Spot On Chain 使用 Google Cloud 的 AI 提供深入的比特幣價格預測

鏈上分析公司 Spot On Chain 發布了一份報告，使用Google雲端的 Vertex AI 預測比特幣的未來價格趨勢。該報告預測，2024 年 5 月至 7 月，比特幣價格可能在 56,000 美元至 70,000 美元之間波動，其中 48% 的可能性跌破 60,000 美元。然而，該報告表明，由於預期利率下調，比特幣價格可能在 2024 年下半年飆升，有 63% 的可能性達到 10 萬美元。報告預測，2025 年上半年，比特幣突破 15 萬美元的可能性為 42%，全年突破 15 萬美元的可能性為 70%，與減半事件後的歷史模式相符。

Spot On Chain's Comprehensive Bitcoin Price Forecast: A Data-Driven Analysis Using Google Cloud's Vertex AI

Spot On Chain 的綜合比特幣價格預測：使用 Google Cloud 的 Vertex AI 進行數據驅動的分析

Introduction

介紹

Spot On Chain, a renowned on-chain analytics firm, has embarked on a comprehensive study of Bitcoin's future price trajectory, employing the advanced capabilities of Google Cloud's Vertex artificial intelligence platform. The resulting report provides a detailed and well-grounded projection of Bitcoin's price movements in the short-, medium-, and long-term horizons.

著名的鏈上分析公司 Spot On Chain 已開始利用 Google Cloud 的 Vertex 人工智慧平台的先進功能，對比特幣的未來價格軌跡進行全面研究。由此產生的報告對比特幣的短期、中期和長期價格走勢進行了詳細且有依據的預測。

Short-Term Outlook: May-July 2024

短期展望：2024 年 5 月至 7 月

Spot On Chain's analysis predicts that Bitcoin will likely oscillate within a range of $56,000 and $70,000 during the three-month period from May to July 2024. This range suggests the potential for significant market volatility, with a 48% probability that Bitcoin could dip below $60,000. Investors are advised to remain cautious while considering short-term price fluctuations and potential corrections.

Spot On Chain 的分析預測，在2024 年5 月至7 月的三個月期間，比特幣可能會在56,000 美元至70,000 美元的範圍內波動。 48% 的可能性跌破60,000 美元。建議投資者在考慮短期價格波動和潛在調整的同時保持謹慎。

Medium-Term Outlook: Second Half of 2024

中期展望：2024 年下半年

A notable revelation in the report is Spot On Chain's expectation of a substantial surge in Bitcoin's price during the second half of 2024. The analysis assigns a high probability (63%) that Bitcoin could reach the $100,000 mark, reflecting a prevailing bullish sentiment in the market. This optimism is fueled by the anticipation of rate reductions following the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in December 2023, which aims to stimulate demand for risk-on assets such as stocks and Bitcoin.

報告中值得注意的一點是，Spot On Chain 預計比特幣價格將在2024 年下半年大幅上漲。情緒。 2023 年 12 月聯邦公開市場委員會 (FOMC) 會議旨在刺激對股票和比特幣等風險資產的需求，市場對降息的預期加劇了這種樂觀情緒。

Long-Term Outlook: 2025 and Beyond

長期展望：2025 年及以後

Extending the forecast horizon to the first half of 2025, Spot On Chain's mathematical modeling indicates a strong likelihood (42%) that Bitcoin will surpass the significant threshold of $150,000. This projection is supported by historical data and patterns observed in previous cycles, which suggest that Bitcoin tends to establish new all-time highs within 6 to 12 months after a Halving event.

將預測範圍延長至 2025 年上半年，Spot On Chain 的數學模型表明，比特幣很有可能 (42%) 突破 15 萬美元的重要門檻。這項預測得到了先前週期中觀察到的歷史數據和模式的支持，這表明比特幣往往會在減半事件後 6 至 12 個月內創下新的歷史高點。

In the broader context of 2025, the probability of Bitcoin exceeding $150,000 rises to 70%. This optimistic forecast is predicated on the belief that Bitcoin will continue its historical trend of achieving sustained price appreciation over time.

在2025年更廣泛的背景下，比特幣突破15萬美元的機率上升至70%。這個樂觀的預測基於這樣的信念：比特幣將繼續其隨著時間的推移實現持續價格升值的歷史趨勢。

Additional Insights from Retk Capital

Retk Capital 的其他見解

Complementing Spot On Chain's analysis, prominent crypto analyst Retk Capital provides valuable insights into Bitcoin's current price action. Retk Capital identifies critical resistance levels and suggests the possibility of a consolidation phase prior to an anticipated parabolic rise.

著名加密貨幣分析師 Retk Capital 提供了有關比特幣當前價格走勢的寶貴見解，對 Spot On Chain 的分析進行了補充。 Retk Capital 確定了關鍵阻力位，並建議在預期的拋物線上漲之前出現盤整階段的可能性。

Notably, Retk Capital observes that Bitcoin has encountered difficulty breaching the $65,600 resistance level, repeatedly failing to establish it as a support level. This resistance level has emerged as a significant obstacle to Bitcoin's upward movement in recent times, as evidenced in the Bitcoin daily BTC/USD chart.

值得注意的是，Retk Capital 觀察到，比特幣在突破 65,600 美元阻力位時遇到了困難，多次未能將其確立為支撐位。正如比特幣每日 BTC/USD 圖表所證明的那樣，這一阻力位近年來已成為比特幣上漲的重大障礙。

Concurrently, Bitcoin has consistently touched a pool of liquidity around $60,600, indicating the presence of potential buyers at this price level. Should Bitcoin continue its downward trend, Retk Capital suggests that it could revisit this liquidity pool again.

與此同時，比特幣的流動性一直在 60,600 美元左右，這表明在這個價格水平上存在潛在買家。如果比特幣繼續下跌趨勢，Retk Capital 表示可能會再次重新審視這個流動性池。

Current Market Situation

目前的市場狀況

As of the present moment, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $63,900, reflecting an approximate 8% decline over the past two weeks and a comparable decline over the past month.

截至目前，比特幣交易價格約為 63,900 美元，過去兩週下跌約 8%，過去一個月跌幅相當。

Conclusion

結論

Spot On Chain's comprehensive Bitcoin price forecast, powered by Google Cloud's Vertex AI, provides a well-grounded and informative perspective on Bitcoin's potential future trajectory. While the short-term outlook suggests the possibility of market volatility, the medium- and long-term forecasts paint a more optimistic picture, predicting substantial price appreciation. Investors are encouraged to consider these projections in the context of their own investment strategies and risk tolerance.

Spot On Chain 的全面比特幣價格預測由 Google Cloud 的 Vertex AI 提供支持，為比特幣潛在的未來軌跡提供了有依據且資訊豐富的視角。雖然短期前景表明市場可能出現波動，但中長期預測描繪了一幅更樂觀的圖景，預計價格將大幅上漲。鼓勵投資者根據自己的投資策略和風險承受能力來考慮這些預測。