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美国总统唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)和财政部长斯科特·贝斯特(Scott Bessent)正在“将事情掌握在自己手中;他们正在崩溃的资产价格,试图迫使杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)降低利率。
A market commentator has claimed that the Trump administration may be intentionally trying to create uncertainty in the stock markets to corner Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell into lowering interest rates.
一位市场评论员声称,特朗普政府可能有意试图在股市中创造不确定性,以挑战美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)降低利率。
According to Bitcoin commentator Anthony Pompliano, doing so increases the likelihood that the US won't need to refinance around $7 trillion in debt it owes over the next few months.
根据比特币评论员安东尼·彼得罗诺(Anthony Pompompome)的说法,这样做的可能性增加了美国在接下来的几个月中不需要再为7万亿美元的债务再融资。
"President Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent are taking matters into their own hands; they're crashing asset prices in an attempt to force Jerome Powell to cut interest rates," said Pompliano, who is the founder and CEO of Professional Capital Management and host of The Pomp Podcast, in a March 10 X post.
“特朗普总统和财政部长斯科特·贝斯特(Scott Bessent)正在自己手中掌握事务;他们正在崩溃,试图迫使杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)降低利率,”专业资本管理的创始人兼首席执行官,庞然大物的首席执行官兼庞然大物播客的首席执行官彼得罗诺说,他在3月10日的10 x帖子中说道。
The President and his team are intentionally crashing the market.
总统和他的团队故意崩溃了市场。
Is this a master plan or are we watching uncontrolled destruction?!
这是总体计划还是我们正在观看不受控制的破坏?
The president has repeatedly called for the Fed to lower interest rates from the current target range of 4.25% to 4.5%, but the central bank has kept rates at the same level since January.
总统一再呼吁美联储将利率从目前的目标范围降低4.25%至4.5%,但中央银行自一月以来一直将利率保持在同一水平。
Pompliano said that the recent market panic has been driven in part by Trump's tariffs, and has been used to create a more favorable bond market while lowering the 10-year Treasury yield.
Pompliano说,最近的市场恐慌部分是由特朗普的关税驱动的,并被用来创造一个更有利的债券市场,同时降低了10年的国库收益率。
He added that the 10-year Treasury yield is already down from nearly 4.8% in January to 4.21% now, which is a sign that Trump's purported strategy is "heading in the right direction."
他补充说,10年的财政收益率已经从一月份的近4.8%下降到现在的4.21%,这表明特朗普声称的战略正在“朝着正确的方向发展”。
If the stock market continues to tank, it will come down to a "who blinks first" contest between Trump and Powell.
如果股票市场继续下跌,它将归结为特朗普和鲍威尔之间的“眨眼第一次”竞赛。
While Trump hasn't confirmed such a strategy, Pompliano noted that in a recent Fox News interview on March 9, Trump said: "Nobody ever gets rich when the interest rates are high because people can't borrow money."
尽管特朗普尚未确认这种策略,但庞塞诺指出,在3月9日的福克斯新闻采访中,特朗普说:“当利率很高时,没有人会富裕,因为人们不能借钱。”
Pompliano added that lowering interest rates would also benefit American consumers.
Pompliano补充说,降低利率也将使美国消费者受益。
"Lower interest rates would benefit consumers as they'd be able to borrow money at lower rates to finance their cars, houses, and other major purchases," he said.
他说:“较低的利率将使消费者受益,因为他们能够以较低的利率借钱来资助他们的汽车,房屋和其他主要购买。”
Common stock funds fell sharply on Friday, with State Street's Standard & Poor's 500 index fund (SPY) dropping 2.66% and Nasdaq-100 falling 3.8%, according to Google Finance.
根据Google Finance,普通股基金在周五大幅下降,根据Google Finance的数据,州街的标准普尔500指数基金(SPY)下跌2.66%,纳斯达克股票100下降了3.8%。
Both indexes are down 7.32% and 10.7% over the last month, while Bitcoin is down 27.4% from its $108,786 all-time high and over $1.2 trillion has been wiped from the cryptocurrency market cap since December 17.
这两个指数在上个月都下降了7.32%和10.7%,而比特币的历史最高水平的108,786美元下降了27.4%,自12月17日以来的加密货币市值擦除了超过1.2万亿美元。
According to CME FedWatch, there is a 96% probability that the target range will remain at 4.25% to 4.50% following the next meeting of the Federal Reserve on March 19.
根据CME FedWatch的数据,在3月19日美联储下次会议之后,目标范围将保持4.25%至4.50%的概率。
However, there are nearly 50-50 odds for the target range to be lowered in the Federal Reserve's following meeting on May 7.
但是,在5月7日的会议之后的联邦储备会议上,目标范围将降低目标范围近50-50。
The Federal Reserve typically avoids lowering interest rates when inflation is high, as one of its primary objectives is to maintain price stability.
美联储通常避免在通货膨胀率高时降低利率,因为其主要目标之一是保持价格稳定。
However, a Trump-induced recession, or "Trumpcession," as some have termed it, could pressure America's top bank to start cutting rates again.
但是,正如某些人所说的那样,特朗普引起的经济衰退或“王牌”可能会迫使美国顶级银行再次降低利率。
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