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美國總統唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)和財政部長斯科特·貝斯特(Scott Bessent)正在“將事情掌握在自己手中;他們正在崩潰的資產價格,試圖迫使杰羅姆·鮑威爾(Jerome Powell)降低利率。
A market commentator has claimed that the Trump administration may be intentionally trying to create uncertainty in the stock markets to corner Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell into lowering interest rates.
一位市場評論員聲稱,特朗普政府可能有意試圖在股市中創造不確定性,以挑戰美聯儲主席杰羅姆·鮑威爾(Jerome Powell)降低利率。
According to Bitcoin commentator Anthony Pompliano, doing so increases the likelihood that the US won't need to refinance around $7 trillion in debt it owes over the next few months.
根據比特幣評論員安東尼·彼得羅諾(Anthony Pompompome)的說法,這樣做的可能性增加了美國在接下來的幾個月中不需要再為7萬億美元的債務再融資。
"President Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent are taking matters into their own hands; they're crashing asset prices in an attempt to force Jerome Powell to cut interest rates," said Pompliano, who is the founder and CEO of Professional Capital Management and host of The Pomp Podcast, in a March 10 X post.
“特朗普總統和財政部長斯科特·貝斯特(Scott Bessent)正在自己手中掌握事務;他們正在崩潰,試圖迫使杰羅姆·鮑威爾(Jerome Powell)降低利率,”專業資本管理的創始人兼首席執行官,龐然大物的首席執行官兼龐然大物播客的首席執行官彼得羅諾說,他在3月10日的10 x帖子中說道。
The President and his team are intentionally crashing the market.
總統和他的團隊故意崩潰了市場。
Is this a master plan or are we watching uncontrolled destruction?!
這是總體計劃還是我們正在觀看不受控制的破壞?
The president has repeatedly called for the Fed to lower interest rates from the current target range of 4.25% to 4.5%, but the central bank has kept rates at the same level since January.
總統一再呼籲美聯儲將利率從目前的目標範圍降低4.25%至4.5%,但中央銀行自一月以來一直將利率保持在同一水平。
Pompliano said that the recent market panic has been driven in part by Trump's tariffs, and has been used to create a more favorable bond market while lowering the 10-year Treasury yield.
Pompliano說,最近的市場恐慌部分是由特朗普的關稅驅動的,並被用來創造一個更有利的債券市場,同時降低了10年的國庫收益率。
He added that the 10-year Treasury yield is already down from nearly 4.8% in January to 4.21% now, which is a sign that Trump's purported strategy is "heading in the right direction."
他補充說,10年的財政收益率已經從一月份的近4.8%下降到現在的4.21%,這表明特朗普聲稱的戰略正在“朝著正確的方向發展”。
If the stock market continues to tank, it will come down to a "who blinks first" contest between Trump and Powell.
如果股票市場繼續下跌,它將歸結為特朗普和鮑威爾之間的“眨眼第一次”競賽。
While Trump hasn't confirmed such a strategy, Pompliano noted that in a recent Fox News interview on March 9, Trump said: "Nobody ever gets rich when the interest rates are high because people can't borrow money."
儘管特朗普尚未確認這樣的策略,但龐普里亞諾指出,在3月9日的福克斯新聞採訪中,特朗普說:“當利率很高時,沒有人會富裕,因為人們不能藉錢。”
Pompliano added that lowering interest rates would also benefit American consumers.
Pompliano補充說,降低利率也將使美國消費者受益。
"Lower interest rates would benefit consumers as they'd be able to borrow money at lower rates to finance their cars, houses, and other major purchases," he said.
他說:“較低的利率將使消費者受益,因為他們能夠以較低的利率借錢來資助他們的汽車,房屋和其他主要購買。”
Common stock funds fell sharply on Friday, with State Street's Standard & Poor's 500 index fund (SPY) dropping 2.66% and Nasdaq-100 falling 3.8%, according to Google Finance.
根據Google Finance,普通股基金在周五大幅下降,根據Google Finance的數據,州街的標準普爾500指數基金(SPY)下跌2.66%,納斯達克股票100下降了3.8%。
Both indexes are down 7.32% and 10.7% over the last month, while Bitcoin is down 27.4% from its $108,786 all-time high and over $1.2 trillion has been wiped from the cryptocurrency market cap since December 17.
這兩個指數在上個月都下降了7.32%和10.7%,而比特幣的歷史最高水平的108,786美元下降了27.4%,自12月17日以來的加密貨幣市值擦除了超過1.2萬億美元。
According to CME FedWatch, there is a 96% probability that the target range will remain at 4.25% to 4.50% following the next meeting of the Federal Reserve on March 19.
根據CME FedWatch的數據,在3月19日美聯儲下次會議之後,目標範圍將保持4.25%至4.50%的概率。
However, there are nearly 50-50 odds for the target range to be lowered in the Federal Reserve's following meeting on May 7.
但是,在5月7日的會議之後的聯邦儲備會議上,目標範圍將降低目標範圍近50-50。
The Federal Reserve typically avoids lowering interest rates when inflation is high, as one of its primary objectives is to maintain price stability.
美聯儲通常避免在通貨膨脹率高時降低利率,因為其主要目標之一是保持價格穩定。
However, a Trump-induced recession, or "Trumpcession," as some have termed it, could pressure America's top bank to start cutting rates again.
但是,正如某些人所說的那樣,特朗普引起的經濟衰退或“王牌”可能會迫使美國頂級銀行再次降低利率。
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