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经过一段时间的看跌压力后,人们对 Toncoin 的兴趣重新抬头,但仍难以维持。我们来看看 TON 价格的未来前景。
After experiencing a period of bearish pressure, Toncoin has seen a resurgence of interest that struggles to maintain itself. The cryptocurrency, which experienced a meteoric rise and reached an all-time high of $8.28, has seen this level trigger strong selling pressure, causing a drop of over 45% in its price. Nevertheless, the cryptocurrency has found new momentum around the $4.45 price level, sparking renewed interest.
在经历了一段时间的看跌压力后,Toncoin 的兴趣重新抬头,但难以维持。这种加密货币经历了飞速上涨并达到8.28美元的历史新高,这一水平引发了强大的抛售压力,导致其价格下跌超过45%。尽管如此,这种加密货币在 4.45 美元的价格水平附近找到了新的动力,引发了新的兴趣。
The latest fluctuations of TON then created a double bottom pattern, often signaling a trend reversal. This pattern was broken upwards, allowing the price of Toncoin to reach the resistance at $6.8. Unfortunately, this threshold was not exceeded, leading to renewed selling interest that weighed on the price of the cryptocurrency.
TON 的最新波动随后形成了双底形态,通常预示着趋势反转。该模式被向上突破,使 Toncoin 的价格达到 6.8 美元的阻力位。不幸的是,这一门槛并未被突破,导致抛售兴趣重新燃起,从而打压了加密货币的价格。
Indeed, at the time these lines are written, the price of TON is around $5.46. It is interesting to note that this price level is just above a notable value zone, itself located on the first monthly pivot support. The cryptocurrency has thus recorded a bearish retracement of about 78.60% from its last daily impulse, naturally questioning its short-term trend. However, it is essential to emphasize that medium and long-term trends remain bullish. This perspective is supported by the bullish crossover of the 50 and 200-day moving averages. Nevertheless, all these bearish fluctuations have undeniably affected the positive momentum of the cryptocurrency, impacting both its price and its oscillatory indicators.
事实上,在撰写这些行时,TON 的价格约为 5.46 美元。有趣的是,该价格水平略高于显着价值区域,该区域本身位于第一个月度枢轴支撑位上。因此,该加密货币较上次日冲量出现了约 78.60% 的看跌回撤,自然对其短期趋势提出质疑。然而,必须强调的是,中长期趋势仍然看涨。这一观点得到了 50 日和 200 日移动平均线看涨交叉的支持。然而,所有这些看跌波动无可否认地影响了加密货币的积极势头,影响了其价格和振荡指标。
The current technical analysis was conducted in collaboration with Elie FT, an investor and passionate trader in the cryptocurrency market. Now a trainer at Family Trading, a community of thousands of active proprietary traders since 2017. You will find Lives, educational content, and mutual support around the financial markets in a professional and warm atmosphere.
当前的技术分析是与加密货币市场的投资者和热情交易者 Elie FT 合作进行的。现在是 Family Trading 的培训师,这是一个自 2017 年以来由数千名活跃自营交易者组成的社区。您将在专业而温暖的氛围中找到有关金融市场的生活、教育内容和相互支持。
Zoom on Toncoin derivatives (TON/SDT)The open interest on TON/USDT perpetual contracts has shown a correlation with the decline in the price of the cryptocurrency, suggesting an exit from speculative positions. The CVD and funding rates, also revised downwards, reflect a certain pessimism among investors. On the liquidation side, recent ones have been minor, indicating a relatively balanced market where buyers and sellers seem aligned on the current direction of the crypto. However, it is important to note that a historical peak in long position liquidations was recorded on December 9, reaching $7.6 million, according to Velodata. This phenomenon could indicate a recent forced capitulation of buyers in the price of the cryptocurrency.
放大 Toncoin 衍生品 (TON/SDT) TON/USDT 永续合约的未平仓合约显示出与加密货币价格下跌的相关性,表明投机头寸退出。 CVD和融资利率也下调,反映出投资者的某种悲观情绪。在清算方面,最近的清算规模较小,表明市场相对平衡,买家和卖家似乎对加密货币的当前方向保持一致。然而,值得注意的是,根据 Velodata 的数据,12 月 9 日创下了多头清算的历史峰值,达到 760 万美元。这种现象可能表明买家最近被迫屈服于加密货币的价格。
The heatmap of liquidations for TON/USDT perpetual contracts reveals that the cryptocurrency has reached a liquidation zone that has clearly triggered selling interest, leading to a downward revision of its price. Currently, notable liquidation zones are located on either side of the current price of the crypto. Above, there is a wide zone around $7. Below, a subtle zone is visible above $6. Below the current price, the most pronounced zone is around $4.6. The approach of the price towards these levels could lead to a massive triggering of orders, thus increasing the risk of heightened volatility for the crypto. These zones thus represent a crucial point of interest for investors.
TON/USDT 永续合约清算热图显示,该加密货币已达到清算区域,明显引发了抛售兴趣,导致其价格向下修正。目前,著名的清算区位于加密货币当前价格的两侧。上方,7 美元附近有一个宽阔的区域。下面,在 6 美元上方可以看到一个微妙的区域。低于当前价格,最明显的区域是 4.6 美元左右。价格接近这些水平可能会导致大量触发订单,从而增加加密货币波动性加剧的风险。因此,这些区域代表了投资者的关键兴趣点。
Forecasts for the price of Toncoin (TON)After a period of strong bullish momentum, Toncoin has experienced a significant correction in recent weeks. This correction was mainly driven by selling pressure at key resistance levels and a decrease in speculative interest, as evidenced by the decline in open interest on TON/USDT perpetual contracts. Despite this bearish trend, a closer examination of the price action and derivatives data reveals some interesting observations.
东币(TON)价格预测 经过一段时间的强劲看涨势头后,近几周来东币经历了大幅回调。此次调整主要是由关键阻力位的抛售压力和投机兴趣下降推动的,TON/USDT 永续合约未平仓合约的下降就证明了这一点。尽管存在这种看跌趋势,但对价格走势和衍生品数据的仔细研究揭示了一些有趣的观察结果。
The price of Toncoin has found support at a crucial level, namely the first monthly pivot support, which is also situated within a notable value zone. This confluence of support levels could potentially hinder any further bearish price movements. Moreover, the medium and long-term trends for Toncoin remain bullish, as indicated by the 50 and 200-day moving averages, respectively. This bullish trend is further supported by the recent crossover of these moving averages.
Toncoin 的价格已在关键水平找到支撑,即第一个月度枢轴支撑,该支撑也位于显着价值区域内。这种支撑位的汇合可能会阻碍任何进一步的看跌价格走势。此外,Toncoin 的中长期趋势仍然看涨,分别由 50 日和 200 日移动平均线表明。最近这些移动平均线的交叉进一步支持了这种看涨趋势。
Oscillatory indicators, such as the RSI and MACD, have also flattened out after a period of bearish divergence, indicating a possible slowdown in the rate of price decrease. Additionally, the price of Toncoin has now corrected by about 78.60% from its last daily impulse, which could suggest that the short-term bearish trend may be nearing its conclusion.
RSI和MACD等振荡指标在经过一段时间的看跌背离后也已趋于平缓,表明价格下跌速度可能放缓。此外,Toncoin 的价格目前已较上次每日冲击修正约 78.60%,这可能表明短期看跌趋势可能已接近尾声。
Based on these observations, a possible scenario is that the price of Toncoin could attempt to recover from its current level if conditions permit. In such a case, the next resistance level to watch would be around $6.8, followed by the psychological resistance at $7. A break above these resistances could lead to a continuation of the bullish trend.
根据这些观察,一种可能的情况是,如果条件允许,Toncoin 的价格可能会尝试从当前水平恢复。在这种情况下,下一个值得关注的阻力位将是 6.8 美元左右,其次是心理阻力位 7 美元。突破这些阻力位可能会导致看涨趋势的延续。
However, it is crucial to note that these forecasts are solely derived from technical analysis and that the price of cryptocurrencies can also be influenced rapidly by other more fundamental factors.
然而,值得注意的是,这些预测完全来自技术分析,加密货币的价格也可能受到其他更基本因素的快速影响。
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