Stellar (XLM) 價格預測：XLM 會跌至 0.28 美元嗎？

Stellar (XLM) 在最近幾天經歷了大幅波動，在價格大幅上漲後，未平倉合約 (OI) 減少了 1.3 億美元。

After a massive surge in its price, Stellar (XLM) has experienced a significant drop in open interest (OI) to the tune of $130 million. The altcoin enjoyed a dramatic price increase of over 100% in just a week, capturing the market’s attention and fueling excitement. However, this enthusiasm seems to be waning, as evidenced by the sharp decline in open interest and other market signals suggesting a weakening rally.

在價格大幅上漲後，Stellar (XLM) 的未平倉合約 (OI) 大幅下降至 1.3 億美元。該山寨幣在短短一周內價格大幅上漲超過 100%，吸引了市場的注意並引發了興奮。然而，這種熱情似乎正在減弱，未平倉合約急劇下降和其他表明反彈減弱的市場訊號證明了這一點。

Stellar’s impressive price rally saw the altcoin reach its highest point in a long while. On November 24, XLM’s open interest hit an all-time high of $339 million, a figure that caught the attention of many traders. This surge in interest was likely driven by the rise in Ripple’s (XRP) price, as the two assets have often seen price movements tied together. However, the momentum appears to be fading.

恆星幣令人印象深刻的價格上漲見證了山寨幣長期以來的最高點。 11月24日，XLM的持倉量創下3.39億美元的歷史新高，這數字引起了許多交易者的關注。這種興趣的激增可能是由瑞波幣（XRP）價格上漲所推動的，因為這兩種資產的價格走勢經常被連結在一起。然而，這種勢頭似乎正在減弱。

As of the most recent reports, XLM’s open interest has decreased by $130 million, now standing at $209 million. This drop in OI reflects a reduction in the number of active leveraged positions, signaling a cooling off in derivative market activity. The reduction in open interest often indicates that traders are closing their positions, either due to a loss of confidence in the asset’s future price movement or because the price has peaked.

截至最新報告，XLM 的未平倉合約減少了 1.3 億美元，目前為 2.09 億美元。 OI 的下降反映了活躍槓桿頭寸數量的減少，標誌著衍生性商品市場活動的降溫。未平倉合約的減少通常表明交易者正在平倉，要么是由於對資產未來價格走勢失去信心，要么是因為價格已見頂。

This drop in open interest coincides with a 10% loss in XLM’s price within the past 24 hours, confirming that the rally’s momentum is faltering. As a result, traders are increasingly uncertain, with fewer positions being opened in anticipation of further gains.

未平倉合約的下降與 XLM 價格在過去 24 小時內下跌 10% 的時間一致，證實了上漲勢頭正在動搖。因此，交易者的不確定性越來越大，因預期進一步上漲而開倉的部位減少。

Another bearish sign for XLM is the decline in its social dominance. Social dominance is a metric that tracks the proportion of cryptocurrency discussions focused on a particular coin relative to other assets. A rise in social dominance typically indicates increased interest and demand, while a decline suggests waning attention.

XLM 的另一個看跌跡像是其社會主導地位的下降。社會主導地位是一個指標，用於追蹤針對特定代幣相對於其他資產的加密貨幣討論的比例。社會主導地位的上升通常表示興趣和需求的增加，而社會主導地位的下降則表示關注的減弱。

Not too long ago, XLM’s social dominance stood at 3.13%, but it has since plummeted to just 1.73%. This sharp decrease in market interest suggests that traders and investors are shifting their focus to other cryptocurrencies, further contributing to the bearish sentiment surrounding XLM. If this trend continues, XLM may find it challenging to maintain its current value and may see further price declines.

不久前，XLM 的社會主導地位為 3.13%，但此後已大幅下降至 1.73%。市場興趣的急劇下降表明交易者和投資者正在將注意力轉向其他加密貨幣，進一步加劇了圍繞 XLM 的看跌情緒。如果這種趨勢持續下去，XLM 可能會發現維持其當前價值具有挑戰性，並且可能會看到價格進一步下跌。

Given the current market conditions, XLM could face additional losses if the downward trend in open interest and social dominance continues. On the daily chart, the Money Flow Index (MFI) shows that XLM was recently in overbought territory, a situation that usually precedes a price correction. The MFI, which tracks buying and selling pressure, suggests that the price could fall to $0.28 if the current conditions persist.

鑑於當前的市場狀況，如果未平倉合約和社會主導地位的下降趨勢持續下去，XLM 可能會面臨額外損失。在日線圖上，資金流量指數 (MFI) 顯示 XLM 最近處於超買區域，這種情況通常發生在價格調整之前。追蹤買賣壓力的 MFI 表示，如果當前情況持續下去，價格可能會跌至 0.28 美元。

The next level of support for XLM appears to be at $0.22. A break below this level could trigger a further decline, potentially pushing the price down to $0.17. However, it’s important to note that these predictions are based on the assumption that the current trends in open interest and social dominance continue. If buying pressure picks up, XLM could see a resurgence, with a rally to $0.64 being a potential target in the event of a market reversal.

XLM 的下一個支撐似乎是 0.22 美元。跌破該水平可能會引發進一步下跌，可能將價格推低至 0.17 美元。然而，值得注意的是，這些預測是基於當前未平倉合約和社會主導地位的趨勢持續下去的假設。如果買盤壓力加大，XLM 可能會復甦，如果市場逆轉，其潛在目標將反彈至 0.64 美元。