随着加密货币社区感受到监管风向的转变，XRP ETF 批准几率飙升至 70%

随着 XRP 交易所交易基金 (ETF) 在 2025 年获得批准的前景取得巨大飞跃，加密货币社区充满了乐观情绪。

The cryptocurrency community is abuzz with optimism as the prospects for an XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval in 2025 take a dramatic leap forward.

随着 XRP 交易所交易基金 (ETF) 在 2025 年获得批准的前景取得巨大飞跃，加密货币社区充满了乐观情绪。

According to Polymarket, a decentralized prediction platform, the odds of XRP ETF approval have risen to 70%, up by an impressive 20% in the past 24 hours. This surge has ignited fresh excitement, signaling a shift in sentiment among investors and industry analysts.

根据去中心化预测平台 Polymarket 的数据，XRP ETF 获得批准的几率已升至 70%，在过去 24 小时内上涨了 20%，令人印象深刻。这种飙升引发了新的兴奋，标志着投资者和行业分析师情绪的转变。

Rising Confidence in XRP ETF Approval

对 XRP ETF 批准的信心增强

Recent data underscores a marked shift in market sentiment regarding XRP ETFs. A poll conducted in December estimated a 49% chance of XRP ETF approval by July 31, 2025. The latest surge to 70% reflects growing optimism fueled by regulatory changes and evolving crypto market dynamics.

最近的数据凸显了市场对 XRP ETF 的情绪发生了显着转变。 12 月进行的一项民意调查估计，到 2025 年 7 月 31 日，XRP ETF 获得批准的可能性为 49%。最新的这一数字飙升至 70%，反映出监管变化和不断变化的加密市场动态推动了人们日益增长的乐观情绪。

Many market participants now predict that the likelihood of approval could climb even higher, potentially reaching 100% by the end of Q1 202мперcent This bullish outlook is driven by increased confidence in the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) under its new leadership.

许多市场参与者现在预测，批准的可能性可能会更高，到 202 年第一季度末可能会达到 100% 这一乐观前景是由于人们对美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 在新领导层的领导下信心增强而推动的。

Paul Atkins and a More Crypto-Friendly SEC

保罗·阿特金斯 (Paul Atkins) 和对加密货币更加友好的 SEC

The appointment of Paul Atkins as SEC chairman has injected fresh hope into the crypto sector. Known for his more progressive views on blockchain and digital assets, Atkins represents a stark departure from the cautious stance of his predecessor, Gary Gensler.

保罗·阿特金斯 (Paul Atkins) 被任命为 SEC 主席，为加密货币行业注入了新的希望。阿特金斯以其对区块链和数字资产更进步的观点而闻名，这与他的前任加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler)的谨慎立场截然不同。

Under Atkins’ leadership, the SEC is currently reviewing XRP ETF applications from leading asset managers like 21Shares, Bitwise, Canary Capital, and WisdomTree. The perception of a more crypto-friendly regulatory environment is seen as a significant boost for XRP’s chances of ETF approval.

在阿特金斯的领导下，美国证券交易委员会目前正在审查 21Shares、Bitwise、Canary Capital 和 WisdomTree 等领先资产管理公司的 XRP ETF 申请。人们认为，对加密货币更加友好的监管环境将大大提高 XRP 获得 ETF 批准的机会。

Altcoin ETFs in the Spotlight

山寨币 ETF 备受关注

XRP isn’t the only altcoin drawing attention in the ETF approval race. Polymarket data shows a surge in optimism for Solana ETFs, with approval odds now at 82%, a remarkable 32% increase in a single day. Solana’s growing popularity and robust ecosystem have positioned it as a frontrunner alongside XRP.

XRP 并不是唯一在 ETF 审批竞赛中引起关注的山寨币。 Polymarket 数据显示，人们对 Solana ETF 的乐观情绪激增，目前批准几率为 82%，单日增幅高达 32%。 Solana 日益受欢迎和强大的生态系统使其成为与 XRP 并驾齐驱的领跑者。

In contrast, Dogecoin and Litecoin face more challenging odds. Their approval probabilities stand at 23% and 42%, respectively, reflecting market skepticism about their short-term prospects for regulatory greenlights.

相比之下，狗狗币和莱特币面临着更具挑战性的困难。他们的批准概率分别为 23% 和 42%，反映出市场对其监管批准的短期前景持怀疑态度。

Expert Insight on ETF Approval Timelines

专家对 ETF 批准时间表的见解

Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas has weighed in on the growing excitement surrounding altcoin ETFs. While surprised by the increasing bets on XRP and Solana, Balchunas noted the SEC’s changing dynamics under Atkins could expedite the approval process.

彭博 ETF 分析师埃里克·巴尔丘纳斯 (Eric Balchunas) 对围绕山寨币 ETF 日益增长的兴奋发表了看法。尽管对 XRP 和 Solana 的押注不断增加感到惊讶，但 Balchunas 指出，阿特金斯领导下的 SEC 动态变化可能会加快审批流程。

Historically, ETF approvals take approximately 240 days from filing. However, with the SEC’s newfound openness to crypto products, some experts believe the timeline for XRP and other altcoin ETFs could be significantly shortened.

从历史上看，ETF 从提交申请起大约需要 240 天才能获得批准。然而，随着 SEC 对加密产品的新开放，一些专家认为 XRP 和其他山寨币 ETF 的时间表可能会大大缩短。

The Road Ahead for XRP ETFs

XRP ETF 的未来之路

With market sentiment shifting and regulatory clarity improving, the prospects for XRP ETF approval in 2025 are brighter than ever. The surge in optimism highlights the growing belief that a new era of crypto ETFs could be on the horizon. As the SEC continues its reviews, investors and analysts are eagerly awaiting the next steps in this pivotal chapter for XRP and the broader cryptocurrency market.

随着市场情绪的转变和监管透明度的提高，XRP ETF 在 2025 年获得批准的前景比以往任何时候都更加光明。乐观情绪的高涨凸显出人们越来越相信加密 ETF 的新时代可能即将到来。随着 SEC 继续审查，投资者和分析师正热切等待 XRP 和更广泛的加密货币市场这一关键章节的下一步行动。