隨著加密貨幣社群感受到監管風向的轉變，XRP ETF 批准幾率飆升至 70%

隨著 XRP 交易所交易基金 (ETF) 在 2025 年獲得批准的前景取得巨大飛躍，加密貨幣社群充滿了樂觀情緒。

The cryptocurrency community is abuzz with optimism as the prospects for an XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval in 2025 take a dramatic leap forward.

隨著 XRP 交易所交易基金 (ETF) 在 2025 年獲得批准的前景取得巨大飛躍，加密貨幣社群充滿了樂觀情緒。

According to Polymarket, a decentralized prediction platform, the odds of XRP ETF approval have risen to 70%, up by an impressive 20% in the past 24 hours. This surge has ignited fresh excitement, signaling a shift in sentiment among investors and industry analysts.

根據去中心化預測平台 Polymarket 的數據，XRP ETF 獲得批准的幾率已升至 70%，在過去 24 小時內上漲了 20%，令人印象深刻。這種飆升引發了新的興奮，標誌著投資者和產業分析師情緒的轉變。

Rising Confidence in XRP ETF Approval

對 XRP ETF 核准的信心增強

Recent data underscores a marked shift in market sentiment regarding XRP ETFs. A poll conducted in December estimated a 49% chance of XRP ETF approval by July 31, 2025. The latest surge to 70% reflects growing optimism fueled by regulatory changes and evolving crypto market dynamics.

最近的數據凸顯了市場對 XRP ETF 的情緒發生了顯著轉變。 12 月進行的一項民意調查估計，到2025 年7 月31 日，XRP ETF 獲得批准的可能性為49%。 最新的數字飆升至70%，反映出監管變化和不斷變化的加密貨幣市場動態推動了人們日益增長的樂觀情緒。

Many market participants now predict that the likelihood of approval could climb even higher, potentially reaching 100% by the end of Q1 202мперcent This bullish outlook is driven by increased confidence in the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) under its new leadership.

許多市場參與者現在預測，批准的可能性可能會更高，到202 年第一季末可能會達到100% 這一樂觀前景是由於人們對美國證券交易委員會(SEC) 在新領導層的領導下信心增強而推動的。

Paul Atkins and a More Crypto-Friendly SEC

保羅·阿特金斯 (Paul Atkins) 和對加密貨幣更友善的 SEC

The appointment of Paul Atkins as SEC chairman has injected fresh hope into the crypto sector. Known for his more progressive views on blockchain and digital assets, Atkins represents a stark departure from the cautious stance of his predecessor, Gary Gensler.

保羅·阿特金斯 (Paul Atkins) 被任命為 SEC 主席，為加密貨幣行業注入了新的希望。阿特金斯以其對區塊鏈和數位資產更進步的觀點而聞名，這與他的前任加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler)的謹慎立場截然不同。

Under Atkins’ leadership, the SEC is currently reviewing XRP ETF applications from leading asset managers like 21Shares, Bitwise, Canary Capital, and WisdomTree. The perception of a more crypto-friendly regulatory environment is seen as a significant boost for XRP’s chances of ETF approval.

在阿特金斯的領導下，美國證券交易委員會目前正在審查 21Shares、Bitwise、Canary Capital 和 WisdomTree 等領先資產管理公司的 XRP ETF 申請。人們認為，對加密貨幣更友善的監管環境將大大提高 XRP 獲得 ETF 批准的機會。

Altcoin ETFs in the Spotlight

山寨幣 ETF 備受關注

XRP isn’t the only altcoin drawing attention in the ETF approval race. Polymarket data shows a surge in optimism for Solana ETFs, with approval odds now at 82%, a remarkable 32% increase in a single day. Solana’s growing popularity and robust ecosystem have positioned it as a frontrunner alongside XRP.

XRP 並不是唯一在 ETF 審批競賽中引起關注的山寨幣。 Polymarket 數據顯示，人們對 Solana ETF 的樂觀情緒激增，目前批准幾率為 82%，單日增幅高達 32%。 Solana 日益受歡迎且強大的生態系統使其成為與 XRP 並駕齊驅的領導者。

In contrast, Dogecoin and Litecoin face more challenging odds. Their approval probabilities stand at 23% and 42%, respectively, reflecting market skepticism about their short-term prospects for regulatory greenlights.

相比之下，狗狗幣和萊特幣面臨著更具挑戰性的困難。他們的批准機率分別為 23% 和 42%，反映出市場對其監管批准的短期前景持懷疑態度。

Expert Insight on ETF Approval Timelines

專家對 ETF 批准時間表的見解

Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas has weighed in on the growing excitement surrounding altcoin ETFs. While surprised by the increasing bets on XRP and Solana, Balchunas noted the SEC’s changing dynamics under Atkins could expedite the approval process.

彭博 ETF 分析師 Eric Balchunas 對圍繞山寨幣 ETF 日益增長的興奮發表了看法。儘管對 XRP 和 Solana 的押注不斷增加感到驚訝，但 Balchunas 指出，阿特金斯領導下的 SEC 動態變化可能會加快審批流程。

Historically, ETF approvals take approximately 240 days from filing. However, with the SEC’s newfound openness to crypto products, some experts believe the timeline for XRP and other altcoin ETFs could be significantly shortened.

從歷史上看，ETF 從提交申請起大約需要 240 天才能獲得批准。然而，隨著 SEC 對加密產品的新開放，一些專家認為 XRP 和其他山寨幣 ETF 的時間表可能會大大縮短。

The Road Ahead for XRP ETFs

XRP ETF 的未來之路

With market sentiment shifting and regulatory clarity improving, the prospects for XRP ETF approval in 2025 are brighter than ever. The surge in optimism highlights the growing belief that a new era of crypto ETFs could be on the horizon. As the SEC continues its reviews, investors and analysts are eagerly awaiting the next steps in this pivotal chapter for XRP and the broader cryptocurrency market.

隨著市場情緒的轉變和監管透明度的提高，XRP ETF 在 2025 年獲得批准的前景比以往任何時候都更加光明。樂觀情緒的高漲凸顯出人們越來越相信加密 ETF 的新時代可能即將到來。隨著 SEC 繼續審查，投資者和分析師正熱切等待 XRP 和更廣泛的加密貨幣市場這一關鍵章節的下一步。