Welcome to The Wolf Den!

This is where I share the news, my ideas about the market, technical analysis, education and my random musings.

Today’s Newsletter Is Made Possible By Arch Public!

The Bitcoin Algorithm Arbitrage Strategy remains extraordinarily powerful. How powerful you might ask:

247% annualized returns.

10-20% annual cash flow.

You’re reading that correctly. FREE! Our Bitcoin Algorithm Arbitrage Strategy will generate cash flow, while also producing exceptional annual returns that are 4.5X buy and hold Bitcoin returns.

Most of you reading this believe in Bitcoin, and so do we. Employing a strategy that generates cash flow, protects downside risk, and aggressively buys dips (completely hands free!) is available to you.

For those of you who prefer, we’ve also created a simple BTC strategy that can be applied to any market and offers a 70-80% win rate with 1:3 risk to reward on average. This strategy, which we’ve been testing for over a year now, has the potential to generate 100% monthly returns with a 5% drawdown at worst.

Of course, we’re not promising any guaranteed returns. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and all investing carries inherent risks. However, if you’re looking for a way to multiply your Bitcoin holdings and generate cash flow in the process, then I encourage you to try our free Arch Public account and experience the difference for yourself.

Join Arch Public today and unlock a world of possibilities.

Do you have cash? For those of you who are waiting for a specific price to buy the dip in Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, or any other coin, does this thought cross your mind?:

“The market is in a decline, I’m expecting further falls, and cash serves as my safety net.”

Or does this thought cross your mind more often?:

“The market is on an upswing, prices are too high and will eventually correct, cash is my safety net.”

Bitcoin is currently priced at $84,500, the same as it was on November 10, 2024, 110 days ago. If you’ve been holding cash since then, you’ve likely experienced the effects of inflation, though it's minimal and probably not something you've truly felt. You’ve also missed out on Bitcoin nearly reaching $110,000, though we’re now back at square one (November prices).

If you’ve been holding cash longer and aren’t exposed to Bitcoin, you’ve missed a significant opportunity. Sure, there’s still a chance Bitcoin could dip to $80,000 or lower, but at some point, staying on the sidelines will no longer be a wise choice—you’ll risk being left behind as the market moves forward. The question is: what will you do now?

To answer this question, we probably have to go back to the italicized statements above—take a moment with them and honestly assess if and how they have ever applied to you.

“The market is in a decline, I’m expecting further falls, and cash serves as my safety net.”

or

“The market is on an upswing, prices are too high and will eventually correct, cash is my safety net.”

My gut tells me that A LOT of investors subscribe to either of the statements above when it’s most convenient, and confirmation bias reinforces the logic. To clarify, there are times when both of these ways of thinking can save someone a substantial amount of money—right now is one of those instances, particularly in altcoins. However, when it comes to Bitcoin and markets in general, these statements tend to be the exception rather than the rule.

Most people labeled as ‘investors’ who are addicted to cash struggle to casually take positions; these habits often persist for years.

Here are the four reasons cash addicted investors inevitably fail:

Immense Timing Pressure

Obsession With Diversification

Overthinking the Tax Implications

Overemphasis on Liquidity

Holding a large cash position creates pressure to make the right timing decisions. As the cash pile grows, the anxiety intensifies, making it harder to commit to investments. This can lead to overthinking potential opportunities, which brings me to my next point.

If an investor manages to break through the paralysis, they may fall into an unhealthy obsession with diversification. While diversification can be beneficial, it can reach a point where it wastes time, energy, and capital. This fixation can prevent the investor from making clear, strategic decisions.

A cash-addicted investor often overanalyzes potential tax liabilities and implications. Focusing too much on timing investments for a more favorable tax year can become counterproductive, ultimately impacting returns. The missed opportunities and potential growth from holding cash usually outweighs the perceived tax benefits.

Tax implications should be considered year-round, but they shouldn’t drive your decisions or cause inaction. Over-focusing on taxes can lead to more short-term