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經過一段時間的看跌壓力後,人們對 Toncoin 的興趣重新抬頭,但仍難以維持。讓我們來看看 TON 價格的未來前景。
After experiencing a period of bearish pressure, Toncoin has seen a resurgence of interest that struggles to maintain itself. The cryptocurrency, which experienced a meteoric rise and reached an all-time high of $8.28, has seen this level trigger strong selling pressure, causing a drop of over 45% in its price. Nevertheless, the cryptocurrency has found new momentum around the $4.45 price level, sparking renewed interest.
在經歷了一段時間的看跌壓力後,Toncoin 的興趣重新抬頭,但難以維持。這種加密貨幣經歷了快速上漲並達到8.28美元的歷史新高,這一水平引發了強大的拋售壓力,導致其價格下跌超過45%。儘管如此,這種加密貨幣在 4.45 美元的價格水平附近找到了新的動力,引發了新的興趣。
The latest fluctuations of TON then created a double bottom pattern, often signaling a trend reversal. This pattern was broken upwards, allowing the price of Toncoin to reach the resistance at $6.8. Unfortunately, this threshold was not exceeded, leading to renewed selling interest that weighed on the price of the cryptocurrency.
TON 的最新波動隨後形成了雙底形態,通常預示著趨勢反轉。該模式被向上突破,使 Toncoin 的價格達到 6.8 美元的阻力位。不幸的是,這項門檻並未被突破,導致拋售興趣重新燃起,從而打壓了加密貨幣的價格。
Indeed, at the time these lines are written, the price of TON is around $5.46. It is interesting to note that this price level is just above a notable value zone, itself located on the first monthly pivot support. The cryptocurrency has thus recorded a bearish retracement of about 78.60% from its last daily impulse, naturally questioning its short-term trend. However, it is essential to emphasize that medium and long-term trends remain bullish. This perspective is supported by the bullish crossover of the 50 and 200-day moving averages. Nevertheless, all these bearish fluctuations have undeniably affected the positive momentum of the cryptocurrency, impacting both its price and its oscillatory indicators.
事實上,在撰寫這些行時,TON 的價格約為 5.46 美元。有趣的是,該價格水準略高於顯著價值區域,該區域本身位於第一個月度樞軸支撐位上。因此,該加密貨幣較上次日沖量出現了約 78.60% 的看跌回撤,自然對其短期趨勢提出質疑。然而,必須強調的是,中長期趨勢仍然看漲。這一觀點得到了 50 日和 200 日移動平均線看漲交叉的支持。然而,所有這些看跌波動無可否認地影響了加密貨幣的積極勢頭,影響了其價格和振盪指標。
The current technical analysis was conducted in collaboration with Elie FT, an investor and passionate trader in the cryptocurrency market. Now a trainer at Family Trading, a community of thousands of active proprietary traders since 2017. You will find Lives, educational content, and mutual support around the financial markets in a professional and warm atmosphere.
目前的技術分析是與加密貨幣市場的投資者和熱情交易者 Elie FT 合作進行的。現在是 Family Trading 的培訓師,這是一個自 2017 年以來由數千名活躍自營交易者組成的社區。
Zoom on Toncoin derivatives (TON/SDT)The open interest on TON/USDT perpetual contracts has shown a correlation with the decline in the price of the cryptocurrency, suggesting an exit from speculative positions. The CVD and funding rates, also revised downwards, reflect a certain pessimism among investors. On the liquidation side, recent ones have been minor, indicating a relatively balanced market where buyers and sellers seem aligned on the current direction of the crypto. However, it is important to note that a historical peak in long position liquidations was recorded on December 9, reaching $7.6 million, according to Velodata. This phenomenon could indicate a recent forced capitulation of buyers in the price of the cryptocurrency.
放大 Toncoin 衍生品 (TON/SDT) TON/USDT 永續合約的未平倉合約顯示出與加密貨幣價格下跌的相關性,表明投機頭寸退出。 CVD和融資利率也下調,反映出投資人的某種悲觀情緒。在清算方面,最近的清算規模較小,顯示市場相對平衡,買家和賣家似乎對加密貨幣的當前方向保持一致。然而,值得注意的是,根據 Velodata 的數據,12 月 9 日創下了多頭清算的歷史峰值,達到 760 萬美元。這種現象可能表明買家最近被迫屈服於加密貨幣的價格。
The heatmap of liquidations for TON/USDT perpetual contracts reveals that the cryptocurrency has reached a liquidation zone that has clearly triggered selling interest, leading to a downward revision of its price. Currently, notable liquidation zones are located on either side of the current price of the crypto. Above, there is a wide zone around $7. Below, a subtle zone is visible above $6. Below the current price, the most pronounced zone is around $4.6. The approach of the price towards these levels could lead to a massive triggering of orders, thus increasing the risk of heightened volatility for the crypto. These zones thus represent a crucial point of interest for investors.
TON/USDT 永續合約清算熱圖顯示,該加密貨幣已達到清算區域,明顯引發了拋售興趣,導致其價格向下修正。目前,著名的清算區位於加密貨幣當前價格的兩側。上方,7 美元附近有一個寬闊的區域。下面,在 6 美元上方可以看到一個微妙的區域。低於當前價格,最明顯的區域是 4.6 美元左右。價格接近這些水準可能會導致大量觸發訂單,從而增加加密貨幣波動性加劇的風險。因此,這些區域代表了投資者的關鍵興趣點。
Forecasts for the price of Toncoin (TON)After a period of strong bullish momentum, Toncoin has experienced a significant correction in recent weeks. This correction was mainly driven by selling pressure at key resistance levels and a decrease in speculative interest, as evidenced by the decline in open interest on TON/USDT perpetual contracts. Despite this bearish trend, a closer examination of the price action and derivatives data reveals some interesting observations.
東幣(TON)價格預測 經過一段時間的強勁看漲勢頭後,近幾週來東幣經歷了大幅回調。此次調整主要是由關鍵阻力位的拋售壓力和投機興趣下降所推動的,TON/USDT 永續合約未平倉合約的下降就證明了這一點。儘管存在這種看跌趨勢,但對價格走勢和衍生性商品數據的仔細研究揭示了一些有趣的觀察結果。
The price of Toncoin has found support at a crucial level, namely the first monthly pivot support, which is also situated within a notable value zone. This confluence of support levels could potentially hinder any further bearish price movements. Moreover, the medium and long-term trends for Toncoin remain bullish, as indicated by the 50 and 200-day moving averages, respectively. This bullish trend is further supported by the recent crossover of these moving averages.
Toncoin 的價格已在關鍵水平找到支撐,即第一個月度樞軸支撐,該支撐也位於顯著價值區域內。這種支撐位的匯合可能會阻礙任何進一步的看跌價格走勢。此外,Toncoin 的中長期趨勢仍然看漲,分別由 50 日和 200 日移動平均線表明。最近這些移動平均線的交叉進一步支撐了這種看漲趨勢。
Oscillatory indicators, such as the RSI and MACD, have also flattened out after a period of bearish divergence, indicating a possible slowdown in the rate of price decrease. Additionally, the price of Toncoin has now corrected by about 78.60% from its last daily impulse, which could suggest that the short-term bearish trend may be nearing its conclusion.
RSI和MACD等振盪指標在經過一段時間的看跌背離後也已趨於平緩,顯示價格下跌速度可能放緩。此外,Toncoin 的價格目前已較上次每日衝擊修正約 78.60%,這可能表明短期看跌趨勢可能已接近尾聲。
Based on these observations, a possible scenario is that the price of Toncoin could attempt to recover from its current level if conditions permit. In such a case, the next resistance level to watch would be around $6.8, followed by the psychological resistance at $7. A break above these resistances could lead to a continuation of the bullish trend.
根據這些觀察,一種可能的情況是,如果條件允許,Toncoin 的價格可能會嘗試從當前水準恢復。在這種情況下,下一個值得關注的阻力位將是 6.8 美元左右,其次是心理阻力位 7 美元。突破這些阻力位可能會導致看漲趨勢的延續。
However, it is crucial to note that these forecasts are solely derived from technical analysis and that the price of cryptocurrencies can also be influenced rapidly by other more fundamental factors.
然而,值得注意的是,這些預測完全來自技術分析,加密貨幣的價格也可能受到其他更基本因素的快速影響。
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