随着比特币减半的临近，XRP 显示出复苏的迹象

2024 年，XRP 与比特币相比表现不佳，年初至今下跌 2.5%，而比特币则飙升 60%。然而，XRP 正显示出复苏的迹象，看涨指标表明比特币减半后的好转。从历史上看，XRP 在减半前后的表现优于 BTC，在第三次和第二次减半后出现了显着上涨。 XRP/BTC 货币对目前处于看涨下降楔形形态，突破目标为 0.00001022 BTC。长期目标包括到 2024 年 6 月达到 50 周均线 0.00001449 BTC，这标志着潜在的 70% 增长。值得注意的是，大型 XRP 持有者正处于积累阶段，表明减半前的看涨情绪不断增强。

Emerging Signs of Recovery for XRP as Bitcoin Halving Approaches

随着比特币减半的临近，XRP 出现复苏迹象

In the realm of cryptocurrency, the year 2024 has witnessed a noticeable disparity in the performances of Bitcoin and XRP. While Bitcoin has ascended by a remarkable 60% year-to-date (YTD), XRP has languished, enduring a decline of approximately 2.5%. Consequently, the XRP/BTC exchange rate has plummeted by a substantial 40% YTD.

在加密货币领域，2024 年比特币和 XRP 的表现出现了明显的差异。尽管比特币今年迄今 (YTD) 上涨了 60%，但 XRP 却表现疲软，下跌了约 2.5%。因此，XRP/BTC 汇率今年迄今已暴跌 40%。

However, amidst this underperformance, there are encouraging indications of a potential resurgence for XRP as the momentous Bitcoin halving event draws near. Several bullish indicators are coalescing, suggesting that XRP's performance may experience a significant enhancement post-halving.

然而，尽管表现不佳，但有令人鼓舞的迹象表明，随着重要的比特币减半事件的临近，XRP 可能会复苏。多个看涨指标正在合并，表明 XRP 的表现可能会在减半后出现显着增强。

Historically, XRP has exhibited a peculiar pattern of outperforming Bitcoin during halving periods. Following the third Bitcoin halving in May 2020, the XRP/BTC pair soared by an impressive 100%. A similar trend manifested during the second halving in July 2016, with the pair recording an 85% surge. These historical precedents paint a promising picture for XRP's prospects after the forthcoming halving scheduled for April 19.

从历史上看，XRP 在减半期间表现出了优于比特币的独特模式。继 2020 年 5 月第三次比特币减半之后，XRP/BTC 货币对飙升了 100%，令人印象深刻。 2016 年 7 月第二次减半期间也出现了类似的趋势，货币对飙升 85%。这些历史先例为 XRP 在 4 月 19 日减半后的前景描绘了一幅充满希望的图景。

The observed gains in the XRP/BTC pair are primarily attributed to a characteristic post-halving decrease in Bitcoin's market dominance. This phenomenon prompts traders to shift their investments from Bitcoin to altcoins, often leading to a surge in altcoin prices—a trend commonly known as "altseason." Altcoins like XRP, with their relatively smaller market caps and higher volatility compared to Bitcoin, offer the potential for substantial short-term gains.

XRP/BTC 货币对的上涨主要归因于减半后比特币市场主导地位的典型下降。这种现象促使交易者将投资从比特币转向山寨币，通常会导致山寨币价格飙升——这种趋势通常被称为“山寨币季节”。与比特币相比，XRP 等山寨币的市值相对较小且波动性较高，因此具有短期大幅收益的潜力。

From a technical perspective, the XRP/BTC pair has been confined within a descending wedge pattern since February. This pattern is characterized by a price oscillation within a wedge defined by two converging trendlines. Traditionally, this pattern is interpreted as a bullish reversal indicator, suggesting an impending upward move once the price breaches above the upper trendline. For XRP, the projected breakout target for April/May is 0.00001022 BTC, representing a promising 16.75% increase from current levels.

从技术角度来看，自 2 月份以来，XRP/BTC 货币对一直被限制在下降楔形模式内。这种模式的特点是价格在由两条汇聚趋势线定义的楔形内振荡。传统上，这种模式被解释为看涨反转指标，表明一旦价格突破上方趋势线，即将上涨。对于 XRP，4 月/5 月的预计突破目标是 0.00001022 BTC，较当前水平有望增长 16.75%。

Extending our gaze further ahead, XRP's weekly price target against Bitcoin by June 2024 is set at 0.00001449 BTC, coinciding with the 50-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA). This target signifies a substantial 70% growth from its current price. Historically, traders have consistently targeted this 50-week EMA as a bullish objective following previous Bitcoin halvings.

将我们的目光进一步延伸，到 2024 年 6 月，XRP 相对于比特币的每周价格目标设定为 0.00001449 BTC，与 50 周指数移动平均线 (EMA) 一致。这一目标意味着较当前价格大幅增长 70%。从历史上看，继之前的比特币减半之后，交易员一直将 50 周均线作为看涨目标。

Furthermore, XRP is experiencing a notable accumulation phase among its largest investors. Since early March, there has been a significant increase in the number of entities holding over 1 million XRP tokens. This surge in accumulation has been paralleled by a rise in the number of holders possessing at least 100,000 XRP tokens since April. This influx of large-scale investment indicates a growing bullish sentiment among whales in anticipation of the Bitcoin halving.

此外，XRP 正在经历其最大投资者的显着积累阶段。自 3 月初以来，持有超过 100 万 XRP 代币的实体数量显着增加。自 4 月份以来，随着积累的激增，拥有至少 100,000 XRP 代币的持有者数量也有所增加。大规模投资的涌入表明，鲸鱼对比特币减半的预期越来越看涨。