Stellar (XLM) 价格预测：XLM 会跌至 0.28 美元吗？

Stellar (XLM) 最近几天经历了大幅波动，在价格大幅上涨后，未平仓合约 (OI) 减少了 1.3 亿美元。

After a massive surge in its price, Stellar (XLM) has experienced a significant drop in open interest (OI) to the tune of $130 million. The altcoin enjoyed a dramatic price increase of over 100% in just a week, capturing the market’s attention and fueling excitement. However, this enthusiasm seems to be waning, as evidenced by the sharp decline in open interest and other market signals suggesting a weakening rally.

在价格大幅上涨后，Stellar (XLM) 的未平仓合约 (OI) 大幅下降至 1.3 亿美元。该山寨币在短短一周内价格大幅上涨超过 100%，吸引了市场的注意力并引发了兴奋。然而，这种热情似乎正在减弱，未平仓合约急剧下降和其他表明反弹减弱的市场信号就证明了这一点。

Stellar’s impressive price rally saw the altcoin reach its highest point in a long while. On November 24, XLM’s open interest hit an all-time high of $339 million, a figure that caught the attention of many traders. This surge in interest was likely driven by the rise in Ripple’s (XRP) price, as the two assets have often seen price movements tied together. However, the momentum appears to be fading.

恒星币令人印象深刻的价格上涨见证了山寨币长期以来的最高点。 11月24日，XLM的持仓量创下3.39亿美元的历史新高，这一数字引起了众多交易者的关注。这种兴趣的激增可能是由瑞波币（XRP）价格上涨推动的，因为这两种资产的价格走势经常联系在一起。然而，这种势头似乎正在减弱。

As of the most recent reports, XLM’s open interest has decreased by $130 million, now standing at $209 million. This drop in OI reflects a reduction in the number of active leveraged positions, signaling a cooling off in derivative market activity. The reduction in open interest often indicates that traders are closing their positions, either due to a loss of confidence in the asset’s future price movement or because the price has peaked.

截至最新报告，XLM 的未平仓合约减少了 1.3 亿美元，目前为 2.09 亿美元。 OI 的下降反映了活跃杠杆头寸数量的减少，标志着衍生品市场活动的降温。未平仓合约的减少通常表明交易者正在平仓，要么是由于对资产未来价格走势失去信心，要么是因为价格已见顶。

This drop in open interest coincides with a 10% loss in XLM’s price within the past 24 hours, confirming that the rally’s momentum is faltering. As a result, traders are increasingly uncertain, with fewer positions being opened in anticipation of further gains.

未平仓合约的下降与过去 24 小时内 XLM 价格下跌 10% 的时间一致，这证实了涨势的势头正在动摇。因此，交易者的不确定性越来越大，因预期进一步上涨而开仓的头寸减少。

Another bearish sign for XLM is the decline in its social dominance. Social dominance is a metric that tracks the proportion of cryptocurrency discussions focused on a particular coin relative to other assets. A rise in social dominance typically indicates increased interest and demand, while a decline suggests waning attention.

XLM 的另一个看跌迹象是其社会主导地位的下降。社会主导地位是一个指标，用于跟踪针对特定代币相对于其他资产的加密货币讨论的比例。社会主导地位的上升通常表明兴趣和需求的增加，而社会主导地位的下降则表明关注度的减弱。

Not too long ago, XLM’s social dominance stood at 3.13%, but it has since plummeted to just 1.73%. This sharp decrease in market interest suggests that traders and investors are shifting their focus to other cryptocurrencies, further contributing to the bearish sentiment surrounding XLM. If this trend continues, XLM may find it challenging to maintain its current value and may see further price declines.

不久前，XLM 的社会主导地位为 3.13%，但此后已大幅下降至 1.73%。市场兴趣的急剧下降表明交易者和投资者正在将注意力转向其他加密货币，进一步加剧了围绕 XLM 的看跌情绪。如果这种趋势持续下去，XLM 可能会发现维持其当前价值具有挑战性，并且可能会看到价格进一步下跌。

Given the current market conditions, XLM could face additional losses if the downward trend in open interest and social dominance continues. On the daily chart, the Money Flow Index (MFI) shows that XLM was recently in overbought territory, a situation that usually precedes a price correction. The MFI, which tracks buying and selling pressure, suggests that the price could fall to $0.28 if the current conditions persist.

鉴于当前的市场状况，如果未平仓合约和社会主导地位的下降趋势持续下去，XLM 可能会面临额外损失。日线图上，资金流量指数 (MFI) 显示 XLM 最近处于超买区域，这种情况通常发生在价格调整之前。跟踪买卖压力的 MFI 表示，如果当前情况持续下去，价格可能会跌至 0.28 美元。

The next level of support for XLM appears to be at $0.22. A break below this level could trigger a further decline, potentially pushing the price down to $0.17. However, it’s important to note that these predictions are based on the assumption that the current trends in open interest and social dominance continue. If buying pressure picks up, XLM could see a resurgence, with a rally to $0.64 being a potential target in the event of a market reversal.

XLM 的下一个支撑位似乎是 0.22 美元。跌破该水平可能会引发进一步下跌，可能将价格推低至 0.17 美元。然而，值得注意的是，这些预测是基于当前未平仓合约和社会主导地位的趋势持续下去的假设。如果买盘压力加大，XLM 可能会复苏，如果市场发生逆转，其潜在目标将反弹至 0.64 美元。