策略主席迈克尔·塞勒（Michael Saylor）预测，比特币市值可能达到500吨

在最近的事态发展之后，比特币在美国经济中的作用受到了重新审查。在华盛顿的DC区块链峰会上，比特币倡导者和战略联合创始人迈克尔·塞勒（Michael Saylor）分享了他的最新大胆预测：比特币的市值可能达到500万亿美元。

Strategy co-founder Michael Saylor has made another bold prediction for Bitcoin amid discussion of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR).

战略联合创始人迈克尔·塞勒（Michael Saylor）在讨论战略比特币储备（SBR）的讨论中对比特币做出了另一个大胆的预测。

At the DC Blockchain Summit in Washington, Bitcoin advocate and Strategy co-founder Michael Saylor has made another bold prediction for Bitcoin amid discussion of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR).

在华盛顿的DC区块链峰会上，比特币倡导者和战略联合创始人迈克尔·塞勒（Michael Saylor）在讨论战略比特币储备（SBR）的讨论中对比特币进行了大胆的预测。

This statement comes as lawmakers are pushing to increase America’s Bitcoin holdings.

这一说法是随着立法者努力提高美国比特币持有量的原因。

Earlier this year, President Donald Trump signed an executive order to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, utilizing the $17 billion in BTC the nation already owns. However, any additional acquisitions must be carried out through “budget-neutral” means. In parallel, Senator Cynthia Lummis has brought forth the BITCOIN Act, urging the government to acquire 1 million Bitcoin to expand the reserve.

今年早些时候，唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）总统签署了一项行政命令，以建立战略性比特币储备，利用该国已经拥有的BTC的170亿美元。但是，必须通过“预算中立”手段进行任何其他收购。同时，参议员辛西娅·卢米斯（Cynthia Lummis）提出了《比特币法》，敦促政府收购100万比特币以扩大储备金。

At the DC Blockchain Summit, Jason Les, CEO of Bitcoin mining firm Riot Platforms (NASDAQ:RIOT), engaged in a discussion with Saylor and Lummis on the implications of a national Bitcoin reserve.

在DC区块链峰会上，比特币采矿公司Riot Platforms（NASDAQ：RIOT）的首席执行官Jason Les与Saylor和Lummis进行了讨论，讨论了国家比特币储备的影响。

During their conversation, Les posed a crucial question to Saylor: Does America need Bitcoin more than Bitcoin needs America?

在他们的谈话中，莱斯对塞勒提出了一个关键的问题：美国是否比比特币需要比特币需要比特币吗？

In response, Saylor asserted that Bitcoin is poised for widespread adoption regardless of U.S. involvement, tying this to broader monetary shifts throughout history.

作为回应，Saylor断言，无论我们参与什么，比特币都可以广泛采用，将其与整个历史上的更广泛的货币转变联系在一起。

“I think that Bitcoin is unstoppable […] Bitcoin doesn’t need America,” Saylor stated. “Satoshi started the fire. The fire is burning, and every single day tens or hundreds of millions of dollars of capital are flowing into the network.”

塞勒说：“我认为比特币不可阻挡[…]比特币不需要美国。” “ Satoshi开火了。大火燃烧，每一天或数亿美元的资本都流入网络。”

Saylor anchored his argument in historical financial developments. He recounted past monetary transitions, such as the European exploitation of glass beads in African trade and the demonetization of silver in favor of gold. According to Saylor, Bitcoin marks the natural progression of money, absorbing value from legacy assets like real estate, sovereign debt, and traditional currency reserves.

Saylor在历史财务发展中奠定了他的论点。他讲述了过去的货币过渡，例如欧洲对非洲贸易中玻璃珠的剥削以及对黄金的银牌化的取消货币化。根据Saylor的说法，比特币标志着货币的自然发展，从房地产，主权债务和传统货币储备等传统资产中吸收价值。

He further explained that Bitcoin would grow from $2 billion to $20 billion, then to $200 billion and beyond. Ultimately, Saylor predicts that Bitcoin could reach a $500 trillion market cap. For context, this would represent a 29,840% increase from the asset’s current market cap of $1.67 trillion.

他进一步解释说，比特币将从20亿美元增长到200亿美元，然后增长到2000亿美元及以后。最终，Saylor预测，比特币将达到500万亿美元的市值。在上下文中，这将比当前的1.67万亿美元的市值增长了29,840％。

This prediction aligns with Saylor’s long-standing advocacy for Bitcoin as a superior store of value compared to traditional assets. He highlights Bitcoin’s fixed supply and decentralized nature, rendering it an ideal hedge against inflation and financial instability.

与传统资产相比，这一预测与Saylor长期以来对比特币的倡导相吻合。他强调了比特币的固定供应和分散性的性质，使其成为反对通货膨胀和金融不稳定的理想树篱。

“And we have the opportunity to, in essence, just grab 10, 20, 30,000 dollars of Bitcoin. 10, 20, 25% of the network, let the entire dynamic flow, and it’s going to accelerate. And when the dust settles, the American people will own 25, 30% of that capital,” the Strategy chairman added.

“而且，我们有机会只抓住10、20、30,000美元的比特币。10、20、25％的网络，让整个动态流动，并将加速。当尘埃落定时，美国人民将拥有25％的资本的25％，占该资本的30％，”该战略主席补充说。

As Bitcoin adoption intensifies, Saylor notes that all global financial systems will be forced to adapt accordingly. His vision suggests that, similar to the gold rush of the 19th century, early Bitcoin adopters will acquire a substantial financial advantage over those who remain indifferent.

随着比特币采用的加剧，塞勒指出，所有全球金融体系都将被迫相应地适应。他的愿景表明，与19世纪的淘金热类似，早期的比特币采用者将比那些漠不关心的人获得可观的财务优势。

“The rest of the world will eventually trade all of their assets for Bitcoin,” he warned. “But by then, they’ll be buying it at $10 million, $20 million, or even $50 million per coin.”

他警告说：“世界其他地区最终将把所有资产交易为比特币。” “但是到那时，他们将以1000万美元，2000万美元甚至5000万美元的价格购买。”

If Bitcoin were to reach a $500 trillion market cap, given its 21 million token supply, this would translate to a price of $23.8 million per coin.

如果比特币要达到500万亿美元的市值，鉴于其2100万个令牌供应，这将转化为每枚硬币2380万美元的价格。

It’s worth noting that this isn’t Saylor’s first high-stakes Bitcoin forecast. In December 2024, he predicted that Bitcoin could reach $13 million per coin by 2045. More recently, Saylor suggested that if the U.S. strategically utilizes Bitcoin as a reserve asset, it could effectively eliminate the national debt when Bitcoin reaches a $200 trillion market cap.

值得注意的是，这不是Saylor的第一个高风险比特币预测。在2024年12月，他预测，到2045年，比特币将达到每枚硬币1300万美元。最近，塞勒建议，如果美国在战略上利用比特币作为储备资产，那么当比特币达到200万美元的市值时，它可以有效地消除国家债务。