比特幣的[BTC]可以滑低於$ 75K

由於更新了美國經濟衰退的擔憂，比特幣的[BTC]在短期內可能會低於75,000美元。實際上，Crypto Options Analytics平台Amberdata的總監Greg Madagini預計BTC可能會降至72K美元

Bitcoin's [BTC] price could slip below $75k in the near term amid renewed U.S. recession fears. In fact, Greg Madagini, Director at crypto options analytics platform Amberdata, projected that BTC could drop to $72K in the short term.

由於更新了美國經濟衰退的擔憂，比特幣的[BTC]價格可能會在短期內跌至75,000美元以下。實際上，Crypto Options Analytics平台Amberdata的總監Greg Madagini預計，BTC在短期內可能會跌至72,000美元。

Bitcoin's potential dip to $72K

比特幣的潛在傾銷至$ 72K

In his weekly market report, Magadini stated, “BTC prices look to be delivering a Bart Simpson pattern, which would target spot prices back to $72k, the Nov 5th election level.”

馬加迪尼在他的每週市場報告中說：“ BTC的價格似乎正在提供Bart Simpson模式，該模式的目標價格將降至11月5日的選舉水平為72,000美元。”

The Bart Simpson pattern refers to the formation of a sharp rise, marched by consolidation, and then a sharp retrace.

巴特·辛普森（Bart Simpson）的模式是指急劇上升的形成，通過鞏固進軍，然後進行了急劇的反擊。

If the pattern is validated, BTC could tap its last November U.S. election level, like retracement seen amongst U.S. equities, added Magadini. “Given that the SPX (S&P 500 Index) has now retraced back to election price levels, I think this pattern for spot BTC could be in the cards.”

如果驗證了該模式，BTC可以利用其去年11月的美國選舉級別，例如在美國股票中看到的回溯，增加了Magadini。 “鑑於SPX（標準普爾500指數）現已回溯到選舉價格水平，我認為Spot BTC的這種模式可能是在卡中。”

A similar bearish outlook was shared by renowned technical analyst Peter Brandt, arguing that BTC structurally topped out and must reclaim $95K to turn market sentiment positive again.

著名的技術分析師彼得·布蘭特（Peter Brandt）分享了類似的看跌前景，認為BTC在結構上取得了頂峰，並且必須重新獲得95,000美元的價格才能再次使市場情緒變為正面。

Amid the U.S. recession fears, Ark Invest's Cathie Wood assured that the U.S. economy would experience a ‘deflationary boom’ in the second half of 2025.

在美國衰退的擔憂中，方舟投資的凱茜·伍德（Cathie Wood）保證，美國經濟將在2025年下半年經歷“放氣繁榮”。

“In our view, the market is discounting the last leg of a rolling recession, which will give the Trump Administration and the Powell Fed many more degrees of freedom than investors expect, setting up the U.S. economy for a deflationary boom in the second half of this year!”

“在我們看來，市場正在折扣滾動衰退的最後一站，這將使特朗普政府和鮑威爾的自由度比投資者預期的要多得多，在今年的下半年為美國經濟設置了一個通俗易懂的繁榮！”

Another positive update was the strong correlation between BTC and global money supply (M2). Most analysts have noted that BTC lags behind global M2, and the recent drawdown mirrored M2’s drop last quarter. Since the indicator surged in Q1 2025, BTC could bounce back if the correlation holds.

另一個積極的更新是BTC與全球貨幣供應之間的密切相關性（M2）。大多數分析師都指出，BTC落後於全球M2，最近的縮減反映了上個季度M2的下降。由於指標在第1季度2025年飆升，因此，如果相關性成立，BTC可能會反彈。

Jon Consorti, head of growth at Theya Bitcoin, noted that with the BTC fear and greed index at typical ‘bottom' levels, the cryptocurrency could be primed for a recovery.

Heala比特幣增長負責人喬恩·科斯蒂（Jon Counsorti）指出，由於BTC的恐懼和貪婪指數在典型的“底部”水平上，加密貨幣可以恢復。

“Fear and greed index at 20, a value reached in bull markets when bitcoin is on its way to making a local bottom.”

“恐懼和貪婪指數在20歲時，當比特幣正駛入本地底部時，牛市的價值達到了價值。”

At press time, BTC was valued at $81.6K after a brief dip to $76K. The level was also a 50 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on a weekly chart and crucial support for past bull markets. It remains to be seen if it will hold in the short term.

在發稿時，短暫跌至7.6萬美元之後，BTC的價值為81.6萬美元。該水平也是每週圖表上的50指數移動平均水平（EMA），並為過去的牛市提供了關鍵的支持。它是否會在短期內保持持續存在待觀察。