XRP ETF躁狂症达到87％的置信度：Polymarket

2024年1月，美国证券交易委员会（SEC）清理了多个现货比特币（BTC）交易所交易资金（ETF）的道路，其次是7月的以太坊（ETH）ETFS。

A new Polymarket wager is tracking a potential Stellar (XLM) exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval in 2025, with the crypto economic intelligence platform plotting an 87% likelihood of greenlighting.

新的Polymarket赌注正在追踪2025年的潜在恒星（XLM）交换基金（ETF）批准，加密经济情报平台绘制了87％的绿光可能性。

This estimate, which has amassed $54,666 in trading volume to date, reflects an incrementally lower confidence level compared to the previous day’s reading of 93%. Still, the prediction is nearing the highest probability since the bet’s inception.

迄今为止，该估算值已积累了54,666美元的交易量，反映了与前一天阅读93％相比的置信水平较低。尽管如此，预测仍是自BET成立以来的最高概率。

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) cleared the way for multiple spot bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in January 2024, followed by ethereum (ETH) ETFs in July. These approvals marked pivotal moments for digital asset accessibility, aligning with broader shifts in regulatory scrutiny.

美国证券交易委员会（SEC）在2024年1月为多个现货比特币（BTC）交易所贸易资金（ETF）清理了道路，其次是7月的以太坊（ETH）ETF。这些批准标志着数字资产可访问性的关键时刻，与监管审查的更大变化保持一致。

Since Donald Trump assumed the 47th presidency, a wave of alternative crypto asset ETF registrations has flooded the SEC’s pipeline, encompassing XRP, LTC, HBAR, SOL, ADA, MOVE, APT, DOT, and SUI.

自唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）担任第47任总统以来，一波替代加密资产ETF注册淹没了SEC的管道，包括XRP，LTC，HBAR，HBAR，SOL，SOL，SOL，ADA，ADA，MOVE，MOVE，APT，APT，DOT和SUI。

The Polymarket wager on a XRP ETF now reflects an 87% probability of approval by 2025, as of March 23. This optimism surged after it was revealed that the SEC was dismissing its lawsuit against Ripple Labs, a decision that sharply elevated market expectations.

XRP ETF上的Polymarket赌注现在反映了2025年3月23日的87％的批准概率。这种乐观态度激增，据透露，SEC驳回了针对Ripple Labs的诉讼，这一决定急剧提高了市场的预期。

Separately, a Polymarket bet tracking a potential cardano (ADA) ETF approval in 2025 shows a 61% likelihood as of March 23. Grayscale submitted an application with the SEC for a spot ADA ETF.

另外，一个在2025年追踪潜在的Cardano（ADA）ETF批准的多头市场显示，截至3月23日，可能是61％的可能性。灰度与SEC提交了SEC申请，以供Spot ADA ETF。

Litecoin (LTC) is also on the platform, with a $33,577-traded bet showing a 68% probability of an LTC ETF approval as of March 23. Firms like Coinshares, Canary Capital, and Grayscale are competing to secure regulatory clearance for an LTC product.

Litecoin（LTC）也在该平台上，截至3月23日，有33,577美元的买卖赌注显示了LTC ETF批准的68％可能性。诸如Coinshares，Canary Capital和Grayscale之类的公司正在竞争LTC产品的监管清除。

Meanwhile, a solana (SOL) ETF proposal, backed by a $104,793-volume Polymarket wager, holds an 87% approval probability according to bettors. A roster of financial firms, including Vaneck, Grayscale, 21shares, Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, and Canary, are seeking to debut a SOL ETF.

同时，据BETTORS称，索拉纳（SOL）ETF提案以104,793售价Polymarket赌注支持，持有87％的批准概率。包括Vaneck，Grayscale，21shares，Bitwise，Franklin Templeton和Canary在内的金融公司的名册正在寻求首次亮相SOL ETF。

Notably, the prediction marketplace hosts no active bets for DOT, HBAR, MOVE, APT, or SUI ETFs. The growing interest in crypto ETFs highlights a pivotal shift toward mainstream adoption, driven by regulatory clarity and institutional backing.

值得注意的是，预测市场对DOT，HBAR，MOVE，APT或SUI ETF没有主动赌注。对加密ETF的兴趣日益增长，突显了在监管清晰度和制度支持的推动下，朝主流采用的关键转变。