儘管SEC案件和生態系統增長結束了，XRP價格低迷

Ripple在4月1日的交易價格為2.2美元，比2025年的最高水平下降了35％。 XRP硬幣很快就會崩潰，即使Ripple USD（RLUSD）量鎖定了總價值鎖定（TVL）。

The first quarter saw a downturn in XRP price despite some notable Ripple news, including the conclusion of the SEC case and its ecosystem growth.

儘管有一些著名的漣漪新聞，包括SEC案件的結論及其生態系統的增長，但第一季度的XRP價格下降了。

At the beginning of April, Ripple was trading at $2.2, down by 35% from its highest level in 2025. Some technical indicators suggest that there is a risk of the XRP coin crashing soon, even as the Ripple USD (RLUSD) volume to total value locked (TVL) jumped.

4月初，Ripple的交易價格為2.2美元，比2025年的最高水平下降了35％。一些技術指標表明，即使隨著Ripple USD（RLUSD）的總價值（TVL）的總價值（TVL），XRP硬幣很快就會崩潰。

One of Ripple’s strategies to grow its ecosystem has been the launch of RLUSD, a regulated stablecoin. The goal is to provide an alternative to Tether (USDT) and USD Coin (USDC).

Ripple發展其生態系統的一種策略之一是RLUSD是受監管的Stablecoin。目的是提供繫繩（USDT）和美元硬幣（USDC）的替代方案。

Both these tokens have faced scrutiny from U.S. authorities, ultimately leading to the closure of the SEC case against Ripple in April.

這兩個令牌都面臨著美國當局的審查，最終導致SEC案件在4月對Ripple的案件結束。

Recent data shows that the RLUSD stablecoin is still a small player in the stablecoin industry. It has a market cap of over $243 million, a tiny amount in an industry valued at over $237 billion.

最近的數據表明，RLUSD Stablecoin仍然是Stablecoin行業的小玩家。它的市值超過2.43億美元，一個行業的幅度很小，價值超過2370億美元。

However, one closely watched metric shows that RLUSD is in a good place. It has a volume-to-total value locked (TVL) of 37%. This figure is much higher than that of other stablecoins. For example, USDC has a ratio of 14.26%, while Tether is slightly behind at 34.5%.

但是，一個密切觀看的度量表演表明RLUSD處於一個不錯的位置。它的體積到總數鎖定（TVL）為37％。這個數字遠高於其他穩定劑。例如，USDC的比率為14.26％，而係繩的比率為34.5％。

A higher ratio means that the specific stablecoin’s token is being used by people to handle daily transactions and a higher liquidity is provided to facilitate trading. A stablecoin with a low ratio means that it is not being used.

更高的比例意味著人們正在使用特定的穩定令牌來處理每日交易，並提供更高的流動性來促進交易。比例較低的穩定幣意味著它沒有被使用。

In the case of USDC, the high liquidity comes from exchanges like Binance, Huobi, and OKX. Most of the trading volume is being done on these platforms.

就USDC而言，高流動性來自Binance，Huobi和Okx等交流。大部分交易量都在這些平台上完成。

In the case of RLUSD, the biggest liquidity provider is Sologenic, followed by Crypto Trading Fund and Coreum. Some smaller contributors include XRP Army and several other tokens.

就RLUSD而言，最大的流動性提供商是Sologenic，其次是加密貨幣貿易基金和Coreum。一些較小的貢獻者包括XRP軍隊和其他幾個令牌。

After a strong start to 2024, the XRP price has also lagged despite other bullish catalysts. Some companies have applied for a spot XRP ETF, while the SEC has ended its case.

在2024年開始強勁的開始之後，儘管其他看漲催化劑，XRP價格也落後。一些公司申請了SPOT XRP ETF，而SEC結束了案件。

Moreover, in the past few months, Ripple has been working to become the best alternative to SWIFT, a network that handles billions of dollars each day.

此外，在過去的幾個月中，Ripple一直在努力成為Swift的最佳選擇，Swift是一個每天處理數十億美元的網絡。

While Ripple has some solid fundamentals, there is a risk that it will have a strong downtrend in the coming weeks.

儘管Ripple具有紮實的基本原理，但有風險在未來幾週內將其下降趨勢強勁。

There is a risk that the XRP price is about to form a death cross pattern as the spread between the 50-day and 200-day Weighted Moving Averages (WMA) narrows. A death cross is a highly risky pattern in technical analysis.

隨著50天和200天加權移動平均（WMA）狹窄之間的傳播，XRP價格即將形成死亡交叉模式。在技​​術分析中，死亡十字架是一種高度風險的模式。

It occurs when the shorter-term MA crosses below the longer-term one. Usually, the 50-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages are used to form this cross.

當較短的MA橫穿長期的MA時，就會發生這種情況。通常，使用50天和200天的簡單移動平均值來形成此十字架。

In the case of XRP, the 50-day WMA is converging with the 200-day one, and the former could soon cross below the latter. If this happens, it will form a death cross, which could escalate the bearish trend.

就XRP而言，為期50天的WMA與200天的WMA匯聚在一起，前者很快就會越過後者。如果發生這種情況，它將形成一個死亡十字架，這可能會升級看跌趨勢。

The other risk is that the Ripple price has formed a head and shoulders pattern, whose neckline is at around $2. This price coincides with the 50% Fibonacci Retracement, which is drawn by connecting the lowest point in 2024 and highest level this year.

另一個風險是波紋價格已經形成了頭和肩膀的圖案，其領口約為2美元。這個價格與50％的斐波那契迴紋相吻合，這是通過連接2024年最低點和今年最高水平來提取的。

Therefore, a drop below this neckline will be a victory for bears, who will trigger panic selling. More downside will push the token downwards, potentially to the $1.5, the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement level.

因此，這條領口下方的下降將是熊隊的勝利，熊會引發恐慌銷售。更多的缺點將使令牌向下推動，可能會降至1.5美元，即61.8％的斐波那契反回試。

The bearish Ripple price forecast will be canceled if the coin surges above right shoulder point at $3. Such a move will likely trigger a jump to the YTD high of $3.4, followed by the psychological point at $5.

如果右肩上方的硬幣飆升為3美元，則看跌波紋價格預測將被取消。這樣的舉動可能會觸發YTD高點3.4美元，其次是5美元的心理觀點。