比特币的[BTC]可以滑低于$ 75K

由于更新了美国经济衰退的担忧，比特币的[BTC]在短期内可能会低于75,000美元。实际上，Crypto Options Analytics平台Amberdata的总监Greg Madagini预计BTC可能会降至72K美元

Bitcoin's [BTC] price could slip below $75k in the near term amid renewed U.S. recession fears. In fact, Greg Madagini, Director at crypto options analytics platform Amberdata, projected that BTC could drop to $72K in the short term.

由于更新了美国经济衰退的担忧，比特币的[BTC]价格可能会在短期内跌至75,000美元以下。实际上，Crypto Options Analytics平台Amberdata的总监Greg Madagini预计，BTC在短期内可能会跌至72,000美元。

Bitcoin's potential dip to $72K

比特币的潜在倾销至$ 72K

In his weekly market report, Magadini stated, “BTC prices look to be delivering a Bart Simpson pattern, which would target spot prices back to $72k, the Nov 5th election level.”

马加迪尼在他的每周市场报告中说：“ BTC的价格似乎正在提供Bart Simpson模式，该模式的目标价格将降至11月5日的选举水平为72,000美元。”

The Bart Simpson pattern refers to the formation of a sharp rise, marched by consolidation, and then a sharp retrace.

巴特·辛普森（Bart Simpson）的模式是指急剧上升的形成，通过巩固进军，然后进行了急剧的反击。

If the pattern is validated, BTC could tap its last November U.S. election level, like retracement seen amongst U.S. equities, added Magadini. “Given that the SPX (S&P 500 Index) has now retraced back to election price levels, I think this pattern for spot BTC could be in the cards.”

如果验证了该模式，BTC可以利用其去年11月的美国选举级别，例如在美国股票中看到的回溯，增加了Magadini。 “鉴于SPX（标准普尔500指数）现已回溯到选举价格水平，我认为Spot BTC的这种模式可能是在卡中。”

A similar bearish outlook was shared by renowned technical analyst Peter Brandt, arguing that BTC structurally topped out and must reclaim $95K to turn market sentiment positive again.

著名的技术分析师彼得·布兰特（Peter Brandt）分享了类似的看跌前景，认为BTC在结构上取得了顶峰，并且必须重新获得95,000美元的价格才能再次使市场情绪变为正面。

Amid the U.S. recession fears, Ark Invest's Cathie Wood assured that the U.S. economy would experience a ‘deflationary boom’ in the second half of 2025.

在美国衰退的担忧中，方舟投资的凯茜·伍德（Cathie Wood）保证，美国经济将在2025年下半年经历“放气繁荣”。

“In our view, the market is discounting the last leg of a rolling recession, which will give the Trump Administration and the Powell Fed many more degrees of freedom than investors expect, setting up the U.S. economy for a deflationary boom in the second half of this year!”

“在我们看来，市场正在折扣滚动衰退的最后一站，这将使特朗普政府和鲍威尔的自由度比投资者预期的要多得多，在今年的下半年为美国经济设置了一个通俗易懂的繁荣！”

Another positive update was the strong correlation between BTC and global money supply (M2). Most analysts have noted that BTC lags behind global M2, and the recent drawdown mirrored M2’s drop last quarter. Since the indicator surged in Q1 2025, BTC could bounce back if the correlation holds.

另一个积极的更新是BTC与全球货币供应之间的密切相关性（M2）。大多数分析师都指出，BTC落后于全球M2，最近的缩减反映了上个季度M2的下降。由于指标在第1季度2025年飙升，因此，如果相关性成立，BTC可能会反弹。

Jon Consorti, head of growth at Theya Bitcoin, noted that with the BTC fear and greed index at typical ‘bottom' levels, the cryptocurrency could be primed for a recovery.

Heala比特币增长负责人乔恩·科斯蒂（Jon Counsorti）指出，由于BTC的恐惧和贪婪指数在典型的“底部”水平上，加密货币可以恢复。

“Fear and greed index at 20, a value reached in bull markets when bitcoin is on its way to making a local bottom.”

“恐惧和贪婪指数在20岁时，当比特币正驶入本地底部时，牛市的价值达到了价值。”

At press time, BTC was valued at $81.6K after a brief dip to $76K. The level was also a 50 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on a weekly chart and crucial support for past bull markets. It remains to be seen if it will hold in the short term.

在发稿时，短暂跌至7.6万美元之后，BTC的价值为81.6万美元。该水平也是每周图表上的50指数移动平均水平（EMA），并为过去的牛市提供了关键的支持。它是否会在短期内持有，还有待观察。