XRP價格穩定在2.60美元以上，因為特朗普關稅戰爭觸發了冒險情緒

在過去的三天中，Ripple（XRP）一直處於下降趨勢，其中有多名看跌催化劑，包括在美國和加拿大之間加劇貿易緊張局勢。

Ripple (XRP) price fell as low as $2.60 on Sunday, February 2, down 17% in 3 consecutive losing days, as escalating trade tensions between the US and Canada sparked a risk-off sentiment in the market, impacting XRP price. However, on-chain data suggests whale accumulation and a long-term approach from retail traders could provide support for XRP price.

Ripple（XRP）價格在2月2日星期日下跌至2.60美元，在連續3次失敗的日期內下跌了17％，因為美國和加拿大之間的貿易緊張局勢不斷升級，這引起了市場上的風險，影響了XRP的價格。但是，鏈上的數據表明鯨魚的積累，零售交易者的長期方法可以為XRP價格提供支持。

As the US-Canada trade war escalates, with former President Donald Trump announcing new tariffs and Canada preparing for retaliatory measures, fears of a prolonged economic standoff gripped markets on Sunday. The announcement of these tariffs triggered a sell-off in key US Stock indices, and the crypto market followed suit, with Bitcoin (BTC) dropping to $96,000.

隨著美國加拿大貿易戰爭的升級，前總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）宣布新的關稅和加拿大為報復措施做準備，擔心週日的經濟僵局長期存在。這些關稅的宣布引發了美國關鍵股票指數的拋售，加密貨幣市場也隨之而來，比特幣（BTC）下跌至96,000美元。

Amid the market turmoil, gold gained traction as investors shifted toward safe-haven assets, reflecting the classic risk-off sentiment observed during times of geopolitical instability. However, despite the losses, Ripple price action showed relative resilience compared to other mega-cap altcoins.

在市場動盪中，隨著投資者轉向避風港資產，黃金獲得了吸引力，這反映了在地緣政治不穩定時期觀察到的經典風險情緒。然而，儘管損失損失，但與其他大型售出的高架幣相比，波紋價格行動顯示出相對的彈性。

While XRP posted a 10% daily drop, some of last week’s top gainers, like SUI and Polkadot, experienced steeper declines, exceeding 15% in the same period. This performance suggests that XRP might be attracting strategic buyers looking to enter the market at a discount amid the uncertainty.

儘管XRP每天下降10％，但上週的最高利益（如Sui和Polkadot）的下降幅度較高，同期超過15％。這種表現表明，XRP可能會吸引希望以不確定性折扣進入市場的戰略買家。

A key metric to assess investor sentiment is the total XRP reserves on Binance. CryptoQuant’s data reveals that XRP deposits on Binance have dropped to a 40-day low, decreasing from 3.04 billion XRP on January 16 to 2.55 billion XRP as of February 2. This implies that 490 million XRP coins have exited Binance in just over two weeks.

評估投資者情緒的關鍵指標是XRP的總儲備。加密的數據表明，XRP沉積在2月2日降至1月16日的30.4億XRP降低到25.5億XRP截至2月2日。這意味著4.9億個XRP Coins在短短兩週內就退出了二線。

This decline in exchange reserves may indicate that long-term investors and whales are accumulating XRP and moving their holdings into cold storage. Binance handles over 40% of the global retail crypto market, making this metric particularly relevant in gauging investor sentiment.

交換儲備中的這種下降可能表明，長期投資者和鯨魚正在積累XRP並將其持股轉移到冷藏中。 Binance處理全球零售加密市場的40％以上，這使得該指標尤其與衡量投資者的情緒有關。

Another interpretation of this trend is that institutional players are accumulating XRP in anticipation of regulatory clarity surrounding exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Bloomberg analysts recently suggested that a Litecoin ETF may be approved first, raising expectations that other altcoins, such as XRP, could follow. Institutional investors often acquire assets ahead of major regulatory developments, which could explain the recent outflows.

對這一趨勢的另一個解釋是，機構參與者正在積累XRP，以期在交易所交易基金（ETF）周圍有監管的清晰度。彭博社分析師最近建議首先批准Litecoin ETF，這提高了人們對其他AltCoins（例如XRP）的期望。機構投資者經常在主要監管發展之前獲得資產，這可以解釋最近的流出。

At current prices, the 490 million XRP removed from Binance is valued at approximately $1.3 billion. This supply reduction could act as a buffer against further downward price action, potentially stabilizing XRP at $2.60 while other cryptocurrencies experience more extreme losses.

以目前的價格，從Binance中取出的4.9億XRP的價值約為13億美元。減少供應可以作為防止進一步下跌的價格行動的緩衝，可能使XRP穩定在2.60美元，而其他加密貨幣則經歷了更多的極端損失。

Despite XRP’s recent decline, the asset appears to be holding up better than some of its peers. Whale accumulation, declining exchange reserves, and the ETF narrative could provide strong tailwinds for XRP’s price action once broader market conditions stabilize.

儘管XRP最近下降了，但資產似乎比某些同行更好。一旦更廣泛的市場狀況穩定，鯨魚的積累，交換儲量的下降以及ETF敘述可以為XRP的價格行動提供強烈的尾風。

The Elliott Wave structure on the daily chart suggests that XRP recently completed its fifth wave up, followed by a sharp corrective move—a typical market cycle behavior. The Fibonacci retracement levels highlight a key support zone around $2.5990, coinciding with the 0.618 retracement level, which has historically acted as a strong reversal point for bullish recoveries.

每日圖表上的Elliott波結構表明，XRP最近完成了其第五波，隨後是敏銳的糾正措施，這是典型的市場週期行為。斐波那契回撤水平突出了一個鍵支持區，約為2.5990美元，與0.618的回撤水平相吻合，這在歷史上一直是看漲恢復的強烈逆轉。

If XRP manages to hold this level, buyers could regain confidence, potentially driving a move toward the 0.382 ($2.8439) or even $3.0562 resistance. However, the MACD indicator presents a more cautious outlook, with the signal line crossing below the MACD line, confirming weakening bullish momentum.

如果XRP設法保持這一水平，則買家可以恢復信心，有可能朝著0.382（$ 2.8439）甚至3.0562美元的電阻推動。但是，MACD指示器提出了更謹慎的前景，信號線在MACD線以下越過，證實了看漲的動力。

If selling pressure persists and XRP loses the $2.60 support, a deeper retracement toward $2.50 remains likely. Nevertheless, if buyers absorb the current supply and the MACD histogram begins to show diminishing red bars, it could confirm bottoming out, positioning XRP for a relief rally.

如果銷售壓力持續存在，XRP損失了2.60美元的支持，則可能會更深入地回扣2.50美元。然而，如果買家吸收當前的供應，並且MACD直方圖開始顯示出縮小的紅色條，則可以確認觸底，從而將XRP定位為緩解集會。