歡迎來到狼群！

這是我分享新聞，關於市場，技術分析，教育和隨機沉思的想法。

Today’s Newsletter Is Made Possible By Arch Public!

今天的新聞通訊是由公眾公開的！

The Bitcoin Algorithm Arbitrage Strategy remains extraordinarily powerful. How powerful you might ask:

比特幣算法套利策略仍然非常強大。您可能會問的力量有多強大：

247% annualized returns.

247％的年度回報。

10-20% annual cash flow.

年度現金流量為10-20％。

You’re reading that correctly. FREE! Our Bitcoin Algorithm Arbitrage Strategy will generate cash flow, while also producing exceptional annual returns that are 4.5X buy and hold Bitcoin returns.

您正在正確閱讀。自由的！我們的比特幣算法套利策略將產生現金流，同時還會產生4.5倍購買和持有比特幣收益的卓越年收益。

Most of you reading this believe in Bitcoin, and so do we. Employing a strategy that generates cash flow, protects downside risk, and aggressively buys dips (completely hands free!) is available to you.

你們大多數人都相信比特幣，我們也是如此。採用產生現金流，保護下行風險並積極購買傾角的策略（完全免費！）。

For those of you who prefer, we’ve also created a simple BTC strategy that can be applied to any market and offers a 70-80% win rate with 1:3 risk to reward on average. This strategy, which we’ve been testing for over a year now, has the potential to generate 100% monthly returns with a 5% drawdown at worst.

對於那些喜歡的人，我們還創建了一種簡單的BTC策略，該策略可以應用於任何市場，並提供70-80％的勝利率，平均獎勵1：3風險。我們已經測試了一年多的這種策略，有可能在最壞的情況下以5％的降低產生100％的月收益。

Of course, we’re not promising any guaranteed returns. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and all investing carries inherent risks. However, if you’re looking for a way to multiply your Bitcoin holdings and generate cash flow in the process, then I encourage you to try our free Arch Public account and experience the difference for yourself.

當然，我們沒有任何保證的回報。過去的績效並不能表示未來的結果，所有投資都帶有固有的風險。但是，如果您正在尋找一種將比特幣持有量增加並在此過程中產生現金流量的方法，那麼我鼓勵您嘗試我們的免費拱門公共帳戶並親自體驗自己的區別。

Join Arch Public today and unlock a world of possibilities.

立即加入公眾，解鎖可能性的世界。

Do you have cash? For those of you who are waiting for a specific price to buy the dip in Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, or any other coin, does this thought cross your mind?:

你有現金嗎？對於那些正在等待特定價格購買比特幣，以太坊，索拉納或任何其他硬幣的人，這個想法是否跨越了您的思想？：

“The market is in a decline, I’m expecting further falls, and cash serves as my safety net.”

“市場正在下降，我預計會進一步下降，現金作為我的安全網。”

Or does this thought cross your mind more often?:

還是這個想法更頻繁地跨越您？

“The market is on an upswing, prices are too high and will eventually correct, cash is my safety net.”

“市場正在上升，價格太高，最終將正確，現金是我的安全網。”

Bitcoin is currently priced at $84,500, the same as it was on November 10, 2024, 110 days ago. If you’ve been holding cash since then, you’ve likely experienced the effects of inflation, though it's minimal and probably not something you've truly felt. You’ve also missed out on Bitcoin nearly reaching $110,000, though we’re now back at square one (November prices).

比特幣目前的價格為84,500美元，與1224年110天前10月10日相同。如果您從那以後一直持有現金，那麼您可能會經歷通貨膨脹的影響，儘管這很少，而且可能不是您真正的感覺。您還錯過了比特幣幾乎達到110,000美元的機會，儘管我們現在回到了Square One（11月價格）。

If you’ve been holding cash longer and aren’t exposed to Bitcoin, you’ve missed a significant opportunity. Sure, there’s still a chance Bitcoin could dip to $80,000 or lower, but at some point, staying on the sidelines will no longer be a wise choice—you’ll risk being left behind as the market moves forward. The question is: what will you do now?

如果您持有更長的現金，並且沒有接觸比特幣，那麼您錯過了一個很大的機會。當然，比特幣仍然有可能下跌至80,000美元或更低，但是在某個時候，保持場外將不再是明智的選擇 - 隨著市場向前發展，您可能會被拋棄。問題是：您現在將做什麼？

To answer this question, we probably have to go back to the italicized statements above—take a moment with them and honestly assess if and how they have ever applied to you.

要回答這個問題，我們可能必須回到上面的斜體陳述 - 與他們一起度過一段時刻，並誠實地評估他們是否以及如何應用於您。

“The market is in a decline, I’m expecting further falls, and cash serves as my safety net.”

“市場正在下降，我預計會進一步下降，現金作為我的安全網。”

or

或者

“The market is on an upswing, prices are too high and will eventually correct, cash is my safety net.”

“市場正在上升，價格太高，最終將正確，現金是我的安全網。”

My gut tells me that A LOT of investors subscribe to either of the statements above when it’s most convenient, and confirmation bias reinforces the logic. To clarify, there are times when both of these ways of thinking can save someone a substantial amount of money—right now is one of those instances, particularly in altcoins. However, when it comes to Bitcoin and markets in general, these statements tend to be the exception rather than the rule.

我的直覺告訴我，許多投資者在最方便的情況下贊同上述任何一種陳述，並確認偏見會加強邏輯。為了澄清，有時這兩種思維方式都可以為某人節省大量的錢，現在就是其中之一，尤其是在altcoins中。但是，當涉及比特幣和市場時，這些陳述往往是例外而不是規則。

Most people labeled as ‘investors’ who are addicted to cash struggle to casually take positions; these habits often persist for years.

大多數被標記為“投資者”的人，他們沉迷於現金斗爭，以隨便擔任職務；這些習慣通常會持續多年。

Here are the four reasons cash addicted investors inevitably fail:

這是現金上癮投資者不可避免地失敗的四個原因：

Immense Timing Pressure

巨大的時機壓力

Obsession With Diversification

對多元化的痴迷

Overthinking the Tax Implications

過度思考稅收影響

Overemphasis on Liquidity

對流動性的過分強調

Holding a large cash position creates pressure to make the right timing decisions. As the cash pile grows, the anxiety intensifies, making it harder to commit to investments. This can lead to overthinking potential opportunities, which brings me to my next point.

持有龐大的現金位置會造成做出正確時機決策的壓力。隨著現金堆的增加，焦慮會加劇，使投資更加困難。這可能會導致潛在的機會過度思考，這將我帶到了下一個觀點。

If an investor manages to break through the paralysis, they may fall into an unhealthy obsession with diversification. While diversification can be beneficial, it can reach a point where it wastes time, energy, and capital. This fixation can prevent the investor from making clear, strategic decisions.

如果投資者設法突破了癱瘓，他們可能會陷入對多元化的不健康痴迷。儘管多元化可能是有益的，但它可以達到浪費時間，能源和資本的地步。這種固定可以防止投資者做出明確的戰略決策。

A cash-addicted investor often overanalyzes potential tax liabilities and implications. Focusing too much on timing investments for a more favorable tax year can become counterproductive, ultimately impacting returns. The missed opportunities and potential growth from holding cash usually outweighs the perceived tax benefits.

現金累累的投資者經常過度分析潛在的稅收負債及其影響。過多地關注更有利的納稅年度計時投資可能會適得其反，最終會影響回報。持有現金的錯過的機會和潛在的增長通常超過了感知到的稅收優惠。

Tax implications should be considered year-round, but they shouldn’t drive your decisions or cause inaction. Over-focusing on taxes can lead to more short-term

應將稅收影響視為全年，但不應推動您的決定或造成無所作為。過度關注稅收可能會導致更多短期