川普的勝利讓加密貨幣飛揚起來

在川普歷史性連任後的幾天裡，比特幣迅速創下了多個歷史新高。截至週五中午，該資產交易價格為 76,336 美元

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Trump's win sent crypto flying.

川普的勝利讓加密貨幣快速發展。

Bitcoin Soars Following Big Trump Win

川普大勝後比特幣飆升

Bitcoin quickly set multiple all-time highs in the days following Trump’s historic reelection. As of mid-day Friday, the asset is trading at $76,336, good for an 11% gain this week. The sudden surge arrested a sluggish pattern for the asset, which had been in a slow decline since March when the euphoria from the launch of the spot bitcoin ETFs initially wore off. The asset is currently in uncharted territory, as it had run up against a wall around $72,000 multiple times in recent years but could not break through.

在川普歷史性連任後的幾天裡，比特幣迅速創下了多個歷史新高。截至週五中午，該資產交易價格為 76,336 美元，本週預計將上漲 11%。突然的飆升阻止了該資產的低迷模式，自 3 月推出現貨比特幣 ETF 帶來的興奮最初消退以來，該資產一直在緩慢下降。該資產目前處於未知領域，近年來多次觸及 72,000 美元左右的高位，但未能突破。

Bitcoin’s surge also drove up the rest of the market. Major cryptos Solana and Ethereum are up 25% and 20%, respectively, on the week, and the entire crypto market cap is up 12.6%. Solana’s jump is particularly noteworthy because of expectations that the Securities and Exchange Commission will now approve spot Solana ETFs to trade alongside similar products for Bitcoin and Ethereum once Trump replaces crypto skeptic Gary Gensler as the regulator’s chairman with a more friendly face to the industry.

比特幣的飆升也帶動了市場的其他部分。主要加密貨幣 Solana 和以太幣本週分別上漲 25% 和 20%，整個加密貨幣市值上漲 12.6%。 Solana 的漲幅尤其值得注意，因為一旦川普以對行業更加友好的態度取代加密貨幣懷疑論者加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler) 擔任監管機構主席，美國證券交易委員會(Securities and Exchange Commission) 將批准現貨Solana ETF 與類似產品一起進行比特幣和以太坊交易。

Polymarket Passes A Big Test

Polymarket 通過了一場大考驗

While polls leading up to the election on November 5 consistently predicted a coin flip, prediction markets such as Polymarket expected a strong Trump victory. In the campaign’s closing weeks, Trump's odds surged as high as 67% as more than $3.68 billion in bets was placed on the election. Questions remain about the accuracy and honesty of these markets–Polymarket was rife with accusations of wash trading and a few large traders causing large movements in the odds–but its prediction metrics were ubiquitous across financial and traditional media as the country eagerly rode the “poller coaster” in the runup to the election. Additionally, now that a federal judge has allowed prediction market operators such as Polymarket competitor Kalshi to target U.S. citizens, expect prediction markets to remain a key part of electoral discourse moving forward.

雖然 11 月 5 日大選前的民調一致預測硬幣會翻轉，但 Polymarket 等預測市場預計川普將大獲全勝。在競選活動的最後幾週，川普的勝算飆升至 67%，對選舉的投注超過 36.8 億美元。關於這些市場的準確性和誠實性的問題仍然存在——Polymarket 充斥著清洗交易的指控，以及一些大型交易商導致賠率大幅波動——但隨著國家熱切地利用“民意調查”，其預測指標在金融和傳統媒體上無處不在。此外，現在聯邦法官已經允許 Polymarket 競爭對手 Kalshi 等預測市場營運商以美國公民為目標，預計預測市場仍將是未來選舉討論的關鍵部分。

With the big presidential election bet now resolved, the biggest political betting pool remaining is who will win the popular vote ($619 million in volume). The pool is now giving Trump a 100% certainty, but through most of election day betters were only giving him a 28% chance of getting more votes than Harris. Other major pools look at who will win the Super Bowl in February ($705 million) and Champions League next May ($352 million).

隨著總統選舉的大賭注現已解決，剩下的最大政治賭注是誰將贏得普選（金額為 6.19 億美元）。現在，川普有 100% 的確定性，但在選舉日的大部分時間裡，更好的人只給了他 28% 的機會比哈里斯獲得更多選票。其他主要彩池著眼於誰將贏得 2 月的超級盃（7.05 億美元）和明年 5 月的冠軍聯賽（3.52 億美元）。

Sources: Forbes Digital Assets, CoinGecko. Prices as of 1 p.m. on November 8, 2024.

資料來源：福布斯數位資產、CoinGecko。價格截至 2024 年 11 月 8 日下午 1 點。

Crypto Lobbyists Take A Bow

加密貨幣遊說者鞠躬

Crypto was a big winner in this week’s election in more ways than one. Aside from bringing a crypto-friend into the White House, crypto firms, investors and luminaries such as Coinbase, Ripple, Andreessen Horowitz, the Winklevoss twins and Kraken founder Jesse Powell, raised more than $200 million in this election cycle for a pro-crypto PAC called Fairshake, of which it spent more than $170 million on down-ballot candidates.

加密貨幣在本週的選舉中從多個方面成為大贏家。除了將一位加密貨幣朋友帶入白宮之外，Coinbase、Ripple、Andreessen Horowitz、Winklevoss 雙胞胎和Kraken 創始人Jesse Powell 等加密貨幣公司、投資者和名人在本次選舉週期中還為加密貨幣籌集了超過2 億美元。

The money went to good use, as it spent more than $40 million to unseat Senator Sherrod Brown (D-OH), who chairs the Senate Banking Committee and is a major impediment to any pro-crypto legislation being passed, with Bernie Moreno. But Fairshake did not just support Republicans. It supported Democratic senate candidates Elisa Slotkin (MI) and Ruben Gallego (AZ). At the time of this writing Slotkin has been named the winner of her race, while Gallego is leading against Kari Lake in Arizona, but the final result has not been called yet.

這筆錢得到了很好的利用，因為它花費了超過4000 萬美元罷免了參議院銀行委員會主席謝羅德·布朗(D-OH) 參議員，他與伯尼·莫雷諾一起是任何支持加密貨幣立法通過的主要障礙。但費爾沙克不僅僅支持共和黨。它支持民主黨參議員候選人埃莉薩·斯洛特金（Elisa Slotkin）（密西根州）和魯本·加萊戈（Ruben Gallego）（亞利桑那州）。截至撰寫本文時，斯洛特金已被評為比賽獲勝者，而加列戈在亞利桑那州的卡里湖比賽中領先，但最終結果尚未公佈。

Regardless, crypto made its voice heard this election cycle. In a post on X on November 6, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong wrote “This next congress will be the most pro-crypto congress ever. “

無論如何，加密貨幣在這個選舉週期中發出了自己的聲音。在 11 月 6 日 X 上的一篇貼文中，Coinbase 執行長 Brian Armstrong 寫道：「下一次大會將是有史以來最支持加密貨幣的大會。 “

Elsewhere

別處

Republicans Look Set To Win House, Clinching Electoral Sweep Of Congress And White House [CoinDesk]

共和黨人預計將贏得眾議院，贏得國會和白宮的選舉 [CoinDesk]

Crypto Super PAC Amasses $78 Million...For 2026 Midterm Elections [Wall Street Journal]

Crypto Super PAC 籌集 7800 萬美元......用於 2026 年中期選舉 [華爾街日報]

Crypto’s $135 Million Campaign Is Undefeated In 48 Races So Far [Bloomberg]

迄今為止，加密貨幣 1.35 億美元的競選活動在 48 場比賽中未嘗敗績 [彭博社]