欢迎来到狼群！

这是我分享新闻，关于市场，技术分析，教育和随机沉思的想法。

Today’s Newsletter Is Made Possible By Arch Public!

今天的新闻通讯是由公众公开的！

The Bitcoin Algorithm Arbitrage Strategy remains extraordinarily powerful. How powerful you might ask:

比特币算法套利策略仍然非常强大。您可能会问的力量有多强大：

247% annualized returns.

247％的年度回报。

10-20% annual cash flow.

年度现金流量为10-20％。

You’re reading that correctly. FREE! Our Bitcoin Algorithm Arbitrage Strategy will generate cash flow, while also producing exceptional annual returns that are 4.5X buy and hold Bitcoin returns.

您正在正确阅读。自由的！我们的比特币算法套利策略将产生现金流，同时还会产生4.5倍购买和持有比特币收益的卓越年收益。

Most of you reading this believe in Bitcoin, and so do we. Employing a strategy that generates cash flow, protects downside risk, and aggressively buys dips (completely hands free!) is available to you.

你们大多数人都相信比特币，我们也是如此。采用产生现金流，保护下行风险并积极购买倾角的策略（完全免费！）。

For those of you who prefer, we’ve also created a simple BTC strategy that can be applied to any market and offers a 70-80% win rate with 1:3 risk to reward on average. This strategy, which we’ve been testing for over a year now, has the potential to generate 100% monthly returns with a 5% drawdown at worst.

对于那些喜欢的人，我们还创建了一种简单的BTC策略，该策略可以应用于任何市场，并提供70-80％的胜利率，平均奖励1：3风险。我们已经测试了一年多的这种策略，有可能在最坏的情况下以5％的降低产生100％的月收益。

Of course, we’re not promising any guaranteed returns. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and all investing carries inherent risks. However, if you’re looking for a way to multiply your Bitcoin holdings and generate cash flow in the process, then I encourage you to try our free Arch Public account and experience the difference for yourself.

当然，我们没有任何保证的回报。过去的绩效并不能表示未来的结果，所有投资都带有固有的风险。但是，如果您正在寻找一种将比特币持有量增加并在此过程中产生现金流量的方法，那么我鼓励您尝试我们的免费拱门公共帐户并亲自体验自己的区别。

Join Arch Public today and unlock a world of possibilities.

立即加入公众，解锁可能性的世界。

Do you have cash? For those of you who are waiting for a specific price to buy the dip in Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, or any other coin, does this thought cross your mind?:

你有现金吗？对于那些正在等待特定价格购买比特币，以太坊，索拉纳或任何其他硬币的人，这个想法是否跨越了您的思想？：

“The market is in a decline, I’m expecting further falls, and cash serves as my safety net.”

“市场正在下降，我预计会进一步下降，现金作为我的安全网。”

Or does this thought cross your mind more often?:

还是这个想法更频繁地跨越您？

“The market is on an upswing, prices are too high and will eventually correct, cash is my safety net.”

“市场正在上升，价格太高，最终将正确，现金是我的安全网。”

Bitcoin is currently priced at $84,500, the same as it was on November 10, 2024, 110 days ago. If you’ve been holding cash since then, you’ve likely experienced the effects of inflation, though it's minimal and probably not something you've truly felt. You’ve also missed out on Bitcoin nearly reaching $110,000, though we’re now back at square one (November prices).

比特币目前的价格为84,500美元，与1224年110天前10月10日相同。如果您从那以后一直持有现金，那么您可能会经历通货膨胀的影响，尽管这很少，而且可能不是您真正的感觉。您还错过了比特币几乎达到110,000美元的机会，尽管我们现在回到了Square One（11月价格）。

If you’ve been holding cash longer and aren’t exposed to Bitcoin, you’ve missed a significant opportunity. Sure, there’s still a chance Bitcoin could dip to $80,000 or lower, but at some point, staying on the sidelines will no longer be a wise choice—you’ll risk being left behind as the market moves forward. The question is: what will you do now?

如果您持有更长的现金，并且没有接触比特币，那么您错过了一个很大的机会。当然，比特币仍然有可能下跌至80,000美元或更低，但是在某个时候，保持场外将不再是明智的选择 - 随着市场向前发展，您可能会被抛弃。问题是：您现在将做什么？

To answer this question, we probably have to go back to the italicized statements above—take a moment with them and honestly assess if and how they have ever applied to you.

要回答这个问题，我们可能必须回到上面的斜体陈述 - 与他们一起度过一段时刻，并诚实地评估他们是否以及如何应用于您。

“The market is in a decline, I’m expecting further falls, and cash serves as my safety net.”

“市场正在下降，我预计会进一步下降，现金作为我的安全网。”

or

或者

“The market is on an upswing, prices are too high and will eventually correct, cash is my safety net.”

“市场正在上升，价格太高，最终将正确，现金是我的安全网。”

My gut tells me that A LOT of investors subscribe to either of the statements above when it’s most convenient, and confirmation bias reinforces the logic. To clarify, there are times when both of these ways of thinking can save someone a substantial amount of money—right now is one of those instances, particularly in altcoins. However, when it comes to Bitcoin and markets in general, these statements tend to be the exception rather than the rule.

我的直觉告诉我，许多投资者在最方便的情况下赞同上述任何一种陈述，并确认偏见会加强逻辑。为了澄清，有时这两种思维方式都可以为某人节省大量的钱，现在就是其中之一，尤其是在altcoins中。但是，当涉及比特币和市场时，这些陈述往往是例外而不是规则。

Most people labeled as ‘investors’ who are addicted to cash struggle to casually take positions; these habits often persist for years.

大多数被标记为“投资者”的人，他们沉迷于现金斗争，以随便担任职务；这些习惯通常会持续多年。

Here are the four reasons cash addicted investors inevitably fail:

这是现金上瘾投资者不可避免地失败的四个原因：

Immense Timing Pressure

巨大的时机压力

Obsession With Diversification

对多元化的痴迷

Overthinking the Tax Implications

过度思考税收影响

Overemphasis on Liquidity

对流动性的过分强调

Holding a large cash position creates pressure to make the right timing decisions. As the cash pile grows, the anxiety intensifies, making it harder to commit to investments. This can lead to overthinking potential opportunities, which brings me to my next point.

持有庞大的现金位置会造成做出正确时机决策的压力。随着现金堆的增加，焦虑会加剧，使投资更加困难。这可能会导致潜在的机会过度思考，这将我带到了下一个观点。

If an investor manages to break through the paralysis, they may fall into an unhealthy obsession with diversification. While diversification can be beneficial, it can reach a point where it wastes time, energy, and capital. This fixation can prevent the investor from making clear, strategic decisions.

如果投资者设法突破了瘫痪，他们可能会陷入对多元化的不健康痴迷。尽管多元化可能是有益的，但它可以达到浪费时间，能源和资本的地步。这种固定可以防止投资者做出明确的战略决策。

A cash-addicted investor often overanalyzes potential tax liabilities and implications. Focusing too much on timing investments for a more favorable tax year can become counterproductive, ultimately impacting returns. The missed opportunities and potential growth from holding cash usually outweighs the perceived tax benefits.

现金累累的投资者经常过度分析潜在的税收负债及其影响。过多地关注更有利的纳税年度计时投资可能会适得其反，最终会影响回报。持有现金的错过的机会和潜在的增长通常超过了感知到的税收优惠。

Tax implications should be considered year-round, but they shouldn’t drive your decisions or cause inaction. Over-focusing on taxes can lead to more short-term

应将税收影响视为全年，但不应推动您的决定或造成无所作为。过度关注税收可能会导致更多短期