策略主席邁克爾·塞勒（Michael Saylor）預測，比特幣市值可能達到500噸

在最近的事態發展之後，比特幣在美國經濟中的作用受到了重新審查。在華盛頓的DC區塊鏈峰會上，比特幣倡導者和戰略聯合創始人邁克爾·塞勒（Michael Saylor）分享了他的最新大膽預測：比特幣的市值可能達到500萬億美元。

Strategy co-founder Michael Saylor has made another bold prediction for Bitcoin amid discussion of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR).

戰略聯合創始人邁克爾·塞勒（Michael Saylor）在討論戰略比特幣儲備（SBR）的討論中對比特幣做出了另一個大膽的預測。

At the DC Blockchain Summit in Washington, Bitcoin advocate and Strategy co-founder Michael Saylor has made another bold prediction for Bitcoin amid discussion of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR).

在華盛頓的DC區塊鏈峰會上，比特幣倡導者和戰略聯合創始人邁克爾·塞勒（Michael Saylor）在討論戰略比特幣儲備（SBR）的討論中對比特幣進行了大膽的預測。

This statement comes as lawmakers are pushing to increase America’s Bitcoin holdings.

這一說法是隨著立法者努力提高美國比特幣持有量的原因。

Earlier this year, President Donald Trump signed an executive order to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, utilizing the $17 billion in BTC the nation already owns. However, any additional acquisitions must be carried out through “budget-neutral” means. In parallel, Senator Cynthia Lummis has brought forth the BITCOIN Act, urging the government to acquire 1 million Bitcoin to expand the reserve.

今年早些時候，唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）總統簽署了一項行政命令，以建立戰略性比特幣儲備，利用該國已經擁有的BTC的170億美元。但是，必須通過“預算中立”手段進行任何其他收購。同時，參議員辛西婭·盧米斯（Cynthia Lummis）提出了《比特幣法》，敦促政府收購100萬比特幣以擴大儲備金。

At the DC Blockchain Summit, Jason Les, CEO of Bitcoin mining firm Riot Platforms (NASDAQ:RIOT), engaged in a discussion with Saylor and Lummis on the implications of a national Bitcoin reserve.

在DC區塊鏈峰會上，比特幣採礦公司Riot Platforms（NASDAQ：RIOT）的首席執行官Jason Les與Saylor和Lummis進行了討論，討論了國家比特幣儲備的影響。

During their conversation, Les posed a crucial question to Saylor: Does America need Bitcoin more than Bitcoin needs America?

在他們的談話中，萊斯對塞勒提出了一個關鍵的問題：美國是否比比特幣需要比特幣需要比特幣嗎？

In response, Saylor asserted that Bitcoin is poised for widespread adoption regardless of U.S. involvement, tying this to broader monetary shifts throughout history.

作為回應，Saylor斷言，無論我們參與什麼，比特幣都可以廣泛採用，將其與整個歷史上的更廣泛的貨幣轉變聯繫在一起。

“I think that Bitcoin is unstoppable […] Bitcoin doesn’t need America,” Saylor stated. “Satoshi started the fire. The fire is burning, and every single day tens or hundreds of millions of dollars of capital are flowing into the network.”

塞勒說：“我認為比特幣不可阻擋[…]比特幣不需要美國。” “ Satoshi開火了。大火燃燒，每一天或數億美元的資本都流入網絡。”

Saylor anchored his argument in historical financial developments. He recounted past monetary transitions, such as the European exploitation of glass beads in African trade and the demonetization of silver in favor of gold. According to Saylor, Bitcoin marks the natural progression of money, absorbing value from legacy assets like real estate, sovereign debt, and traditional currency reserves.

Saylor在歷史財務發展中奠定了他的論點。他講述了過去的貨幣過渡，例如歐洲對非洲貿易中玻璃珠的剝削以及對黃金的銀牌化的取消貨幣化。根據Saylor的說法，比特幣標誌著貨幣的自然發展，從房地產，主權債務和傳統貨幣儲備等傳統資產中吸收價值。

He further explained that Bitcoin would grow from $2 billion to $20 billion, then to $200 billion and beyond. Ultimately, Saylor predicts that Bitcoin could reach a $500 trillion market cap. For context, this would represent a 29,840% increase from the asset’s current market cap of $1.67 trillion.

他進一步解釋說，比特幣將從20億美元增長到200億美元，然後增長到2000億美元及以後。最終，Saylor預測，比特幣將達到500萬億美元的市值。在上下文中，這將比當前的1.67萬億美元的市值增長了29,840％。

This prediction aligns with Saylor’s long-standing advocacy for Bitcoin as a superior store of value compared to traditional assets. He highlights Bitcoin’s fixed supply and decentralized nature, rendering it an ideal hedge against inflation and financial instability.

與傳統資產相比，這一預測與Saylor長期以來對比特幣的倡導相吻合。他強調了比特幣的固定供應和分散性的性質，使其成為反對通貨膨脹和金融不穩定的理想樹籬。

“And we have the opportunity to, in essence, just grab 10, 20, 30,000 dollars of Bitcoin. 10, 20, 25% of the network, let the entire dynamic flow, and it’s going to accelerate. And when the dust settles, the American people will own 25, 30% of that capital,” the Strategy chairman added.

“而且，我們有機會只抓住10、20、30,000美元的比特幣。10、20、25％的網絡，讓整個動態流動，並將加速。當塵埃落定時，美國人民將擁有25％的資本的25％，佔該資本的30％，”該戰略主席補充說。

As Bitcoin adoption intensifies, Saylor notes that all global financial systems will be forced to adapt accordingly. His vision suggests that, similar to the gold rush of the 19th century, early Bitcoin adopters will acquire a substantial financial advantage over those who remain indifferent.

隨著比特幣採用的加劇，塞勒指出，所有全球金融體係都將被迫相應地適應。他的願景表明，與19世紀的淘金熱類似，早期的比特幣採用者將比那些漠不關心的人獲得可觀的財務優勢。

“The rest of the world will eventually trade all of their assets for Bitcoin,” he warned. “But by then, they’ll be buying it at $10 million, $20 million, or even $50 million per coin.”

他警告說：“世界其他地區最終將把所有資產交易為比特幣。” “但是到那時，他們將以1000萬美元，2000萬美元甚至5000萬美元的價格購買。”

If Bitcoin were to reach a $500 trillion market cap, given its 21 million token supply, this would translate to a price of $23.8 million per coin.

如果比特幣要達到500萬億美元的市值，鑑於其2100萬個令牌供應，這將轉化為每枚硬幣2380萬美元的價格。

It’s worth noting that this isn’t Saylor’s first high-stakes Bitcoin forecast. In December 2024, he predicted that Bitcoin could reach $13 million per coin by 2045. More recently, Saylor suggested that if the U.S. strategically utilizes Bitcoin as a reserve asset, it could effectively eliminate the national debt when Bitcoin reaches a $200 trillion market cap.

值得注意的是，這不是Saylor的第一個高風險比特幣預測。在2024年12月，他預測，到2045年，比特幣將達到每枚硬幣1300萬美元。最近，塞勒建議，如果美國在戰略上利用比特幣作為儲備資產，那麼當比特幣達到200萬美元的市值時，它可以有效地消除國家債務。