear to be shifting their focus from mainstream cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin into altcoins like Ethereum, XRP and Cardano. Here’s why these whales are behaving this way, and why they hope to capitalize on what comes next for the US economy.

随着唐纳德·特朗普就任美国下一任总统的临近，加密货币市场在主要时间框架内大幅上涨。投资者现在似乎正在将注意力从比特币等主流加密货币转向以太坊、瑞波币和卡尔达诺等山寨币。这就是为什么这些鲸鱼会这样做，以及为什么他们希望利用美国经济的下一步发展。

Bitcoin has remained relatively stable around the $102,000 mark, with a 4% gain over the last 24 hours. On the flip side, smaller-cap altcoins like XRP, Cardano and Litecoin have seen explosive growth, with XRP rising by 40% over the last week and Cardano rising by 18% over the same timeframe.

比特币在 102,000 美元大关附近保持相对稳定，过去 24 小时内上涨 4%。另一方面，XRP、Cardano 和 Litecoin 等小盘山寨币出现了爆炸性增长，XRP 上周上涨了 40%，Cardano 同期上涨了 18%。

This margin between Bitcoin and the altcoin market shows general health in the market’s performance. More importantly, it shows that investors are increasingly favoring the altcoins, especially with Trump's plans for crypto adoption.

比特币和山寨币市场之间的差距表明市场表现总体健康。更重要的是，它表明投资者越来越青睐山寨币，尤其是特朗普计划采用加密货币。

There has also been some speculation about an “American crypto reserve” that could possibly include assets like Bitcoin and even XRP or Solana. All of the above factors have contributed to the frenzy, even despite the lack of official confirmation from Trump or his team.

还有一些关于“美国加密货币储备”的猜测，其中可能包括比特币、甚至 XRP 或 Solana 等资产。尽管没有得到特朗普或其团队的官方证实，但所有上述因素都助长了这场狂热。

Interestingly, Trump's election win in November has seen a staggering 98% price increase in the CoinDesk 20 index. This growth has outpaced Bitcoin's 46% price increase, wit the small-cap altcoins stealing the spotlight. Platforms like Coinbase and Robinhood are also benefiting with their stocks gaining within the same timeframe.

有趣的是，特朗普在 11 月份赢得大选后，CoinDesk 20 指数的价格上涨了 98%，令人震惊。这一增长速度超过了比特币 46% 的价格涨幅，其中小盘山寨币抢尽了风头。 Coinbase 和 Robinhood 等平台也受益于其股票在同一时间段内上涨。

Adding to the excitement is the comment in a CNBC interview from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, who suggested that interest rate cuts could arrive as early as the first half of the year. All of these factors have bolstered confidence in the market, as well as confidence in riskier assets like Bitcoin.

美联储理事克里斯托弗·沃勒 (Christopher Waller) 在接受 CNBC 采访时表示，降息最早可能在今年上半年到来，这让人们更加兴奋。所有这些因素都增强了市场信心，以及对比特币等风险较高资产的信心。

Waller’s remarks have shifted expectations for the market, with a 50% chance of rate cuts in May, and a 55% probability of something similar happening by year end.

沃勒的言论改变了市场预期，5月份降息的可能性为50%，年底发生类似情况的可能性为55%。

As Trump's inauguration nears, a few cryptocurrencies have emerged as investor favorites so far. Here’s a look at all of them:

随着特朗普就职典礼的临近，迄今为止，一些加密货币已成为投资者的最爱。以下是所有这些内容：

The memecoin king has soared by nearly 25% over the last week to a new high of around $0.41. This marks nearly a 400% price increase over the past year, where it struggled underneath the $0.2 zone. Trump's pro-crypto policies and Musk's appointment as the leader of the Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E.) have increased interest in the token.

Memecoin 之王上周飙升近 25%，达到 0.41 美元左右的新高。这标志着过去一年价格上涨了近 400%，当时它一直在 0.2 美元区域以下挣扎。特朗普的支持加密货币政策以及马斯克被任命为政府效率部（DOGE）领导人增加了人们对代币的兴趣。

According to the charts, Dogecoin is currently trading within a symmetric triangle and should be ready for a breakout towards the upside as illustrated. Dogecoin price prediction indicates that the cryptocurrency could range between the $0.38–$0.42 zone for a while, before shooting upwards towards the $1 mark by mid-year.

根据图表，狗狗币目前在对称三角形内交易，如图所示，应该准备好向上突破。狗狗币价格预测表明，该加密货币可能会在 0.38 美元至 0.42 美元之间波动一段时间，然后在年中飙升至 1 美元大关。

XRP currently sits at around $3.25 and has come a long way over the last year. The cryptocurrency's ability to perform low-cost transactions across borders has made it a favorite among governments and institutions. This growth has helped it to become the 3rd largest cryptocurrency by market cap—right underneath Ethereum as the 2nd.

XRP 目前价格约为 3.25 美元，比去年有了很大的进步。加密货币能够进行低成本跨境交易，使其成为政府和机构的最爱。这种增长帮助它成为市值第三大的加密货币——仅次于以太坊，位居第二。

XRP broke out of the symmetric triangle illustrated above sometime this week, and has broken above the $3 mark for the first time since 2018. The XRP price could continue further up above the $3 mark according to analysts, and climb as high as the 8–$20 zone according to analysts.

XRP 本周某个时候突破了上面所示的对称三角形，并自 2018 年以来首次突破 3 美元大关。根据分析师的说法，XRP 价格可能会继续进一步升至 3 美元大关之上，并攀升至 8-据分析师称，20 美元区域。

Ethereum currently trades at around $3,400 and rebounded after hitting oversold territory. The bulls appear to have taken advantage of its relatively low prices and are pushing it above the psychological $3,500 price level.

以太坊目前交易价格约为 3,400 美元，并在触及超卖区域后反弹。多头似乎利用了其相对较低的价格，并将其推高至 3,500 美元的心理价位。

The cryptocurrency has a huge role to play in the defi ecosystem, especially since its 2002 merge. Once the crypto market begins to recover fully, analysts predict that the Ethereum price could become one of the top performers, with a price target between $8,000 and $10,000.

这种加密货币在 Defi 生态系统中发挥着巨大作用，尤其是自 2002 年合并以来。一旦加密货币市场开始全面复苏，分析师预测以太坊价格可能成为表现最好的价格之一，目标价格在 8,000 美元至 10,000 美元之间。

Cardano has a current price of around $0.95 and remains a strong contender because of its sustainability and smart contracts. The cryptocurrency has a current price of around $1.12 and is performing well after breaking above the psychological $1 zone this week.

卡尔达诺目前的价格约为 0.95 美元，由于其可持续性和智能合约，它仍然是一个强有力的竞争者。该加密货币目前的价格约为 1.12 美元，在本周突破 1 美元心理区域后表现良好。

Cardano is attempting to finalize a break out of the symmetric triangle shown in the 4-hour chart above. Analysts generally expect the ADA price to reach the $5 price level at least, or the $7 level if Bitcoin remains stable.

卡尔达诺正试图最终突破上面 4 小时图表中所示的对称三角形。分析师普遍预计 ADA 价格至少将达到 5 美元的价格水平，如果比特币保持稳定，则将达到 7 美元的水平。