隨著比特幣減半的臨近，XRP 顯示出復甦的跡象

2024 年，XRP 與比特幣相比表現不佳，年初至今下跌 2.5%，而比特幣則飆升 60%。然而，XRP 正顯示出復甦的跡象，看漲指標顯示比特幣減半後的改善。從歷史上看，XRP 在減半前後的表現優於 BTC，在第三次和第二次減半後出現了顯著上漲。 XRP/BTC 貨幣對目前處於看漲下降楔形形態，突破目標為 0.00001022 BTC。長期目標包括到 2024 年 6 月達到 50 週均線 0.00001449 BTC，這標誌著潛在的 70% 成長。值得注意的是，大型 XRP 持有者正處於累積階段，顯示減半前的看漲情緒不斷增強。

Emerging Signs of Recovery for XRP as Bitcoin Halving Approaches

隨著比特幣減半的臨近，XRP 出現復甦跡象

In the realm of cryptocurrency, the year 2024 has witnessed a noticeable disparity in the performances of Bitcoin and XRP. While Bitcoin has ascended by a remarkable 60% year-to-date (YTD), XRP has languished, enduring a decline of approximately 2.5%. Consequently, the XRP/BTC exchange rate has plummeted by a substantial 40% YTD.

在加密貨幣領域，2024 年比特幣和 XRP 的表現出現了明顯的差異。儘管比特幣今年迄今 (YTD) 上漲了 60%，但 XRP 卻表現疲軟，下跌了約 2.5%。因此，XRP/BTC 匯率今年迄今已暴跌 40%。

However, amidst this underperformance, there are encouraging indications of a potential resurgence for XRP as the momentous Bitcoin halving event draws near. Several bullish indicators are coalescing, suggesting that XRP's performance may experience a significant enhancement post-halving.

然而，儘管表現不佳，但有令人鼓舞的跡象表明，隨著重要的比特幣減半事件的臨近，XRP 可能會復甦。多個看漲指標正在合併，表明 XRP 的表現可能會在減半後出現顯著增強。

Historically, XRP has exhibited a peculiar pattern of outperforming Bitcoin during halving periods. Following the third Bitcoin halving in May 2020, the XRP/BTC pair soared by an impressive 100%. A similar trend manifested during the second halving in July 2016, with the pair recording an 85% surge. These historical precedents paint a promising picture for XRP's prospects after the forthcoming halving scheduled for April 19.

從歷史上看，XRP 在減半期間表現出了優於比特幣的獨特模式。繼 2020 年 5 月第三次比特幣減半後，XRP/BTC 貨幣對飆升了 100%，令人印象深刻。 2016 年 7 月第二次減半期間也出現了類似的趨勢，貨幣對飆升 85%。這些歷史先例為 XRP 在 4 月 19 日減半後的前景描繪了一幅充滿希望的圖景。

The observed gains in the XRP/BTC pair are primarily attributed to a characteristic post-halving decrease in Bitcoin's market dominance. This phenomenon prompts traders to shift their investments from Bitcoin to altcoins, often leading to a surge in altcoin prices—a trend commonly known as "altseason." Altcoins like XRP, with their relatively smaller market caps and higher volatility compared to Bitcoin, offer the potential for substantial short-term gains.

XRP/BTC 貨幣對的上漲主要歸因於減半後比特幣市場主導地位的典型下降。這種現象促使交易者將投資從比特幣轉向山寨幣，通常會導致山寨幣價格飆升——這種趨勢通常被稱為「山寨幣季節」。與比特幣相比，XRP 等山寨幣的市值相對較小且波動性較高，因此具有短期大幅收益的潛力。

From a technical perspective, the XRP/BTC pair has been confined within a descending wedge pattern since February. This pattern is characterized by a price oscillation within a wedge defined by two converging trendlines. Traditionally, this pattern is interpreted as a bullish reversal indicator, suggesting an impending upward move once the price breaches above the upper trendline. For XRP, the projected breakout target for April/May is 0.00001022 BTC, representing a promising 16.75% increase from current levels.

從技術角度來看，自 2 月以來，XRP/BTC 貨幣對一直被限制在下降楔形模式內。這種模式的特徵是價格在由兩條匯聚趨勢線定義的楔形內振盪。傳統上，這種模式被解釋為看漲反轉指標，顯示一旦價格突破上方趨勢線，即將上漲。對於 XRP，4 月/5 月的預期突破目標是 0.00001022 BTC，較目前水準預期成長 16.75%。

Extending our gaze further ahead, XRP's weekly price target against Bitcoin by June 2024 is set at 0.00001449 BTC, coinciding with the 50-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA). This target signifies a substantial 70% growth from its current price. Historically, traders have consistently targeted this 50-week EMA as a bullish objective following previous Bitcoin halvings.

將我們的目光進一步延伸，到 2024 年 6 月，XRP 相對於比特幣的每週價格目標設定為 0.00001449 BTC，與 50 週指數移動平均線 (EMA) 一致。這一目標意味著較當前價格大幅增長 70%。從歷史上看，繼先前的比特幣減半之後，交易員一直將 50 週均線作為看漲目標。

Furthermore, XRP is experiencing a notable accumulation phase among its largest investors. Since early March, there has been a significant increase in the number of entities holding over 1 million XRP tokens. This surge in accumulation has been paralleled by a rise in the number of holders possessing at least 100,000 XRP tokens since April. This influx of large-scale investment indicates a growing bullish sentiment among whales in anticipation of the Bitcoin halving.

此外，XRP 正在經歷其最大投資者的顯著累積階段。自 3 月初以來，持有超過 100 萬個 XRP 代幣的實體數量顯著增加。自 4 月以來，隨著累積的激增，擁有至少 100,000 XRP 代幣的持有者數量也有所增加。大規模投資的湧入表明，鯨魚對比特幣減半的預期越來越看漲。