隨著比特幣的穩定，山寨幣大放異彩：為什麼鯨魚會將焦點轉向以太坊、XRP 和卡爾達諾

隨著唐納德·川普就任美國下一任總統的臨近，加密貨幣市場在主要時間範圍內大幅上漲。

As Donald Trump's inauguration as the next president of the United States approaches, the crypto market is surging massively on major timeframes. Investors now appear to be shifting their focus from mainstream cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin into altcoins like Ethereum, XRP and Cardano. Here’s why these whales are behaving this way, and why they hope to capitalize on what comes next for the US economy.

隨著唐納德·川普就任美國下一任總統的臨近，加密貨幣市場在主要時間範圍內大幅上漲。投資者現在似乎將注意力從比特幣等主流加密貨幣轉向以太坊、瑞波幣和卡爾達諾等山寨幣。這就是為什麼這些鯨魚會這樣做，以及為什麼他們希望利用美國經濟的下一步發展。

Bitcoin has remained relatively stable around the $102,000 mark, with a 4% gain over the last 24 hours. On the flip side, smaller-cap altcoins like XRP, Cardano and Litecoin have seen explosive growth, with XRP rising by 40% over the last week and Cardano rising by 18% over the same timeframe.

比特幣在 102,000 美元大關附近保持相對穩定，過去 24 小時內上漲 4%。另一方面，XRP、Cardano 和 Litecoin 等小盤山寨幣出現了爆炸性增長，XRP 上週上漲了 40%，Cardano 同期上漲了 18%。

This margin between Bitcoin and the altcoin market shows general health in the market’s performance. More importantly, it shows that investors are increasingly favoring the altcoins, especially with Trump's plans for crypto adoption.

比特幣和山寨幣市場之間的差距表明市場表現整體健康。更重要的是，它表明投資者越來越青睞山寨幣，尤其是川普計劃採用加密貨幣。

There has also been some speculation about an “American crypto reserve” that could possibly include assets like Bitcoin and even XRP or Solana. All of the above factors have contributed to the frenzy, even despite the lack of official confirmation from Trump or his team.

還有一些關於「美國加密貨幣儲備」的猜測，其中可能包括比特幣、甚至 XRP 或 Solana 等資產。儘管沒有得到川普或其團隊的官方證實，但所有上述因素都助長了這場狂熱。

Interestingly, Trump's election win in November has seen a staggering 98% price increase in the CoinDesk 20 index. This growth has outpaced Bitcoin's 46% price increase, wit the small-cap altcoins stealing the spotlight. Platforms like Coinbase and Robinhood are also benefiting with their stocks gaining within the same timeframe.

有趣的是，川普在 11 月贏得大選後，CoinDesk 20 指數的價格上漲了 98%，令人震驚。這一增長速度超過了比特幣 46% 的價格漲幅，其中小盤山寨幣搶盡了風頭。 Coinbase 和 Robinhood 等平台也因其股票在同一時間內上漲而受益。

Adding to the excitement is the comment in a CNBC interview from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, who suggested that interest rate cuts could arrive as early as the first half of the year. All of these factors have bolstered confidence in the market, as well as confidence in riskier assets like Bitcoin.

聯準會理事 Christopher Waller 在接受 CNBC 採訪時表示，降息最早可能在今年上半年到來，這讓人們更加興奮。所有這些因素都增強了市場信心，以及對比特幣等風險較高資產的信心。

Waller’s remarks have shifted expectations for the market, with a 50% chance of rate cuts in May, and a 55% probability of something similar happening by year end.

沃勒的言論改變了市場預期，5月降息的可能性為50%，年底發生類似情況的可能性為55%。

As Trump's inauguration nears, a few cryptocurrencies have emerged as investor favorites so far. Here’s a look at all of them:

隨著川普就職典禮的臨近，迄今為止，一些加密貨幣已成為投資者的最愛。以下是所有這些內容：

The memecoin king has soared by nearly 25% over the last week to a new high of around $0.41. This marks nearly a 400% price increase over the past year, where it struggled underneath the $0.2 zone. Trump's pro-crypto policies and Musk's appointment as the leader of the Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E.) have increased interest in the token.

Memecoin 之王上週飆升近 25%，達到 0.41 美元左右的新高。這標誌著過去一年價格上漲了近 400%，當時它一直在 0.2 美元區域以下掙扎。川普的支持加密貨幣政策以及馬斯克被任命為政府效率部（DOGE）領導人增加了人們對代幣的興趣。

According to the charts, Dogecoin is currently trading within a symmetric triangle and should be ready for a breakout towards the upside as illustrated. Dogecoin price prediction indicates that the cryptocurrency could range between the $0.38–$0.42 zone for a while, before shooting upwards towards the $1 mark by mid-year.

根據圖表，狗狗幣目前在對稱三角形內交易，如圖所示，應該準備好向上突破。狗狗幣價格預測表明，該加密貨幣可能會在 0.38 美元至 0.42 美元之間波動一段時間，然後在年中飆升至 1 美元大關。

XRP currently sits at around $3.25 and has come a long way over the last year. The cryptocurrency's ability to perform low-cost transactions across borders has made it a favorite among governments and institutions. This growth has helped it to become the 3rd largest cryptocurrency by market cap—right underneath Ethereum as the 2nd.

XRP 目前價格約為 3.25 美元，比去年有了很大的進步。加密貨幣能夠進行低成本跨境交易，使其成為政府和機構的最愛。這種成長幫助它成為市值第三大的加密貨幣——僅次於以太坊，位居第二。

XRP broke out of the symmetric triangle illustrated above sometime this week, and has broken above the $3 mark for the first time since 2018. The XRP price could continue further up above the $3 mark according to analysts, and climb as high as the 8–$20 zone according to analysts.

XRP 本周某個時候突破了上面所示的對稱三角形，並自2018 年以來首次突破3 美元大關。 8-據分析師稱，20 美元區域。

Ethereum currently trades at around $3,400 and rebounded after hitting oversold territory. The bulls appear to have taken advantage of its relatively low prices and are pushing it above the psychological $3,500 price level.

以太坊目前交易價格約為 3,400 美元，並在觸及超賣區域後反彈。多頭似乎利用了其相對較低的價格，並將其推高至 3,500 美元的心理價位。

The cryptocurrency has a huge role to play in the defi ecosystem, especially since its 2002 merge. Once the crypto market begins to recover fully, analysts predict that the Ethereum price could become one of the top performers, with a price target between $8,000 and $10,000.

這種加密貨幣在 Defi 生態系統中發揮巨大作用，尤其是自 2002 年合併以來。一旦加密貨幣市場開始全面復甦，分析師預測以太幣價格可能會成為表現最好的價格之一，目標價格在 8,000 美元至 10,000 美元之間。

Cardano has a current price of around $0.95 and remains a strong contender because of its sustainability and smart contracts. The cryptocurrency has a current price of around $1.12 and is performing well after breaking above the psychological $1 zone this week.

卡爾達諾目前的價格約為 0.95 美元，由於其可持續性和智能合約，它仍然是一個強有力的競爭者。該加密貨幣目前的價格約為 1.12 美元，在本週突破 1 美元心理區域後表現良好。

Cardano is attempting to finalize a break out of the symmetric triangle shown in the 4-hour chart above. Analysts generally expect the ADA price to reach the $5 price level at least, or the $7 level if Bitcoin remains stable.

卡爾達諾正試圖最終突破上面 4 小時圖表中所示的對稱三角形。分析師普遍預計 ADA 價格至少將達到 5 美元的價格水平，如果比特幣保持穩定，則將達到 7 美元的水平。