XRP价格稳定在2.60美元以上，因为特朗普关税战争触发了冒险情绪

在过去的三天中，Ripple（XRP）一直处于下降趋势，其中有多名看跌催化剂，包括在美国和加拿大之间加剧贸易紧张局势。

Ripple (XRP) price fell as low as $2.60 on Sunday, February 2, down 17% in 3 consecutive losing days, as escalating trade tensions between the US and Canada sparked a risk-off sentiment in the market, impacting XRP price. However, on-chain data suggests whale accumulation and a long-term approach from retail traders could provide support for XRP price.

Ripple（XRP）价格在2月2日星期日下跌至2.60美元，在连续3次失败的日期内下跌了17％，因为美国和加拿大之间的贸易紧张局势不断升级，这引起了市场上的风险，影响了XRP的价格。但是，链上的数据表明鲸鱼的积累，零售交易者的长期方法可以为XRP价格提供支持。

As the US-Canada trade war escalates, with former President Donald Trump announcing new tariffs and Canada preparing for retaliatory measures, fears of a prolonged economic standoff gripped markets on Sunday. The announcement of these tariffs triggered a sell-off in key US Stock indices, and the crypto market followed suit, with Bitcoin (BTC) dropping to $96,000.

随着美国加拿大贸易战争的升级，前总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）宣布新的关税和加拿大为报复措施做准备，担心周日的经济僵局长期存在。这些关税的宣布引发了美国关键股票指数的抛售，加密货币市场也随之而来，比特币（BTC）下跌至96,000美元。

Amid the market turmoil, gold gained traction as investors shifted toward safe-haven assets, reflecting the classic risk-off sentiment observed during times of geopolitical instability. However, despite the losses, Ripple price action showed relative resilience compared to other mega-cap altcoins.

在市场动荡中，随着投资者转向避风港资产，黄金获得了吸引力，这反映了在地缘政治不稳定时期观察到的经典风险情绪。然而，尽管损失损失，但与其他大型售出的高架币相比，波纹价格行动显示出相对的弹性。

While XRP posted a 10% daily drop, some of last week’s top gainers, like SUI and Polkadot, experienced steeper declines, exceeding 15% in the same period. This performance suggests that XRP might be attracting strategic buyers looking to enter the market at a discount amid the uncertainty.

尽管XRP每天下降10％，但上周的最高利益（如Sui和Polkadot）的下降幅度较高，同期超过15％。这种表现表明，XRP可能会吸引希望以不确定性折扣进入市场的战略买家。

A key metric to assess investor sentiment is the total XRP reserves on Binance. CryptoQuant’s data reveals that XRP deposits on Binance have dropped to a 40-day low, decreasing from 3.04 billion XRP on January 16 to 2.55 billion XRP as of February 2. This implies that 490 million XRP coins have exited Binance in just over two weeks.

评估投资者情绪的关键指标是XRP的总储备。加密的数据表明，XRP沉积在2月2日降至1月16日的30.4亿XRP降低到25.5亿XRP截至2月2日。这意味着4.9亿个XRP Coins在短短两周内就退出了二线。

This decline in exchange reserves may indicate that long-term investors and whales are accumulating XRP and moving their holdings into cold storage. Binance handles over 40% of the global retail crypto market, making this metric particularly relevant in gauging investor sentiment.

交换储备中的这种下降可能表明，长期投资者和鲸鱼正在积累XRP并将其持股转移到冷藏中。 Binance处理全球零售加密市场的40％以上，这使得该指标尤其与衡量投资者的情绪有关。

Another interpretation of this trend is that institutional players are accumulating XRP in anticipation of regulatory clarity surrounding exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Bloomberg analysts recently suggested that a Litecoin ETF may be approved first, raising expectations that other altcoins, such as XRP, could follow. Institutional investors often acquire assets ahead of major regulatory developments, which could explain the recent outflows.

对这一趋势的另一个解释是，机构参与者正在积累XRP，以期在交易所交易基金（ETF）周围有监管的清晰度。彭博社分析师最近建议首先批准Litecoin ETF，这提高了人们对其他AltCoins（例如XRP）的期望。机构投资者经常在主要监管发展之前获得资产，这可以解释最近的流出。

At current prices, the 490 million XRP removed from Binance is valued at approximately $1.3 billion. This supply reduction could act as a buffer against further downward price action, potentially stabilizing XRP at $2.60 while other cryptocurrencies experience more extreme losses.

以目前的价格，从Binance中取出的4.9亿XRP的价值约为13亿美元。减少供应可以作为防止进一步下跌的价格行动的缓冲，可能使XRP稳定在2.60美元，而其他加密货币则经历了更多的极端损失。

Despite XRP’s recent decline, the asset appears to be holding up better than some of its peers. Whale accumulation, declining exchange reserves, and the ETF narrative could provide strong tailwinds for XRP’s price action once broader market conditions stabilize.

尽管XRP最近下降了，但资产似乎比某些同行更好。一旦更广泛的市场状况稳定，鲸鱼的积累，交换储量的下降以及ETF叙述可以为XRP的价格行动提供强烈的尾风。

The Elliott Wave structure on the daily chart suggests that XRP recently completed its fifth wave up, followed by a sharp corrective move—a typical market cycle behavior. The Fibonacci retracement levels highlight a key support zone around $2.5990, coinciding with the 0.618 retracement level, which has historically acted as a strong reversal point for bullish recoveries.

每日图表上的Elliott波结构表明，XRP最近完成了其第五波，随后是敏锐的纠正措施，这是典型的市场周期行为。斐波那契回撤水平突出了一个键支持区，约为2.5990美元，与0.618的回撤水平相吻合，这在历史上一直是看涨恢复的强烈逆转。

If XRP manages to hold this level, buyers could regain confidence, potentially driving a move toward the 0.382 ($2.8439) or even $3.0562 resistance. However, the MACD indicator presents a more cautious outlook, with the signal line crossing below the MACD line, confirming weakening bullish momentum.

如果XRP设法保持这一水平，则买家可以恢复信心，有可能朝着0.382（$ 2.8439）甚至3.0562美元的电阻推动。但是，MACD指示器提出了更谨慎的前景，信号线在MACD线以下越过，证实了看涨的动力。

If selling pressure persists and XRP loses the $2.60 support, a deeper retracement toward $2.50 remains likely. Nevertheless, if buyers absorb the current supply and the MACD histogram begins to show diminishing red bars, it could confirm bottoming out, positioning XRP for a relief rally.

如果销售压力持续存在，XRP损失了2.60美元的支持，则可能会更深入地回扣2.50美元。然而，如果买家吸收当前的供应，并且MACD直方图开始显示出缩小的红色条，则可以确认触底，从而将XRP定位为缓解集会。