XRP ETF躁狂症達到87％的置信度：Polymarket

2024年1月，美國證券交易委員會（SEC）清理了多個現貨比特幣（BTC）交易所交易資金（ETF）的道路，其次是7月的以太坊（ETH）ETFS。

A new Polymarket wager is tracking a potential Stellar (XLM) exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval in 2025, with the crypto economic intelligence platform plotting an 87% likelihood of greenlighting.

新的Polymarket賭注正在追踪2025年的潛在恆星（XLM）交換基金（ETF）批准，加密經濟情報平台繪製了87％的綠光可能性。

This estimate, which has amassed $54,666 in trading volume to date, reflects an incrementally lower confidence level compared to the previous day’s reading of 93%. Still, the prediction is nearing the highest probability since the bet’s inception.

迄今為止，該估算值已積累了54,666美元的交易量，反映了與前一天閱讀93％相比的置信水平較低。儘管如此，預測仍是自BET成立以來的最高概率。

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) cleared the way for multiple spot bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in January 2024, followed by ethereum (ETH) ETFs in July. These approvals marked pivotal moments for digital asset accessibility, aligning with broader shifts in regulatory scrutiny.

美國證券交易委員會（SEC）在2024年1月為多個現貨比特幣（BTC）交易所貿易資金（ETF）清理了道路，其次是7月的以太坊（ETH）ETF。這些批准標誌著數字資產可訪問性的關鍵時刻，與監管審查的更大變化保持一致。

Since Donald Trump assumed the 47th presidency, a wave of alternative crypto asset ETF registrations has flooded the SEC’s pipeline, encompassing XRP, LTC, HBAR, SOL, ADA, MOVE, APT, DOT, and SUI.

自唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）擔任第47任總統以來，一波替代加密資產ETF註冊淹沒了SEC的管道，包括XRP，LTC，HBAR，HBAR，SOL，SOL，SOL，ADA，ADA，MOVE，MOVE，APT，APT，DOT和SUI。

The Polymarket wager on a XRP ETF now reflects an 87% probability of approval by 2025, as of March 23. This optimism surged after it was revealed that the SEC was dismissing its lawsuit against Ripple Labs, a decision that sharply elevated market expectations.

XRP ETF上的Polymarket賭注現在反映了2025年3月23日的87％的批准概率。這種樂觀態度激增，據透露，SEC駁回了針對Ripple Labs的訴訟，這一決定急劇提高了市場的預期。

Separately, a Polymarket bet tracking a potential cardano (ADA) ETF approval in 2025 shows a 61% likelihood as of March 23. Grayscale submitted an application with the SEC for a spot ADA ETF.

另外，一個在2025年追踪潛在的Cardano（ADA）ETF批准的多頭市場顯示，截至3月23日，可能是61％的可能性。灰度與SEC提交了SEC申請，以供Spot ADA ETF。

Litecoin (LTC) is also on the platform, with a $33,577-traded bet showing a 68% probability of an LTC ETF approval as of March 23. Firms like Coinshares, Canary Capital, and Grayscale are competing to secure regulatory clearance for an LTC product.

Litecoin（LTC）也在該平台上，截至3月23日，有33,577美元的買賣賭注顯示了LTC ETF批准的68％可能性。諸如Coinshares，Canary Capital和Grayscale之類的公司正在競爭LTC產品的監管清除。

Meanwhile, a solana (SOL) ETF proposal, backed by a $104,793-volume Polymarket wager, holds an 87% approval probability according to bettors. A roster of financial firms, including Vaneck, Grayscale, 21shares, Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, and Canary, are seeking to debut a SOL ETF.

同時，據BETTORS稱，索拉納（SOL）ETF提案以104,793售價Polymarket賭注支持，持有87％的批准概率。包括Vaneck，Grayscale，21shares，Bitwise，Franklin Templeton和Canary在內的金融公司的名冊正在尋求首次亮相SOL ETF。

Notably, the prediction marketplace hosts no active bets for DOT, HBAR, MOVE, APT, or SUI ETFs. The growing interest in crypto ETFs highlights a pivotal shift toward mainstream adoption, driven by regulatory clarity and institutional backing.

值得注意的是，預測市場對DOT，HBAR，MOVE，APT或SUI ETF沒有主動賭注。對加密ETF的興趣日益增長，突顯了在監管清晰度和製度支持的推動下，朝主流採用的關鍵轉變。